Energy subsidies should be phased out, private investment encouraged and national energy strategies established, the Arab Forum for Environment and Development has said. Pawan Singh / The National
Energy subsidies should be phased out, private investment encouraged and national energy strategies established, the Arab Forum for Environment and Development has said. Pawan Singh / The National

Arab states need ‘new relationship with oil’



sharjah // Arab states have been urged to re-evaluate their relationship with oil, phase out energy subsidies and invest heavily in renewable energy.

Revenue from oil and gas will continue to be crucial but governments should use the funds to develop renewable resources and focus on energy efficiency.

Energy subsidies should be phased out, private investment encouraged and national energy strategies established, the Arab Forum for Environment and Development says in a new report.

“Oil and gas are important, they will continue to be important,” said Najib Saab, the forum’s secretary general. “We call for more careful use of oil and gas and for more serious development of renewable energy.”

The forum published its report on Monday into the state of sustainable energy in 22 countries in the region.

Throughout the Arab world, hydrocarbons account for an average 36 per cent of GDP, but the figure varies widely from country to country – from 33 per cent in the UAE to 88 per cent in Saudi Arabia and Qatar, up to more than 97 per cent in Algeria and Iraq.

“Oil revenues have not been able to spur the kind of economic diversification many Arab producers aspired to and continue to aspire to, leaving most of them exceptionally reliant on what have proven to be highly volatile oil revenues,” the report says.

Hydrocarbons are important not only as a source of revenue for Arab countries but also for energy production locally. Oil and gas provide 97 per cent of domestic demand in the region, with renewables providing the rest.

However, oil and gas resources are being used inefficiently, with Arab economies among the least efficient in the world, the report warns.

In the past decade, the demand for energy and electricity has risen at an average of 8 per cent a year – outstripping economic growth at 4 per cent – and energy subsidies are a major part of the problem.

“Arab residential markets, for example, are the most heavily subsidised, with some countries offering an implied subsidy of up to 95 per cent for residential energy consumption,” says the report.

And while carbon emissions per capita in the 22 countries are among the highest in the world, 35 million people lack access to modern energy services.

Dr Saab said countries should focus on energy efficiency.

“The first source of renewable energy in the Arab countries is energy efficiency because we found out that you can save 50 per cent of the energy you are using through efficiency measures and still have the same amount of production.”

He said that on a more positive note, many governments in the region were realising the potential of solar and wind power. In 2012, new investment in renewables reached Dh7 billion, a six-fold increase from 2004. The UAE has been a pioneer in pursuing renewables, said Mr Saab.

Glada Lahn, a research fellow at Chatham House in the UK, agreed that a focus on energy efficiency was crucial.

“I am very excited about the level of ambition for renewable energy and the targets that are appearing in the region, but with 5 to 10 per cent growth in power demand these countries will not meet their renewable energy targets without efficiency,” she said.

Dr Malek Kabariti, a former minister of energy in Jordan and chairman of the country’s National Electric Power Company, called the report “extremely courageous” for its recommendation to phase out energy subsidies.

“We have the worst situation in Jordan, and I think a similar situation in Egypt and probably the Gulf countries,” he said. “Subsidies only go to the rich. Poor people do not have 3,000 square metres to live in, they do not have three four-wheel drives or Mercedes or BMWs, these people hardly use energy.

“It is very important to give the money to the right people.”

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Fast facts on Neil Armstrong’s personal life:

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  • After Armstrong departed Nasa, he bought a farm in the town of Lebanon, Ohio, in 1971 – its airstrip allowed him to tap back into his love of flying
  • In 1994, Janet divorced Neil after 38 years of marriage. Two years earlier, Neil met Carol Knight, who became his second wife in 1994 
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Round 2: January 22-23, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
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Round 4: February 14-16, Yas Marina Circuit – Abu Dhabi
 
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