Central banks cannot ‘get a pass’ on climate change after the pandemic created a sense of urgency over innovation in the financial system to ensure a green future, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said.
Speaking at the Innovation Summit hosted by the Bank for International Settlements, Ms Lagarde said innovation is part of central bankers' DNA, something demonstrated by the handling of the 2008-09 financial crisis and the fallout from the coronavirus pandemic, with those skills easily transferable to climate change.
“[Climate change] is not the primary responsibility of central banks, but equally I don't think that anybody can get a pass on climate change,” Ms Lagarde said.
“Central bankers can perfectly well apply that innovation [and] spirit that they have demonstrated in the instruments that they've used [in the past] in other matters, such as climate change, biodiversity and protection of the environment.”
Ms Lagarde’s call for action came a day after a new report from the Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) found that while central banks need to fight climate change, all policy options come with costly drawbacks, so steps need to be gradual and cautious.
With climate change posing a growing risk to financial stability, central banks are examining their own role in driving a transformation.
Options being studied include skewing asset purchases to benefit green issuers or to punish energy-intensive firms and curtailing the availability of central bank funding to polluters.
However, the report from NGFS, a group whose 89 members include the US Federal Reserve, the ECB and the Bank of Japan, took a cautious view. It found that all options either hinder monetary policy effectiveness, increase risk or run into operational feasibility constraints.
Ms Lagarde said on Thursday that Europe is pushing for “smart green growth” with simple innovations, such as smart thermostats that reduce energy bills in the building and construction sectors.
“Clearly, there are synergies and very strong synergies between this sustainable future and innovation,” she said.
However, innovation comes with a trade-off, she said, with questions around how to manage the transition to new technologies to ensure they, in turn, do not become a burden on the environment.
“What we do with solid solar panels when they come to the end of their life 20 years after being installed is still very much unknown,” Ms Lagarde said.
“What we do with batteries, which have run for 10 years to support our electric cars, is still very much unknown. And the environmental footprint of cryptocurrencies – much celebrated at the moment – is also something that is on the downside of those innovations.”
Mark Carney, the UN's special envoy on climate action, said the financial system increasingly focuses on the risks of climate change, but it should not forget the “enormous opportunities from solving what is ultimately an existential crisis”.
“A lot of value will be created,” Mr Carney, formerly the head of the Bank of England, told the BIS Innovation Summit.
There has been some disagreement among central bankers about how far they should go to tackle climate change. While Ms Lagarde has advocated central bank action, the Federal Reserve has been more cautious in the past.
However, Ms Lagarde said 'the signalling effect' of the new US administration re-joining the Paris climate agreement shortly after Joe Biden took office has been phenomenal.
“Almost instantly, within a matter of a couple of days, we saw the US Treasury change tack in respect of many topics, including in particular climate change. Janet Yellen has made climate change one of the major issues that she is going to embrace and tackle,” Ms Lagarde said.
During his presidency, Donald Trump pulled the US out of the Paris climate agreement, which came into force in 2016 and united nearly 200 countries in a global pact to tackle climate change, with a pledge to limit the rise in global temperatures to under 1.5°C.
Ms Lagarde said having the US back on board brings “the power of the first and largest economy in the world behind an objective that we all share”.
“My hope is that, by having the US back in the game, we can foster a move towards a better standardisation, in particular in relation to disclosure. That's a push that results simply from all the players being at the table. I put that as priority number one," she said.
On Wednesday, Sweden's central bank emphasised the risk of failing to act, arguing that climate change could lead to lower growth and inflation volatility.
“If climate change increases the risk of catastrophe, makes economic developments more uncertain and worsens growth prospects, it may lead to a lower long-term real interest rate,” the Riksbank said.
Because it may be difficult to calculate the climate impact of investments, Wednesday's NGFS report suggested policymakers could initially adopt simple, non-numerical rules, such as promoting investments hosted in countries that adopt climate treaties.
How the UAE gratuity payment is calculated now
Employees leaving an organisation are entitled to an end-of-service gratuity after completing at least one year of service.
The tenure is calculated on the number of days worked and does not include lengthy leave periods, such as a sabbatical. If you have worked for a company between one and five years, you are paid 21 days of pay based on your final basic salary. After five years, however, you are entitled to 30 days of pay. The total lump sum you receive is based on the duration of your employment.
1. For those who have worked between one and five years, on a basic salary of Dh10,000 (calculation based on 30 days):
a. Dh10,000 ÷ 30 = Dh333.33. Your daily wage is Dh333.33
b. Dh333.33 x 21 = Dh7,000. So 21 days salary equates to Dh7,000 in gratuity entitlement for each year of service. Multiply this figure for every year of service up to five years.
2. For those who have worked more than five years
c. 333.33 x 30 = Dh10,000. So 30 days’ salary is Dh10,000 in gratuity entitlement for each year of service.
Note: The maximum figure cannot exceed two years total salary figure.
How Tesla’s price correction has hit fund managers
Investing in disruptive technology can be a bumpy ride, as investors in Tesla were reminded on Friday, when its stock dropped 7.5 per cent in early trading to $575.
It recovered slightly but still ended the week 15 per cent lower and is down a third from its all-time high of $883 on January 26. The electric car maker’s market cap fell from $834 billion to about $567bn in that time, a drop of an astonishing $267bn, and a blow for those who bought Tesla stock late.
The collapse also hit fund managers that have gone big on Tesla, notably the UK-based Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust and Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF.
Tesla is the top holding in both funds, making up a hefty 10 per cent of total assets under management. Both funds have fallen by a quarter in the past month.
Matt Weller, global head of market research at GAIN Capital, recently warned that Tesla founder Elon Musk had “flown a bit too close to the sun”, after getting carried away by investing $1.5bn of the company’s money in Bitcoin.
He also predicted Tesla’s sales could struggle as traditional auto manufacturers ramp up electric car production, destroying its first mover advantage.
AJ Bell’s Russ Mould warns that many investors buy tech stocks when earnings forecasts are rising, almost regardless of valuation. “When it works, it really works. But when it goes wrong, elevated valuations leave little or no downside protection.”
A Tesla correction was probably baked in after last year’s astonishing share price surge, and many investors will see this as an opportunity to load up at a reduced price.
Dramatic swings are to be expected when investing in disruptive technology, as Ms Wood at ARK makes clear.
Every week, she sends subscribers a commentary listing “stocks in our strategies that have appreciated or dropped more than 15 per cent in a day” during the week.
Her latest commentary, issued on Friday, showed seven stocks displaying extreme volatility, led by ExOne, a leader in binder jetting 3D printing technology. It jumped 24 per cent, boosted by news that fellow 3D printing specialist Stratasys had beaten fourth-quarter revenues and earnings expectations, seen as good news for the sector.
By contrast, computational drug and material discovery company Schrödinger fell 27 per cent after quarterly and full-year results showed its core software sales and drug development pipeline slowing.
Despite that setback, Ms Wood remains positive, arguing that its “medicinal chemistry platform offers a powerful and unique view into chemical space”.
In her weekly video view, she remains bullish, stating that: “We are on the right side of change, and disruptive innovation is going to deliver exponential growth trajectories for many of our companies, in fact, most of them.”
Ms Wood remains committed to Tesla as she expects global electric car sales to compound at an average annual rate of 82 per cent for the next five years.
She said these are so “enormous that some people find them unbelievable”, and argues that this scepticism, especially among institutional investors, “festers” and creates a great opportunity for ARK.
Only you can decide whether you are a believer or a festering sceptic. If it’s the former, then buckle up.
Ordinary Virtues: Moral Order in a Divided World by Michael Ignatieff
Harvard University Press
Points tally
1. Australia 52; 2. New Zealand 44; 3. South Africa 36; 4. Sri Lanka 35; 5. UAE 27; 6. India 27; 7. England 26; 8. Singapore 8; 9. Malaysia 3
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Indoor Cricket World Cup Dubai 2017
Venue Insportz, Dubai; Admission Free
Fixtures - Open Men 2pm: India v New Zealand, Malaysia v UAE, Singapore v South Africa, Sri Lanka v England; 8pm: Australia v Singapore, India v Sri Lanka, England v Malaysia, New Zealand v South Africa
Fixtures - Open Women Noon: New Zealand v England, UAE v Australia; 6pm: England v South Africa, New Zealand v Australia