Anyone who has been stuck in a thunderstorm knows the frisson of fear and wonder it creates. But very occasionally, it proves to be a once-in-a-lifetime encounter with one of nature’s most enigmatic phenomena – ball lightning.
Astonishing accounts of glowing spheres of light emerging during violent thunderstorms and flying through the air have been documented since the time of Aristotle.
Some describe the spheres eerily floating across the landscape as if searching for something, before fading out. Others describe their flight into trees, which were then blasted apart by the encounter, or their entry into homes by burning through windows.
Some point to a frightening amount of energy crammed into the benign-looking exterior. One report from the 1930s describes a glowing ball the size of an orange descending into a barrel full of water and bringing it to the boil.
Not surprisingly, such reports were long dismissed as fantasies.
But scientists have now accepted that ball lightning is real. The sceptics are on the back foot following the first detailed scientific observation of the phenomenon.
The breakthrough has come through the same kind of chance encounter experienced by eye-witnesses.
In July 2012, a team led by Jianyong Cen of Northwest Normal University, China, was carrying out a study of the thunderstorms that break out over the Tibetan Plateau north of the Himalayas.
Their aim was to observe lightning bolts with high-speed instruments able to reveal their spectra, which shows the types of atoms caught up in the bolts.
By pure luck, one of the lightning strikes witnessed by the team was followed by the emergence, about a kilometre away, of a glowing ball. The ball floated through the air, and then, just 1.6 seconds later, vanished.
All too often, eye-witnesses – such as American writer Mike Fook, who graphically described his own encounter with ball lightning in Thailand last April – have admitted being too stunned to record more than the most basic facts about what they have seen.
But the high-speed equipment of the Chinese scientists had no problem collecting a wealth of data.
In their study, published in the latest issue of Physical Review Letters, the team reports that the ball was spawned by a standard cloud-to-ground lightning bolt.
Within a fraction of a second, it had formed into a glowing purple-white sphere about 5 metres across, travelling across the sky at about 30kph.
After about a second it started to shrink and fade, its colour turning to orange, then red before vanishing.
But the big breakthrough has come from the spectrographic observations, which showed the different types of atoms caught up within the ball.
These revealed a mix of silicon, iron and calcium – all components of the soil blasted by the original bolt of lightning.
This is being hailed as a major breakthrough, as it appears to vindicate a theory for the origin of ball lightning put forward more than a decade ago.
Until recently it seemed obvious the solution to the mystery of ball lightning lay in the province of physics, because of the obvious link with electromagnetic radiation.
Yet the eye-witness reports included many oddities that defied simple explanation. Why, for example, was an object supposedly so hot so often described – as it was by Fook – as radiating no heat at all?
And why was an object that should therefore be very buoyant be so often seen near the ground?
This led to growing suspicions that the mystery was likely to be solved not by physics, but by chemistry.
In 2000, chemists Dr John Abrahamson and Dr James Dinniss at the University of Canterbury, New Zealand, duly put forward a theory for ball lightning based on two well-known chemical facts.
First, lightning bolts that strike the ground are heating material rich in chemical elements – in particular silicon, which makes up a quarter of the Earth’s crust. And secondly, silicon is notoriously unstable at high temperatures, and when combined with oxygen in the air, releases heat – and light.
In February 2000, Dr Abrahamson and Dr Dinniss combined these facts in a theory of ball lightning.
Writing in the prestigious science journal, Nature, they suggested that when a bolt of lightning strikes the soil, it creates a vapour of pure silicon which cools to form wispy groups of silicon particles so small they can float.
As these combine with oxygen in the air, chemical reactions take place releasing heat and light. The result – a glowing, floating ball of light we call ball lightning.
Nick-named the “fluffball theory”, it appeared to explain a lot. While packed with chemical energy, the fluffballs would release relatively feeble amounts of heat – explaining the reports of a curious absence of heat.
But release the chemical energy trapped inside and the effects would be dramatic – in line with reports of explosions and blasted trees.
As for the plethora of sightings near the ground, that seemed to be the result of the origin of ball lightning in superheated soil.
The biggest problem with the theory was that it was just that – a theory. Now the observations in Tibet seem to have confirmed its basic tenets.
So is it time to close the file on ball lightning? Not quite – some researchers insist that what was seen in Tibet may be just one type of a much broader phenonomen.
It is a view backed up by research reported last year by Dr Mike Lindsay and his team at the US Air Force Academy in Colorado, who have created something intriguingly like ball lightning over chemical solutions in the laboratory.
What is clear is that the observations from Tibet are likely to spark renewed interest in ball lightning – and demonstrate that the “crazy” claims of ordinary people are sometimes worth taking seriously.
Robert Matthews is visiting reader in science at Aston University, Birmingham
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A widely accepted definition was made by the All Party Parliamentary Group on British Muslims in 2019: “Islamophobia is rooted in racism and is a type of racism that targets expressions of Muslimness or perceived Muslimness.” It further defines it as “inciting hatred or violence against Muslims”.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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