When Turkey's main opposition leader pledged to nationalise the assets of the "gang of five" this week, the reference was obvious to TV viewers around the country.
Under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, five conglomerates have benefited from multibillion-dollar contracts for infrastructure mega projects that have characterised the 18-year rule of his Justice and Development Party (AKP).
The preferential terms of these contracts and the companies' close ties to the government have earned them a generic nickname that roughly translates as "supporter companies" due to the backing they provide to the ruling party.
In a budget speech in parliament this week, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, head of the Republican People's Party (CHP), vowed to end the "order of theft", saying: "We'll nationalise and seize all the investments of this gang of five that will exploit even our grandchildren."
The five firms – Limak, Cengiz, Kolin, Kalyon and Mapa – are heavily involved in construction but have interests that span the Turkish economy, including media ownership, luxury hotels and the energy sector.
They formed the IGA consortium that built and now operates Istanbul's new airport, a €22 billion ($26.8bn) tender they won in 2013, although Kolin transferred its stake to Kalyon last year.
Like many such projects, which include ports, power stations, roads and hospitals, the airport deal took the form of a build-operate-transfer (BOT) contract. This sees the contractor run the project for a specific period of time – 25 years in the case of Istanbul airport – before passing it on to the state.
The airport contract also includes a government guarantee of revenue to IGA for a minimum number of passengers, a clause common to BOT schemes.
Although the operator said it had surpassed this figure in its first year, other BOT projects have failed to do so, at huge cost to the Turkish taxpayer.
The airport, located north-east of Istanbul near the Black Sea coast, is linked to Anatolia by a third Bosphorus crossing that opened in 2016. Yavuz Sultan Selim bridge is operated by a private group under a deal that includes a government guarantee of toll income from 135,000 cars a day.
According to reports, last year the government paid the operator 3 billion lira ($380,000) due to a shortfall in traffic, leading Turks to joke that they were paying the toll despite never having used the bridge.
These contracts are often priced in foreign currency, adding further burden on the public purse due to the falling lira, which has lost half its value since mid-2018.
A 2018 World Bank study placed Limak, Cengiz, Kolin and Kalyon in the global top 10 of public tender winners between 1990 and 2017, with Limak coming second after French energy giant Suez. While Suez won contracts around the world, the Turkish tenders were all domestic.
In September, the personal relationship between the bosses of these firms and Mr Erdogan were laid bare in a televised ceremony to open a section of the North Marmara highway, which utilises the Yavuz Sultan Selim bridge.
The owners of Cengiz, Limak and Kalyon stood in front of the guests as they were individually thanked by the president. "All thanks to you," Kalyon's chairman Cemel Kalyoncu replied.
Mr Kalyoncu, Cengiz's Mehmet Cengiz, Nihat Ozdemir of Limak, Mapa chairman Nazif Gunal and Kolin's Naci Kologlu all have long-standing ties to Mr Erdogan. Several were caught up in a corruption investigation seven years ago that targeted the president's inner circle.
According to the probe – labelled a coup attempt by Mr Erdogan, who was then prime minister and who quashed the allegations by removing thousands of police and prosecutors involved – businessmen were required to collect $450 million to purchase a newspaper and TV station to ensure their output remained supportive of the government.
Today, nearly all of Turkey's media are controlled by companies that favour Mr Erdogan.
In return, the magnates allegedly get their pick of the large construction contracts that have driven much of Turkey's growth during the AKP era.
"The reward for supporting the government could be business contracts, but the punishment for not supporting it is NOT 'no contracts;' it is getting tax fines and possibly facing bankruptcy," Mert Yildiz, a senior economist at the Burgan Bank Group, wrote in a personal blog shortly after the investigation collapsed.
The five new places of worship
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THE BIO
Ambition: To create awareness among young about people with disabilities and make the world a more inclusive place
Job Title: Human resources administrator, Expo 2020 Dubai
First jobs: Co-ordinator with Magrudy Enterprises; HR coordinator at Jumeirah Group
Entrepreneur: Started his own graphic design business
Favourite singer: Avril Lavigne
Favourite travel destination: Germany and Saudi Arabia
Family: Six sisters
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Brief scores:
Manchester United 4
Young 13', Mata 28', Lukaku 42', Rashford 82'
Fulham 1
Kamara 67' (pen),
Red card: Anguissa (68')
Man of the match: Juan Mata (Man Utd)
Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026
1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years
If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.
2. E-invoicing in the UAE
Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption.
3. More tax audits
Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks.
4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime
Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.
5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit
There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.
6. Further transfer pricing enforcement
Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes.
7. Limited time periods for audits
Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion.
8. Pillar 2 implementation
Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.
9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services
Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations.
10. Substance and CbC reporting focus
Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity.
Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Four reasons global stock markets are falling right now
There are many factors worrying investors right now and triggering a rush out of stock markets. Here are four of the biggest:
1. Rising US interest rates
The US Federal Reserve has increased interest rates three times this year in a bid to prevent its buoyant economy from overheating. They now stand at between 2 and 2.25 per cent and markets are pencilling in three more rises next year.
Kim Catechis, manager of the Legg Mason Martin Currie Global Emerging Markets Fund, says US inflation is rising and the Fed will continue to raise rates in 2019. “With inflationary pressures growing, an increasing number of corporates are guiding profitability expectations downwards for 2018 and 2019, citing the negative impact of rising costs.”
At the same time as rates are rising, central bankers in the US and Europe have been ending quantitative easing, bringing the era of cheap money to an end.
2. Stronger dollar
High US rates have driven up the value of the dollar and bond yields, and this is putting pressure on emerging market countries that took advantage of low interest rates to run up trillions in dollar-denominated debt. They have also suffered capital outflows as international investors have switched to the US, driving markets lower. Omar Negyal, portfolio manager of the JP Morgan Global Emerging Markets Income Trust, says this looks like a buying opportunity. “Despite short-term volatility we remain positive about long-term prospects and profitability for emerging markets.”
3. Global trade war
Ritu Vohora, investment director at fund manager M&G, says markets fear that US President Donald Trump’s spat with China will escalate into a full-blown global trade war, with both sides suffering. “The US economy is robust enough to absorb higher input costs now, but this may not be the case as tariffs escalate. However, with a host of factors hitting investor sentiment, this is becoming a stock picker’s market.”
4. Eurozone uncertainty
Europe faces two challenges right now in the shape of Brexit and the new populist government in eurozone member Italy.
Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, which has offices in Dubai, says the stand-off between between Rome and Brussels threatens to become much more serious. "As with Brexit, neither side appears willing to step back from the edge, threatening more trouble down the line.”
The European economy may also be slowing, Mr Beauchamp warns. “A four-year low in eurozone manufacturing confidence highlights the fact that producers see a bumpy road ahead, with US-EU trade talks remaining a major question-mark for exporters.”
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Secret Nation: The Hidden Armenians of Turkey
Avedis Hadjian, (IB Tauris)