Whether it is calling Syrian president Bashar Al Assad an “animal” or referring to North Korean leader Kim Jong-un as “rocket man”, it is clear that US president Donald Trump does not shy away from using strong and derogatory terms to describe his opponents. But experts and former US officials say this has not translated into action or a clear strategy to pursue American interests and weaken its rivals.
Mr Trump's first year of the presidency was marked by the flushing out of ISIL from most of Iraq and key areas in Syria, decertifying the Iran nuclear deal and remedying ties with long-time partners, such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia. But when it comes to long-term strategy, Mr Trump gets low marks from experts speaking to The National, who say they are able to identify the policy but not a road to implementation — especially when it comes to countering Iran and looking beyond ISIL's defeat.
“I think the Trump administration’s policies towards the Middle East are still a work in progress,” said Dennis Ross, a distinguished fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. “The priority of defeating the group [ISIL] has been clear from day one, but it is not clear what the administration’s approach is for after ISIL [is defeated].”
Mr Ross, a former senior US government official who served under Republican and Democratic presidents, said the Iranians and Russians are rushing to fill an imminent vacuum.
“The Iranians are already acting to fill the vacuum, and the Russians are telling the Kurdish forces to make their peace with the Assad regime, which is coming back to [ISIL’s once self-proclaimed Syrian capital] Raqqa,” he said.
Despite Mr Trump’s firm speech in October to confront the “fanatical regime” of Iran, Mr Ross said there is “little evidence” of that in Syria.
Iran-backed forces have helped turn the tide of the Syrian war in the Assad regime’s favour and have also played leading roles in Iraq’s battle to recapture territory from ISIL.
“We’re not seeing [US] action on the ground in Iraq and Syria … both are now in Iran’s orbit,” said Michael Pregent, an adjunct fellow at Hudson Institute. “Donald Trump’s ISIS strategy is unchanged [from that of former US president Barack Obama] though accelerated. We’re still using the wrong force to take back and hold territory from ISIL."
Mr Pregent, a former intelligence official, said that “every ISIL loss has also been a loss for the Sunni population and a gain for Iran in Iraq and Syria”.
Meanwhile, David Shor, a New York-based foreign policy analyst, said: “What’s primarily guiding the Trump Middle East foreign policy is coming from the region itself.”
Mr Shor said that the US president’s statements to counter Iran and its proxies in the Middle East were a major departure from the Obama days.
"Our allies, who under the Obama administration have been pushed to accept his transformative initiatives, are now free to unchain themselves and can now react and correct course," he told The National.
This was evident in the Gulf crisis, when in June four Arab countries — allies of the US government — cut all transport and diplomatic ties with Qatar — also a US ally — over its support of extremist groups and ties with Tehran. The Trump administration reached a point at which it agreed to disagree with its allies and stopped trying to mediate between the disputing countries.
Mr Pregent, however, warned against the US becoming “over reliant” on its allies to counter Iran in Iraq, Syria and Yemen.
Mr Ross, who worked on the Iran file during Mr Obama’s first term, said that Tehran does not seem to be backing off or lacking confidence.
He referenced headlines in the Kayhan newspaper — a hardline Iranian daily — in which Tehran "appeared to take credit for the missile attack on the Riyadh airport and suggested Abu Dhabi might be next", according to Mr Ross.
He added that the only steps the US is taking against Iran is issuing new sanctions against its Revolutionary Guard and Lebanese proxy Hizbollah. Both Mr Ross and Mr Pegent said that such designations are limited pressure and a continuation of the Obama administration’s approach.
But Mr Ross says it is still too early to point out the administration’s successes and failures in the Middle East.
With hundreds of appointments reportedly remaining vacant in the state department and Mr Trump continuously publicly undermining secretary of state Rex Tillerson, critical parts of foreign policymaking have been outsourced. Mr Trump’s adviser and son-in-law Jared Kushner handles the Israeli-Palestinian portfolio and relations with key Gulf states. Since Mr Trump’s election, Mr Kushner has made three trips to Saudi Arabia, while Mr Tillerson has made two.
Last week, Mr Trump indicated that he was not sure if Mr Tillerson will continue to serve as secretary of state for the duration of the presidency.
"We'll see. I don't know who's going to be [here for the] duration," the US president said in an interview with Fox News.
Reports have suggested that Mr Tillerson may be replaced by US ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley or CIA director Mike Pompeo — both of whom are close to Trump’s inner circle and share the same views on Iran.
What seems more certain in Mr Trump's first year in the Middle East is that both Arab and Israeli leaders “still seem to like the fact that he is not Barack Obama”, said Mr Ross. The better chemistry does not necessarily mean there is clarity, however. Leaders in the region "seem unclear about exactly what the administration’s priorities are and whether it is truly committed to remaining in the Middle East”, Mr Ross added.
More from Neighbourhood Watch:
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
About Proto21
Date started: May 2018
Founder: Pir Arkam
Based: Dubai
Sector: Additive manufacturing (aka, 3D printing)
Staff: 18
Funding: Invested, supported and partnered by Joseph Group
A QUIET PLACE
Starring: Lupita Nyong'o, Joseph Quinn, Djimon Hounsou
Director: Michael Sarnoski
Rating: 4/5
Switching sides
Mahika Gaur is the latest Dubai-raised athlete to attain top honours with another country.
Velimir Stjepanovic (Serbia, swimming)
Born in Abu Dhabi and raised in Dubai, he finished sixth in the final of the 2012 Olympic Games in London in the 200m butterfly final.
Jonny Macdonald (Scotland, rugby union)
Brought up in Abu Dhabi and represented the region in international rugby. When the Arabian Gulf team was broken up into its constituent nations, he opted to play for Scotland instead, and went to the Hong Kong Sevens.
Sophie Shams (England, rugby union)
The daughter of an English mother and Emirati father, Shams excelled at rugby in Dubai, then after attending university in the UK played for England at sevens.
Profile box
Company name: baraka
Started: July 2020
Founders: Feras Jalbout and Kunal Taneja
Based: Dubai and Bahrain
Sector: FinTech
Initial investment: $150,000
Current staff: 12
Stage: Pre-seed capital raising of $1 million
Investors: Class 5 Global, FJ Labs, IMO Ventures, The Community Fund, VentureSouq, Fox Ventures, Dr Abdulla Elyas (private investment)
SPECS
Engine: 1.5-litre turbo
Power: 181hp
Torque: 230Nm
Transmission: 6-speed automatic
Starting price: Dh79,000
On sale: Now
Best Foreign Language Film nominees
Capernaum (Lebanon)
Cold War (Poland)
Never Look Away (Germany)
Roma (Mexico)
Shoplifters (Japan)
The five types of long-term residential visas
Obed Suhail of ServiceMarket, an online home services marketplace, outlines the five types of long-term residential visas:
Investors:
A 10-year residency visa can be obtained by investors who invest Dh10 million, out of which 60 per cent should not be in real estate. It can be a public investment through a deposit or in a business. Those who invest Dh5 million or more in property are eligible for a five-year residency visa. The invested amount should be completely owned by the investors, not loaned, and retained for at least three years.
Entrepreneurs:
A five-year multiple entry visa is available to entrepreneurs with a previous project worth Dh0.5m or those with the approval of an accredited business incubator in the UAE.
Specialists
Expats with specialised talents, including doctors, specialists, scientists, inventors, and creative individuals working in the field of culture and art are eligible for a 10-year visa, given that they have a valid employment contract in one of these fields in the country.
Outstanding students:
A five-year visa will be granted to outstanding students who have a grade of 95 per cent or higher in a secondary school, or those who graduate with a GPA of 3.75 from a university.
Retirees:
Expats who are at least 55 years old can obtain a five-year retirement visa if they invest Dh2m in property, have savings of Dh1m or more, or have a monthly income of at least Dh20,000.
Specs: 2024 McLaren Artura Spider
Engine: 3.0-litre twin-turbo V6 and electric motor
Max power: 700hp at 7,500rpm
Max torque: 720Nm at 2,250rpm
Transmission: Eight-speed dual-clutch auto
0-100km/h: 3.0sec
Top speed: 330kph
Price: From Dh1.14 million ($311,000)
On sale: Now
Company Profile
Company name: Hoopla
Date started: March 2023
Founder: Jacqueline Perrottet
Based: Dubai
Number of staff: 10
Investment stage: Pre-seed
Investment required: $500,000
MATCH INFO
Fixture: Thailand v UAE, Tuesday, 4pm (UAE)
TV: Abu Dhabi Sports
Herc's Adventures
Developer: Big Ape Productions
Publisher: LucasArts
Console: PlayStation 1 & 5, Sega Saturn
Rating: 4/5
Race card
6.30pm: Al Maktoum Challenge Round-3 Group 1 (PA) US$100,000 (Dirt) 2,000m
7.05pm: Meydan Classic Listed (TB) $175,000 (Turf) 1,600m
7.40pm: Handicap (TB) $135,000 (T) 2,000m
8.15pm: Handicap (TB) $135,000 (D) 1,600m
8.50pm: Nad Al Sheba Trophy Group 2 (TB) $300,000 (T) 2,810m
9.25pm: Curlin Stakes Listed (TB) $175,000 (D) 2,000m
10pm: Handicap (TB) $135,000 (T) 2,000m
10.35pm: Handicap (TB) $175,000 (T) 1,400m
The National selections
6.30pm: Shahm, 7.05pm: Well Of Wisdom, 7.40pm: Lucius Tiberius, 8.15pm: Captain Von Trapp, 8.50pm: Secret Advisor, 9.25pm: George Villiers, 10pm: American Graffiti, 10.35pm: On The Warpath
COMPANY PROFILE
Company name: Almouneer
Started: 2017
Founders: Dr Noha Khater and Rania Kadry
Based: Egypt
Number of staff: 120
Investment: Bootstrapped, with support from Insead and Egyptian government, seed round of
$3.6 million led by Global Ventures
Our legal consultant
Name: Dr Hassan Mohsen Elhais
Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.
SPEC SHEET: SAMSUNG GALAXY Z FOLD5
Main display: 7.6" QXGA+ Dynamic Amoled 2X, Infinity Flex, 2176 x 1812, 21.6:18, 374ppi, HDR10+, up to 120Hz
Cover display: 6.2" HD+ Dynamic Amoled 2X, 2316 x 904, 23.1:9, 402ppi, up to 120Hz
Processor: Qualcomm Snapdragon 8 Gen 2, 4nm, octa-core; Adreno 740 GPU
Memory: 12GB
Capacity: 256/512GB / 1TB (online exclusive)
Platform: Android 13, One UI 5.1.1
Main camera: Triple 12MP ultra-wide (f/2.2) + 50MP wide (f/1.8) + 10MP telephoto (f/2.4), dual OIS, 3x optical zoom, 30x Space Zoom, portrait, super slo-mo
Video: 8K@24fps, 4K@60fps, full-HD@60/240fps, HD@960fps; slo-mo@60/240/960fps; HDR10+
Cover camera: 10MP (f/2.2)
Inner front camera: Under-display 4MP (f/1.8)
Battery: 4400mAh, 25W fast charging, 15W wireless, 4.5W reverse wireless
Connectivity: 5G; Wi-Fi, Bluetooth 5.3, NFC (Samsung Pay)
I/O: USB-C
Cards: Nano-SIM + eSIM; dual nano-SIMs + eSIM
Colours: Cream, icy blue, phantom black; online exclusives – blue, grey
In the box: Fold5, USB-C-to-USB-C cable
Price: Dh6,799 / Dh7,249 / Dh8,149
The specs
Price, base / as tested Dh1,100,000 (est)
Engine 5.2-litre V10
Gearbox seven-speed dual clutch
Power 630bhp @ 8,000rpm
Torque 600Nm @ 6,500rpm
Fuel economy, combined 15.7L / 100km (est)
CHINESE GRAND PRIX STARTING GRID
1st row
Sebastian Vettel (Ferrari)
Kimi Raikkonen (Ferrari)
2nd row
Valtteri Bottas (Mercedes-GP)
Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes-GP)
3rd row
Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing)
Daniel Ricciardo (Red Bull Racing)
4th row
Nico Hulkenberg (Renault)
Sergio Perez (Force India)
5th row
Carlos Sainz Jr (Renault)
Romain Grosjean (Haas)
6th row
Kevin Magnussen (Haas)
Esteban Ocon (Force India)
7th row
Fernando Alonso (McLaren)
Stoffel Vandoorne (McLaren)
8th row
Brendon Hartley (Toro Rosso)
Sergey Sirotkin (Williams)
9th row
Pierre Gasly (Toro Rosso)
Lance Stroll (Williams)
10th row
Charles Leclerc (Sauber)
arcus Ericsson (Sauber)
Company Profile
Company name: Cargoz
Date started: January 2022
Founders: Premlal Pullisserry and Lijo Antony
Based: Dubai
Number of staff: 30
Investment stage: Seed
COMPANY PROFILE
Company: Eco Way
Started: December 2023
Founder: Ivan Kroshnyi
Based: Dubai, UAE
Industry: Electric vehicles
Investors: Bootstrapped with undisclosed funding. Looking to raise funds from outside