Water scarcity has long been a central issue in Arabia, and now research has demonstrated just how pivotal a role it played in shaping where and how people lived over the past 10,000 years.
A study revealed a stark contrast between northern Arabia, where populations could survive during arid times thanks to inland water resources, and the peninsula’s southeast, where people had to flee to the coast at times of drought.
It has also highlighted art on boulders, well-preserved hearths and expertly made stone tools – painting a vivid picture of ancient survival in one of the world’s harshest environments.
“The people of Arabia have had to learn to cope with an environment that was wet and had more rainfall, versus an environment that got drier during long intervals,” said the lead author of the study, Prof Michael Petraglia, of the Max Planck Institute for the Science of Human History in Germany.
The findings are the product of a decade of twice-yearly field trips to desert sites by a multinational team of researchers. While southeastern Arabia, including what is now the UAE and Oman, has been extensively studied by archaeologists, there had been fewer excavations in the northern part of the peninsula.
The past is really a lesson for us all; that climate really is quite significant and we need to take it seriously
Geological analysis indicates that rain increased in Arabia from about 10,000 years ago, creating many lakes scattered across the peninsula, but subsequent fluctuations meant that these came and went.
Dry periods could last centuries, such as one that stretched from 7,500 to 7,200 years ago, and another from 6,500 to 6,300 years before present.
One of the most notorious arid spells was the “Dark Millennium”, a time of great hardship that began about 5,900 years ago and lasted for eight centuries.
Yet, excavations have shown that some populations remained inland in northern Arabia even at times of drought because there were deep aquifers and seasonal lakes that could be exploited.
“People were coalescing around oases and tapping into the water table,” said Prof Petraglia.
A key part of the research, published this year in the American journal the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, involved analysing satellite images, which revealed as many as 10,000 ancient lakes in Arabia.
The 'palaeolakes' leave behind lake plains – the former lake bottom – and ancient shorelines that can be distinguished from surrounding ecology or vegetation.
The researchers “ground truthed” their maps, travelling by four-wheel drive and helicopter to isolated desert areas to find if there really had been lakes in the areas indicated by satellite images.
Visiting about 200 locations, they looked for lake deposits, such as muds and ancient clays, and freshwater shells, and found that their data was about 90 per cent accurate.
The presence of artefacts like hand axes and hearths, underground pits later analysed with radiocarbon dating, indicated that seven out of 10 of the ancient lakes, many in the Nafud desert, were once inhabited.
“We found hearths that look like they were put out yesterday. They were beautifully preserved, but when we tested them, they were several thousand years old,” said Prof Petraglia.
“People have repeatedly occupied these areas when there was water. They came and went through time.”
The area has also yielded magnificent rock art, including petroglyphs carved into the rocks with hammers, and paintings created with red dyes. Depictions included camels with prominent ribs – thought to indicate animals starving during harsh dry periods.
Some of the wells still exist and are celebrated tourist sites, such as the large walled structure at Tayma in Saudi Arabia.
“People were coalescing around oases and tapping into the water table. Over the last 5,000 years people started to conserve surface water – they started to build dams and to excavate shallow wells,” said Prof Petraglia.
Further south, conditions during dry periods were even harsher: inland there was so little water and vegetation that the mobile populations of animal herders who had lived there were forced to relocate to the Arabian Gulf coast, including to areas that are now part of the UAE.
Excavations on the UAE’s Akab island, near Umm Al Quwain, have previously highlighted mounds of dugong bones from the Dark Millennium, which researchers suggest could reflect ritualised consumption.
Other previous studies, of burials from around the same time at Jebel Buhais, a mountain area in Sharjah, indicated that people were generally healthy, although some remains showed damage indicating violence.
Following the Dark Millennium, conditions improved and populations spread more widely, practising oasis agriculture and trading regionally.
Archaeologists say the history of climate-induced hardship and how it has shaped where people can live offers lessons as Arabia faces temperature increases in modern times.
Prof Petraglia said it indicates the importance of conserving underground water resources and of selecting the right crops and animals for harsh conditions.
“The past shows resilience to some of these climatic changes, but that some populations had a very hard time coping with these changes. We think some populations had to move or possibly died out,” he said.
“The past is really a lesson for us all; that climate really is quite significant and we need to take it seriously.”
Four motivational quotes from Alicia's Dubai talk
“The only thing we need is to know that we have faith. Faith and hope in our own dreams. The belief that, when we keep going we’re going to find our way. That’s all we got.”
“Sometimes we try so hard to keep things inside. We try so hard to pretend it’s not really bothering us. In some ways, that hurts us more. You don’t realise how dishonest you are with yourself sometimes, but I realised that if I spoke it, I could let it go.”
“One good thing is to know you’re not the only one going through it. You’re not the only one trying to find your way, trying to find yourself, trying to find amazing energy, trying to find a light. Show all of yourself. Show every nuance. All of your magic. All of your colours. Be true to that. You can be unafraid.”
“It’s time to stop holding back. It’s time to do it on your terms. It’s time to shine in the most unbelievable way. It’s time to let go of negativity and find your tribe, find those people that lift you up, because everybody else is just in your way.”
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Dr Amal Khalid Alias revealed a recent case of a woman with daughters, who specifically wanted a boy.
A semen analysis of the father showed abnormal sperm so the couple required IVF.
Out of 21 eggs collected, six were unused leaving 15 suitable for IVF.
A specific procedure was used, called intracytoplasmic sperm injection where a single sperm cell is inserted into the egg.
On day three of the process, 14 embryos were biopsied for gender selection.
The next day, a pre-implantation genetic report revealed four normal male embryos, three female and seven abnormal samples.
Day five of the treatment saw two male embryos transferred to the patient.
The woman recorded a positive pregnancy test two weeks later.
MATCH INFO
English Premiership semi-finals
Saracens 57
Wasps 33
Exeter Chiefs 36
Newcastle Falcons 5
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%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ERobert%20Lorenz%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarring%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Liam%20Neeson%2C%20Kerry%20Condon%2C%20Jack%20Gleeson%2C%20Ciaran%20Hinds%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E2%2F5%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
The specs: 2018 Nissan 370Z Nismo
The specs: 2018 Nissan 370Z Nismo
Price, base / as tested: Dh182,178
Engine: 3.7-litre V6
Power: 350hp @ 7,400rpm
Torque: 374Nm @ 5,200rpm
Transmission: Seven-speed automatic
Fuel consumption, combined: 10.5L / 100km
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
THE DETAILS
Solo: A Star Wars Story
Dir: Ron Howard
Starring: Alden Ehrenreich, Emilia Clarke, Woody Harrelson
3/5
The specs: 2018 Ford F-150
Price, base / as tested: Dh173,250 / Dh178,500
Engine: 5.0-litre V8
Power: 395hp @ 5,000rpm
Torque: 555Nm @ 2,750rpm
Transmission: 10-speed automatic
Fuel consumption, combined: 12.4L / 100km
Barcelona 3
Messi (27’, 32’, 87’)
Leganes 1
El Zhar (68’)
Racecard
6.35pm: American Business Council – Maiden (PA) Dh80,000 (Dirt) 1,600m
7.10pm: British Business Group – Maiden (TB) Dh82,500 (D) 1,200m
7.45pm: CCI France UAE – Handicap (TB) Dh87,500 (D) 1,400m
8.20pm: Czech Business Council – Rated Conditions (TB) Dh105,000 (D) 1,400m
8.55pm: Netherlands Business Council – Rated Conditions (TB) Dh95,000 (D) 1,600m
9.30pm: Indian Business and Professional Council – Handicap (TB) Dh95,000 (D) 1,200m
The specs: 2018 Nissan Patrol Nismo
Price: base / as tested: Dh382,000
Engine: 5.6-litre V8
Gearbox: Seven-speed automatic
Power: 428hp @ 5,800rpm
Torque: 560Nm @ 3,600rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 12.7L / 100km