A cardiologist checks the arm strength of a patient during a consultation. Getty Images
A cardiologist checks the arm strength of a patient during a consultation. Getty Images
A cardiologist checks the arm strength of a patient during a consultation. Getty Images
A cardiologist checks the arm strength of a patient during a consultation. Getty Images

How the ‘nocebo effect’ could prove fatal in fight against heart disease


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Many patients with heart disease stop taking life-saving statins, blaming side-effects they insist are triggered by the drugs that lower cholesterol.

But new research suggests the real cause may be the mysterious nocebo effect, the “evil twin” of the placebo effect.

How common are statin side-effects?

Used to cut levels of bad cholesterol linked to heart disease and strokes, statins are one of the most widely prescribed drugs in the world.

They are also one of the most controversial. Despite a wealth of evidence of their benefits, statins have long been dogged by reports of side-effects such as muscular pain and nausea.

In up to one in five patients, the side-effects are so strong they stop taking the drug altogether – with potentially life-threatening consequences.

What is causing the side-effects?

Doctors have long suspected the cause is not statins but the patients themselves. It is widely recognised that simply taking a pill for certain ailments can increase the chances of success even if the pill is a harmless placebo (from the Latin for “I will please”).

But in the 1960s, evidence emerged for the flip side: the nocebo effect (“I will harm”), in which patients convince themselves a drug is to blame for unexplained symptoms.

In the case of statins, the suspicion is that widespread reports of side-effects may lead new patients to blame common ailments, such as muscle pain, on the drug they have started taking.

What is the evidence for a nocebo effect with statins?

Until now, the most impressive evidence is from a 2017 study of more than 10,000 patients who were not told whether they were given statins or a placebo. The results showed that only 2 per cent of patients reported muscle pains over the following year, regardless of whether or not they had taken statins.

But once patients were told they had received statins, complaints of muscle pain soared to more than 40 per cent higher than those not taking the drug. Critics, however, raised doubts about the study – not least that it had been sponsored by pharma companies who make statins.

What’s the new evidence?

A team of UK researchers focused on patients whose side-effects were so severe they stopped taking statins.

Every month for a year, each patient was randomly switched between a statin, an identical but useless placebo or nothing at all, and asked to rate the severity of their complaints from 0 to 100.

The results showed that when the patients took nothing at all, their average symptom severity score was 8.0.

When taking statins, the average score more than doubled. But it rose to almost the same level even when taking the placebo.

Reporting their findings in the current issue of the New England Journal of Medicine, the team concludes that 90 per cent of the severity of the side-effects appear to be due to the nocebo effect, not the statins.

How convincing is the new evidence?

The study involved only 60 patients, which is a relatively small sample. But by giving every patient all three possible treatments, the study gave quite strong evidence that the nocebo effect accounts for most, if not all, of the intensity of side-effects reported by the patients.

New research suggests fears over potential side effects of statins could have dangerous implications for patient welfare. Getty Images
New research suggests fears over potential side effects of statins could have dangerous implications for patient welfare. Getty Images

The principal concern is that the participants are not representative of statin patients who experience side-effects.

Ironically, fear that statins trigger serious symptoms seems to have led many would-be participants to decline to take part. Out of more than 280 patients invited, almost three quarters failed to attend the initial screening, with some explaining they would never take a single statin pill again.

It is therefore possible that the 60 who did take part had relatively mild side-effects because of the nocebo, while most patients have stronger and genuine effects because of the statins.

How did the participants react to the finding?

It seems to have convinced many that the statins were not to blame for their side-effects: more than half have either restarted or plan to resume taking the drug. Even so, more than 40 per cent said they had no intention of doing so.

So are the side-effects all in the mind?

Not necessarily. First, the study is too small to exonerate statins, and needs to be repeated with more – and more varied – types of patient. But there is already evidence that dismissing the symptoms as imaginary is not justified. Studies have shown that both the placebo and the nocebo effect can activate areas of the brain linked to the experience of real symptoms.

What should you do if you have side-effects from statins?

You should talk to your doctor before discontinuing any prescription drug – including statins. It is also advisable to discuss the balance of benefits, because the side-effects are typically unpleasant but not as dangerous as a heart attack or stroke.

Robert Matthews is Visiting Professor of Science at Aston University, Birmingham, UK

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Power: 70bhp

Torque: 66Nm

Transmission: four-speed manual

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On sale: Models from 1966 to 1970

The specs: 2018 Renault Megane

Price, base / as tested Dh52,900 / Dh59,200

Engine 1.6L in-line four-cylinder

Transmission Continuously variable transmission

Power 115hp @ 5,500rpm

Torque 156Nm @ 4,000rpm

Fuel economy, combined 6.6L / 100km

The BIO:

He became the first Emirati to climb Mount Everest in 2011, from the south section in Nepal

He ascended Mount Everest the next year from the more treacherous north Tibetan side

By 2015, he had completed the Explorers Grand Slam

Last year, he conquered K2, the world’s second-highest mountain located on the Pakistan-Chinese border

He carries dried camel meat, dried dates and a wheat mixture for the final summit push

His new goal is to climb 14 peaks that are more than 8,000 metres above sea level

Russia's Muslim Heartlands

Dominic Rubin, Oxford

Who was Alfred Nobel?

The Nobel Prize was created by wealthy Swedish chemist and entrepreneur Alfred Nobel.

  • In his will he dictated that the bulk of his estate should be used to fund "prizes to those who, during the preceding year, have conferred the greatest benefit to humankind".
  • Nobel is best known as the inventor of dynamite, but also wrote poetry and drama and could speak Russian, French, English and German by the age of 17. The five original prize categories reflect the interests closest to his heart.
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Why it pays to compare

A comparison of sending Dh20,000 from the UAE using two different routes at the same time - the first direct from a UAE bank to a bank in Germany, and the second from the same UAE bank via an online platform to Germany - found key differences in cost and speed. The transfers were both initiated on January 30.

Route 1: bank transfer

The UAE bank charged Dh152.25 for the Dh20,000 transfer. On top of that, their exchange rate margin added a difference of around Dh415, compared with the mid-market rate.

Total cost: Dh567.25 - around 2.9 per cent of the total amount

Total received: €4,670.30 

Route 2: online platform

The UAE bank’s charge for sending Dh20,000 to a UK dirham-denominated account was Dh2.10. The exchange rate margin cost was Dh60, plus a Dh12 fee.

Total cost: Dh74.10, around 0.4 per cent of the transaction

Total received: €4,756

The UAE bank transfer was far quicker – around two to three working days, while the online platform took around four to five days, but was considerably cheaper. In the online platform transfer, the funds were also exposed to currency risk during the period it took for them to arrive.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

The cost of Covid testing around the world

Egypt

Dh514 for citizens; Dh865 for tourists

Information can be found through VFS Global.

Jordan

Dh212

Centres include the Speciality Hospital, which now offers drive-through testing.

Cambodia

Dh478

Travel tests are managed by the Ministry of Health and National Institute of Public Health.

Zanzibar

AED 295

Zanzibar Public Health Emergency Operations Centre, located within the Lumumba Secondary School compound.

Abu Dhabi

Dh85

Abu Dhabi’s Seha has test centres throughout the UAE.

UK

From Dh400

Heathrow Airport now offers drive through and clinic-based testing, starting from Dh400 and up to Dh500 for the PCR test.

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The more serious side of specialty coffee

While the taste of beans and freshness of roast is paramount to the specialty coffee scene, so is sustainability and workers’ rights.

The bulk of genuine specialty coffee companies aim to improve on these elements in every stage of production via direct relationships with farmers. For instance, Mokha 1450 on Al Wasl Road strives to work predominantly with women-owned and -operated coffee organisations, including female farmers in the Sabree mountains of Yemen.

Because, as the boutique’s owner, Garfield Kerr, points out: “women represent over 90 per cent of the coffee value chain, but are woefully underrepresented in less than 10 per cent of ownership and management throughout the global coffee industry.”

One of the UAE’s largest suppliers of green (meaning not-yet-roasted) beans, Raw Coffee, is a founding member of the Partnership of Gender Equity, which aims to empower female coffee farmers and harvesters.

Also, globally, many companies have found the perfect way to recycle old coffee grounds: they create the perfect fertile soil in which to grow mushrooms.