The Fat Years: In prosperous China, ignorance is bliss


  • English
  • Arabic

The idea of memory tends to be ever present in the minds of people who live in countries where the state tells them what to remember and what to forget. In Chan Koonchung's political science fiction thriller The Fat Years, the month of February 2011 has gone missing from people's minds in China and it's up to an assorted group of misfits to find out what happened to it.

The Review: Books

Get the scoop on which of the latest titles are worth making part of your personal collection.

Not that the population as a whole seems to be particularly bothered. In fact, quite the reverse. The year is 2013, China is rich and its people are basking in the warm glow of a nation suddenly propelled to global pre-eminence by the collapse of its western competitors. In one scene early on, Old Chen, the book's main character, actually bursts into tears at the thought of China's success and the Communist Party's benevolence. It's a scene very reminiscent of that towards the end of Nineteen Eighty-Four when a chastened Winston Smith cries with love for Big Brother. But where Winston cried salty tears into his raw gin, Old Chen weeps discreetly into his Starbucks Lychee Black Dragon Latte. These are, after all, the fat years.

Old Chen bears quite a strong resemblance to the author (Chan's name in Mandarin is Chen Guanzhong). Now resident in Beijing, from where he has pursued a number of successful media interests, Chan is a successful media entrepreneur and filmmaker whose family emigrated to Hong Kong from Shanghai after the Communist Party took power in 1949.

As a wealthy and cosmopolitan fellow, he could choose to live anywhere. He prefers the Big Dumpling, apparently, because that is where the decisions are made.

Indeed, the China of The Fat Years is the China dreamed of by the men who rule it: mushrooming prosperity, social and political tranquillity, global preponderance and a population ready to burst with self-satisfaction and bumptious patriotism when not at the wonderfully easy daily business of making money. Formal censorship mechanisms are present but barely necessary because intellectual curiosity seems to have curled up and died of its own accord.

Old Chen is a journalist and author, but finds himself too distracted to do much writing. Instead he wanders about, savouring Beijing's atmosphere of weightless prosperity. And it is in these wanderings that he encounters the people determined to uncover the mystery of the missing month. One is an old flame, Little Xi, whose family once ran a restaurant where intellectuals gathered and dreamed of change in the heady days before the Tiananmen massacre. Before that, she was a junior magistrate who resigned in disgust at the excesses of one of China's regular "strike hard" campaigns. Another, Fang Caodi, is a constantly travelling free spirit raised in a Daoist temple. He has been everywhere, seen everything, and is relentlessly, dangerously curious.

They represent trends marginalised both in Chan's idealised version of China's future and in the People's Republic of today, namely the earnest, reforming liberal and the ungovernable, wandering truth seeker. More crudely, they represent justice and freedom, and together they pull Chen, a self-described objective observer, towards the rediscovery of what happened in the fateful month.

The official story is that the western economies collapsed at the beginning of February 2011, just as China reoriented its economic policy away from export dependency and towards domestic consumption, enabling its people to surf the economic chasm on a tide of consumer spending while suddenly finding themselves the inheritors of global political hegemony.

But there are scraps of information that tell a different story, one of panic, fear and chaos, incessant rumours of economic collapse, of truckloads of soldiers entering villages and the disappearance of awkward and inconvenient persons.

The mystery is cleared up when the group kidnap He Dongsheng, a high-ranking Communist Party cadre and old friend of Chen, who for no particularly good reason decides to tell all in a long, intermittently fascinating but undeniably rambling testimony that takes up the last 40 pages of the book.

Chan has written elsewhere that in order to be able to write effectively about China it is necessary to follow the example set by the Tang dynasty songstress Jiang Su, who could sing two songs at once, one from the back of the throat and one through her nose. Perhaps the major problem with The Fat Years is that the rich baritone of the book's social and political content overwhelms the thin, nasal tone of plot and character. Chan has too much he needs to say to be a great believer in showing rather than telling. Dongsheng's monologue clears everything up in a manner that is artistically unsatisfying. But the wider point is that his smug, hectoring tone is meant to represent the way in which the CPC habitually addresses the Chinese people. It not only has all the power but insists on having all the answers and droning on about the fact at great length.

Elsewhere, there are succinct marginal disquisitions on matters such as the techniques used by officials to avoid sparking riots and the ways in which unofficial churches manage uneasy coexistence with the authorities. It's not clear that the general reading public is as interested in things like these as it probably should be.

Characters also tend to pop up and then vanish once they have served their purpose of illustrating contemporary Chinese types. The best of these is Wei Guo, an ambitious young thug who aspires to a niche in the propaganda apparatus and is a member of a secret society called the SS. Aside from the obvious fascist overtones, the initials also signify the favourite western philosophers in Chinese ultranationalist circles, namely Leo Strauss and Carl Schmitt. But having served his purpose in warning us of overtly fascist tendencies within the CPC, Wei simply vanishes.

The Communist Party was once quite insistent on putting politics in command, in literature as elsewhere. While that insistence has vanished, there was no prospect of the Chinese authorities allowing Chan's hard, cold and hyperreal analysis of Chinese society to be published on the mainland when it originally came out in 2008. It was not precisely banned. It was just that every publisher knew that it would be impossible to publish. And when Chan put the book free to download from his own website, he soon found himself vanishing from the Chinese internet.

At times, censorship is a merely technical matter in China, where The Fat Years was soon circulating by semi-clandestine means. Some readers took the book not as a warning but as a blueprint. "If only China could be just like this!" wrote one local blogger.

Chan himself rejects dissident status, and while his heroes are against the system, he is mainly concerned to explain the dilemma faced by the people of China in an environment of "90 per cent freedom." Dongsheng asserts that rapid reform would not lead to democracy but to worse dictatorship. Old Chen recalls a poem by the radical writer Lu Xun which asks whether it is better to live in a fake paradise than a real hell (the wider context to this is that Lu's works, once prominent on the Chinese literature curriculum, are now being themselves nudged down the memory hole).

The secret of the bizarre ebullience of the public is soon revealed by Dongsheng. The Communist Party has been putting drugs in the water supply, in the best Brave New World style. The secret of the missing month turns out to be altogether more disturbing. It was not erased on the orders of the Communist Party. Instead, the public chose to forget a period of chaos and violence in a time of peace and prosperity. They chose a fake paradise of their own free will.

This has always been how the deal in China has been understood. So long as the government delivers the goods, the people support it. That in itself ignores the fact that China is a country where people don't actually have much choice other than to basically consent to whatever government they are given. In these circumstances, it's natural to take whatever fat years happen to come along. But what if the fake paradise and the real hell are in the same place?

On July 23, two trains from China's prestigious high-speed rail network collided near the city of Wenzhou, killing 40 people and sparking a near unprecedented wave of public outrage. Later that week, China Central Television anchor Qiu Qiming pulled all the threads together in a remarkable on-air soliloquy.

"If nobody can be safe, do we still want this speed? Can we drink a glass of milk that's safe? Can we stay in an apartment that will not fall? Can the roads we travel on in our cities not collapse? Can we travel in safe trains? And if and when a major accident does happen, can we not be in a hurry to bury the trains? Can we afford the people a basic sense of security? China, please slow down."

Rather than heading towards the fake paradise of The Fat Years, many people in China now see themselves in an authentic inferno of crashing trains, collapsing apartments, poisoned food and disintegrating roads and bridges; as victims rather than beneficiaries of the development-obsessed ideology of the government. Written in 2008, The Fat Years is an excellent summary of the path China believed it was on at the time, still reflects China's official dreams, and still offers a cool and caustic assessment of the dreamers. Even so, and even though the book has only just been published in English, it could do with a sequel. Perhaps Development Hell would be a good title.

Jamie Kenny is a UK-based journalist and writer specialising in China and its growing interaction with the rest of the world.

Fatherland

Kele Okereke

(BMG)

In-demand jobs and monthly salaries
  • Technology expert in robotics and automation: Dh20,000 to Dh40,000 
  • Energy engineer: Dh25,000 to Dh30,000 
  • Production engineer: Dh30,000 to Dh40,000 
  • Data-driven supply chain management professional: Dh30,000 to Dh50,000 
  • HR leader: Dh40,000 to Dh60,000 
  • Engineering leader: Dh30,000 to Dh55,000 
  • Project manager: Dh55,000 to Dh65,000 
  • Senior reservoir engineer: Dh40,000 to Dh55,000 
  • Senior drilling engineer: Dh38,000 to Dh46,000 
  • Senior process engineer: Dh28,000 to Dh38,000 
  • Senior maintenance engineer: Dh22,000 to Dh34,000 
  • Field engineer: Dh6,500 to Dh7,500
  • Field supervisor: Dh9,000 to Dh12,000
  • Field operator: Dh5,000 to Dh7,000
Ultra processed foods

- Carbonated drinks, sweet or savoury packaged snacks, confectionery, mass-produced packaged breads and buns 

- margarines and spreads; cookies, biscuits, pastries, cakes, and cake mixes, breakfast cereals, cereal and energy bars;

- energy drinks, milk drinks, fruit yoghurts and fruit drinks, cocoa drinks, meat and chicken extracts and instant sauces

- infant formulas and follow-on milks, health and slimming products such as powdered or fortified meal and dish substitutes,

- many ready-to-heat products including pre-prepared pies and pasta and pizza dishes, poultry and fish nuggets and sticks, sausages, burgers, hot dogs, and other reconstituted meat products, powdered and packaged instant soups, noodles and desserts.

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Four reasons global stock markets are falling right now

There are many factors worrying investors right now and triggering a rush out of stock markets. Here are four of the biggest:

1. Rising US interest rates

The US Federal Reserve has increased interest rates three times this year in a bid to prevent its buoyant economy from overheating. They now stand at between 2 and 2.25 per cent and markets are pencilling in three more rises next year.

Kim Catechis, manager of the Legg Mason Martin Currie Global Emerging Markets Fund, says US inflation is rising and the Fed will continue to raise rates in 2019. “With inflationary pressures growing, an increasing number of corporates are guiding profitability expectations downwards for 2018 and 2019, citing the negative impact of rising costs.”

At the same time as rates are rising, central bankers in the US and Europe have been ending quantitative easing, bringing the era of cheap money to an end.

2. Stronger dollar

High US rates have driven up the value of the dollar and bond yields, and this is putting pressure on emerging market countries that took advantage of low interest rates to run up trillions in dollar-denominated debt. They have also suffered capital outflows as international investors have switched to the US, driving markets lower. Omar Negyal, portfolio manager of the JP Morgan Global Emerging Markets Income Trust, says this looks like a buying opportunity. “Despite short-term volatility we remain positive about long-term prospects and profitability for emerging markets.” 

3. Global trade war

Ritu Vohora, investment director at fund manager M&G, says markets fear that US President Donald Trump’s spat with China will escalate into a full-blown global trade war, with both sides suffering. “The US economy is robust enough to absorb higher input costs now, but this may not be the case as tariffs escalate. However, with a host of factors hitting investor sentiment, this is becoming a stock picker’s market.”

4. Eurozone uncertainty

Europe faces two challenges right now in the shape of Brexit and the new populist government in eurozone member Italy.

Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, which has offices in Dubai, says the stand-off between between Rome and Brussels threatens to become much more serious. "As with Brexit, neither side appears willing to step back from the edge, threatening more trouble down the line.”

The European economy may also be slowing, Mr Beauchamp warns. “A four-year low in eurozone manufacturing confidence highlights the fact that producers see a bumpy road ahead, with US-EU trade talks remaining a major question-mark for exporters.”

UAE players with central contracts

Rohan Mustafa, Ashfaq Ahmed, Chirag Suri, Rameez Shahzad, Shaiman Anwar, Adnan Mufti, Mohammed Usman, Ghulam Shabbir, Ahmed Raza, Qadeer Ahmed, Amir Hayat, Mohammed Naveed and Imran Haider.

Country-size land deals

US interest in purchasing territory is not as outlandish as it sounds. Here's a look at some big land transactions between nations:

Louisiana Purchase

If Donald Trump is one who aims to broker "a deal of the century", then this was the "deal of the 19th Century". In 1803, the US nearly doubled in size when it bought 2,140,000 square kilometres from France for $15 million.

Florida Purchase Treaty

The US courted Spain for Florida for years. Spain eventually realised its burden in holding on to the territory and in 1819 effectively ceded it to America in a wider border treaty. 

Alaska purchase

America's spending spree continued in 1867 when it acquired 1,518,800 km2 of  Alaskan land from Russia for $7.2m. Critics panned the government for buying "useless land".

The Philippines

At the end of the Spanish-American War, a provision in the 1898 Treaty of Paris saw Spain surrender the Philippines for a payment of $20 million. 

US Virgin Islands

It's not like a US president has never reached a deal with Denmark before. In 1917 the US purchased the Danish West Indies for $25m and renamed them the US Virgin Islands.

Gwadar

The most recent sovereign land purchase was in 1958 when Pakistan bought the southwestern port of Gwadar from Oman for 5.5bn Pakistan rupees. 

World Cricket League Division 2

In Windhoek, Namibia - Top two teams qualify for the World Cup Qualifier in Zimbabwe, which starts on March 4.

UAE fixtures

Thursday February 8, v Kenya; Friday February 9, v Canada; Sunday February 11, v Nepal; Monday February 12, v Oman; Wednesday February 14, v Namibia; Thursday February 15, final

Adele: The Stories Behind The Songs
Caroline Sullivan
Carlton Books