Many Europeans think China will be more powerful than the US within 10 years. AP
Many Europeans think China will be more powerful than the US within 10 years. AP
Many Europeans think China will be more powerful than the US within 10 years. AP
Many Europeans think China will be more powerful than the US within 10 years. AP

Europeans believe in greater self-reliance in shift away from influence of US


Jamie Prentis
  • English
  • Arabic

Most Europeans were glad to see Joe Biden voted in as US president, but they do not believe he will quickly return the country to its status as the pre-eminent global leader.

A poll of 15,000 citizens from 11 countries by the European Council on Foreign Relations found that more than 60 per cent of Europeans view the US political system as "broken" and a majority believe China will be more powerful than Washington within a decade.

  • Flowers are placed on a fence, a week after a pro-Trump mob broke into and took over the Capitol, in memory of slain Capitol Police Officer Brian Sicknick in Washington, DC. AFP
    Flowers are placed on a fence, a week after a pro-Trump mob broke into and took over the Capitol, in memory of slain Capitol Police Officer Brian Sicknick in Washington, DC. AFP
  • US President-elect Joe Biden delivers remarks on the public health and economic crises at The Queen theater in Wilmington, Delaware. AFP
    US President-elect Joe Biden delivers remarks on the public health and economic crises at The Queen theater in Wilmington, Delaware. AFP
  • US President-elect Joe Biden delivers remarks as Vice President-elect Kamala Harris looks on during a televised speech at The Queen Theatre in Wilmington, Delaware. Reuters
    US President-elect Joe Biden delivers remarks as Vice President-elect Kamala Harris looks on during a televised speech at The Queen Theatre in Wilmington, Delaware. Reuters
  • A member of the National Guard provides security at the US Capitol in Washington, DC. AFP
    A member of the National Guard provides security at the US Capitol in Washington, DC. AFP
  • National Guard members deploy on US Capitol grounds in Washington, DC. Reuters
    National Guard members deploy on US Capitol grounds in Washington, DC. Reuters
  • Members of the National Guard meet at the Dirksen Senate Office Building in Washington, DC. Reuters
    Members of the National Guard meet at the Dirksen Senate Office Building in Washington, DC. Reuters
  • Members of the National Guard visit the US Capitol Rotunda. Reuters
    Members of the National Guard visit the US Capitol Rotunda. Reuters
  • National Guard soldiers gather in the visitors center of the US Capitol building. EPA
    National Guard soldiers gather in the visitors center of the US Capitol building. EPA
  • Workers install razor wire atop the unscalable fence surrounding the US Capitol. Reuters
    Workers install razor wire atop the unscalable fence surrounding the US Capitol. Reuters
  • FBI Director Christopher Wray speaks during a briefing about the upcoming presidential inauguration of President-elect Joe Biden and Vice President-elect Kamala Harris, at FEMA headquarters. AP Photo
    FBI Director Christopher Wray speaks during a briefing about the upcoming presidential inauguration of President-elect Joe Biden and Vice President-elect Kamala Harris, at FEMA headquarters. AP Photo
  • Vice President Mike Pence elbow bumps with a member of the National Guard as he speaks to troops outside the US Capitol. AP Photo
    Vice President Mike Pence elbow bumps with a member of the National Guard as he speaks to troops outside the US Capitol. AP Photo
  • A sign welcoming the new President and Vice President is displayed on a building near Freedom Plaza in Washington, DC. AFP
    A sign welcoming the new President and Vice President is displayed on a building near Freedom Plaza in Washington, DC. AFP
  • Kyriaki Chris, of Virginia, waves a Biden-Harris flag near the Lincoln Memorial in Washington, DC. AFP
    Kyriaki Chris, of Virginia, waves a Biden-Harris flag near the Lincoln Memorial in Washington, DC. AFP

Mark Leonard, director of the ECFR, said that respondents looked to Germany as the major power with which they wanted a strong relationship.

"In most of the countries surveyed, particularly the bigger ones, Berlin rather than Washington is seen as the go-to capital," he said.

Mr Leonard said he suspected it was "part and parcel of this new approach of looking for a more sovereign and a more autonomous Europe".

“What we found if you take all these things together is that, though people were very happy about Biden and where he’s going, there are real fears about the prevalence of American political problems and the dangers of American weakness on the world stage,” he said.

A majority of Europeans believe US voters might elect a figure similar to departing leader Donald Trump in four years’ time – with 53 per cent of Germans polled saying that “Americans can no longer be trusted” after the president’s tumultuous term at the White House.

Only in Hungary and Poland did a majority of respondents say the US political system worked. Many – at least 50 per cent in all countries – would also want their country to remain neutral in any potential dispute between the US and China.

Europeans also believe in greater self-reliance, according to the poll, with an average of 67 per cent believing “that they cannot always rely on the US to defend them and, therefore, need to invest in European defence”.

Mr Leonard said issues in the US meant Europeans increasingly wanted "to look to themselves".

Ivan Krastev, chairman of the Centre for Liberal Strategies, co-authored a report on the poll's findings with Mr Leonard. He said the "tumultuous" tenure of Mr Trump had left an "indelible imprint" on Europe.

“The majority of Europeans are now sceptical about the capacity of the US to shape the world. It makes many, rightly or wrongly, want to opt for a more independent role for the EU in the world,” he said.

  • US President-elect Joe Biden has made appointments for his senior White House staff. AFP
    US President-elect Joe Biden has made appointments for his senior White House staff. AFP
  • Secretary of State: Antony J Blinken. AFP
    Secretary of State: Antony J Blinken. AFP
  • Director of National Intelligence: Avril Haines. AFP
    Director of National Intelligence: Avril Haines. AFP
  • Ambassador to the UN: Linda Thomas-Greenfield. Bloomberg
    Ambassador to the UN: Linda Thomas-Greenfield. Bloomberg
  • Secretary of Homeland Security: Alejandro Mayorkas. Reuters
    Secretary of Homeland Security: Alejandro Mayorkas. Reuters
  • Former Secretary of State John Kerry will be the special presidential envoy for climate for US President-elect Joe Biden. EPA
    Former Secretary of State John Kerry will be the special presidential envoy for climate for US President-elect Joe Biden. EPA
  • President-elect Joe Biden selected Jake Sullivan as his National Security Advisor, pictured here with Hillary Clinton. EPA
    President-elect Joe Biden selected Jake Sullivan as his National Security Advisor, pictured here with Hillary Clinton. EPA
  • Senior Advisor: Mike Donilon. Seen here on the right, alongside his brother Tom Donilon. Getty Images
    Senior Advisor: Mike Donilon. Seen here on the right, alongside his brother Tom Donilon. Getty Images
  • Deputy Chief of Staff: Jen OMalley Dillon. Getty Images
    Deputy Chief of Staff: Jen OMalley Dillon. Getty Images
  • Counsellor: Steve Ricchetti. Seen here while serving as Deputy Chief of Staff for then President Bill Clinton. Reuters
    Counsellor: Steve Ricchetti. Seen here while serving as Deputy Chief of Staff for then President Bill Clinton. Reuters
  • Senior Adviser to the President and Director of the White House Office of Public Engagement: Cedric Richmond. AFP
    Senior Adviser to the President and Director of the White House Office of Public Engagement: Cedric Richmond. AFP
  • Director of the White House Office of Intergovernmental Affairs: Julie Chavez Rodriguez. Seen here while serving as an aide to Kamala Harris. AFP
    Director of the White House Office of Intergovernmental Affairs: Julie Chavez Rodriguez. Seen here while serving as an aide to Kamala Harris. AFP
  • Biden has also appointed Annie Tomasini as Director of Oval Office Operations, Dana Remus will be Counsel to the President, Julissa Reynoso Pantaleon as Chief of Staff to Dr. Jill Biden, and Anthony Bernal will be Senior Advisor to Dr.Biden. Bloomberg
    Biden has also appointed Annie Tomasini as Director of Oval Office Operations, Dana Remus will be Counsel to the President, Julissa Reynoso Pantaleon as Chief of Staff to Dr. Jill Biden, and Anthony Bernal will be Senior Advisor to Dr.Biden. Bloomberg
  • Reema Dodin is a Palestinian-American political veteran and will become deputy director of the White House office of legislative affairs. Image: Twitter
    Reema Dodin is a Palestinian-American political veteran and will become deputy director of the White House office of legislative affairs. Image: Twitter

The authors of the report noted that while differences remain in how Europeans view the US, opinions are increasingly converging.

“While, at the time of the invasion of Iraq, most Europeans thought their continent was weak and America was strong, the truth is that Europeans are now more positive about themselves and more sceptical about America’s power and political system,” the authors said.

The research was carried out at the end of 2020, before the riots at the US Capitol earlier this month.

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