The Syrian military has issued the order to disband some units after years of service, only the second such major demobilisation of soldiers since the start of the country's seven year civil war.
The order, carried by Syria’s state-run SANA news agency, says that conscripts who have served for more than five years and reservists who were recalled in 2013 will be released from active duty starting on Tuesday.
The Syrian government did not detail how many troops would be covered by the decision but the move comes just days after the director of the military conscription department said regime gains and the increase in numbers of fresh volunteers would soon allow the military to start demobilising long-serving soldiers across the country.
The Syrian cabinet is also planning a decree to prioritise demobilised conscripts and reservists for public sector recruitment, in an attempt to ease their reintegration into civilian life, the Syrian Law Journal, a legal database, reported last week.
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Syria’s government has recovered more than 60 per cent of the country over the past year, backed by Russian airstrikes and allied paramilitary groups. In April, it completed a campaign to clear rebels from areas surrounding the capital Damascus, leaving the northern province of Idlib as the last major rebel-controlled area.
The recapture of the Eastern Ghouta suburbs and other former rebel strongholds in the country has led to a boost in new conscripts for the Syrian army with thousands of young men who had not completed compulsory military service throughout the duration of the war entering service.
Syrian law requires 18 to 21 months of mandatory military service for Syrian men aged between 18 and 42. But the onset of the conflict in 2011 meant that anyone who was enlisted at the time had to stay on active duty, even if they have fulfilled their military obligations.
In June, the Syrian army demobilized a division of troops that were enlisted in 2010, after eight years on the frontlines.
The latest decision by the Syrian army coincides with a social media campaign reportedly launched by conscripts and reservists calling for their release from service. Soldiers used anonymous Facebook and Twitter profiles to write posts criticising the government for keeping them in service for so long.
The National could not independently verify the authenticity of the posts.
Earlier in October, Syrian President Bashar Al Assad signed a decree granting amnesty to all those who accused of desertion, failure to follow conscription notices or failure to follow orders during the war.
SANA news agency said that the amnesty would only be valid if those wanted by the state handed themselves in within four months if they were in the country or six months if they were abroad.
Last week, the Syrian military issued a new circular discharging individuals called up for reservist military service and dropping penalties against those who dodged extra military duty. An estimated 800,000 men, both inside and outside Syria, are expected to be covered by the decision.
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Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?
The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.
Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.
New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.
“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.
The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.
The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.
Bloomberg