Iran proclaimed its readiness to resume nuclear talks with world powers yesterday despite the imposition of harsh new sanctions by the European Union that Tehran said would fail to curb its nuclear programme. The regime is keen to assure the jittery Iranian public that it will be unscathed by a wave of punitive new measures passed by the EU, the United Nations, the United States, Canada and Australia in recent weeks.
The Iranian government does not want to be blamed for any domestic pain resulting from its controversial nuclear policy. "The EU sanctions [passed on Monday] throw further salt on the self-inflicted wound that is [President Mahmoud] Ahmadinejad's mismanagement of the Iranian economy," Ali Ansari, an Iran expert at St Andrews University in Scotland, said in an interview. Mr Ahmadinejad, however, did nothing to calm nerves on another front. He proclaimed, alarmingly, that he expects the US to launch a military strike on "at least two countries" in the Middle East in the next three months aimed at waging "psychological war against Iran".
He did not specify whether he thought Iran itself would be attacked and provided no evidence to support his dramatic claim. Iran, nevertheless, will "resume nuclear talks with the West in September", Mr Ahmadinejad said. But "conditions" that he first stipulated in June still stand - such as the position of world powers on the "Zionist regime's [Israel] atomic bombs". He told Iran's state-run Press TV: "They [western powers] should say whether they consent" to Israel's undeclared nuclear arsenal "or not".
The West and many Arab states suspect Iran's nuclear programme is aimed at weapons development; Tehran insists it is designed solely to generate electricity. The 27-member EU slapped tough new sanctions against Iran's energy and banking sectors in an effort to curb Tehran's nuclear programme and persuade the Islamic republic to return to talks on its atomic activities. Mr Ahmadinejad insisted: "The logic that they can persuade us to negotiate through sanctions is just a failure."
A European former senior envoy to Iran, who was closely involved in earlier nuclear negotiations, agreed that "Iran won't buckle" on suspending uranium enrichment. "What's more important to Iran than pressure of this kind is the nature of any new offer the international community will make, and we don't know whether there's any flexibility on either side," the envoy said in an interview on condition of anonymity.
"At the moment, the Iranians believe the benefits of showing defiance are more than any pain being inflicted." Many Iran experts believe that the sweeping new sanctions, which primarily target the country's vital oil and gas sector, could derail the government's long-heralded but controversial economic reform programme aimed at hauling Tehran out of recession. Due to be launched in September, this involves slashing state subsidies for fuel and basic consumer goods while replacing them with grants for the poor.
But cutting subsidies in the wake of sanctions could ignite social unrest, Iran experts said. "All of this could put Iran in a war embargo footing, even though there is no war," said an Iranian economist in Tehran, who spoke on condition of anonymity. The EU sanctions follow similar measures imposed by the US earlier this month: both go well beyond a fourth set of UN sanctions imposed on June 9 over Iran's refusal to halt uranium enrichment.
Among the EU measures are a ban on the sale of equipment, technology and services to Iran's energy sector. They also restrict private sector interactions with Iran's finance, insurance and transportation sectors. The EU's sanctions are not as stringent as Washington's but are potentially more damaging. The US severed most commercial ties with Iran three decades ago while the EU long remained a major trading partner.
The package was "by some way the most far-reaching sanctions adopted by the EU against any country", EU officials said. Russia, a nominal ally and major trading partner of Iran despite strained relations in recent months, condemned the EU move. "We have already said many times that we consider unacceptable the practice of unilateral or collective sanctions measures against Iran," the Russian foreign ministry said in a statement.
Turkey, meanwhile, has said it will abide by the UN Security Council sanctions but not those imposed by the EU or US. The last high-level talks between Iran and six world powers - the US, Britain, China, Russia, France and Germany - were held in Geneva last October. The two sides reached a tentative accord on a nuclear fuel swap deal that later stalled. Iran said on Monday it was ready to resume talks without conditions on the deal, under which it would ship the bulk of its nuclear fuel abroad in return for plates to power a medical reactor in Tehran.
Mr Ahmadinejad said yesterday that he wanted Brazil and Turkey, which have attempted to resolve the nuclear dispute, to participate in any new negotiations. He did not make clear whether this was a condition for new talks. The EU insists its punitive new measures are part of a dual track approach, primarily aimed at cajoling Iran into a diplomatic solution. Carl Bildt, the Swedish foreign minister, said: "I have yet to meet anyone who thinks that this issue will be sorted out by sanctions alone."
mtheodoulou@thenational.ae
msinaiee@thenational.ae
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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The specs
Engine: 6.2-litre supercharged V8
Power: 712hp at 6,100rpm
Torque: 881Nm at 4,800rpm
Transmission: 8-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 19.6 l/100km
Price: Dh380,000
On sale: now
Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
India squad for fourth and fifth Tests
Kohli (c), Dhawan, Rahul, Shaw, Pujara, Rahane (vc), Karun, Karthik (wk), Pant (wk), Ashwin, Jadeja, Pandya, Ishant, Shami, Umesh, Bumrah, Thakur, Vihari
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
The specs
Engine: 2.7-litre 4-cylinder Turbomax
Power: 310hp
Torque: 583Nm
Transmission: 8-speed automatic
Price: From Dh192,500
On sale: Now
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Almnssa
Started: August 2020
Founder: Areej Selmi
Based: Gaza
Sectors: Internet, e-commerce
Investments: Grants/private funding
Paatal Lok season two
Directors: Avinash Arun, Prosit Roy
Stars: Jaideep Ahlawat, Ishwak Singh, Lc Sekhose, Merenla Imsong
Rating: 4.5/5
Abu Dhabi card
5pm: Handicap (TB) Dh100,000 2,400m
5.30pm: Wathba Stallions Cup Handicap (PA) Dh 70,000 2,200m
6pm: Abu Dhabi Fillies Classic Prestige (PA) Dh110,000 1,400m
6.30pm: Abu Dhabi Colts Classic Prestige (PA) Dh110,000 1,400m
7pm: Handicap (PA) Dh85,000 1,600m
7.30pm: Maiden (PA) Dh80,000 1,600m
The National selections:
5pm: Valcartier
5.30pm: AF Taraha
6pm: Dhafra
6.30pm: Maqam
7pm: AF Mekhbat
7.30pm: Ezz Al Rawasi
Killing of Qassem Suleimani