From 1million euros at Atletico Madrid two summers ago, David de Gea is now worth 20 times more.
From 1million euros at Atletico Madrid two summers ago, David de Gea is now worth 20 times more.

Bargain hunting for players on a tricky Premier League roulette



Two summers ago Wigan Athletic were offered a teenage Spanish goalkeeper. Tall and talented, a European champion at youth international level, and with a strong debut season as a Segunda B professional behind him, the player's credentials were impressive.

Atletico Madrid were ready to sell for €2 million (Dh10.75m). Some keen negotiation cut the fee to an initial €1m, yet still Wigan considered the deal too risky.

And so the DW Stadium lost out on David de Gea. The same De Gea who at the end of this month, once contractually free to change agents, is expected to replace Edwin van der Sar at Manchester United at a cost of €20m.

Transfers tantalise because they can only be properly assessed in retrospect. For years the most monied clubs of Europe eyed Fernando Torres until Liverpool decided to cash in and Chelsea were sucked into spending £50m (Dh301m) on a forward who did not have time to take a proper medical then returned just one goal in 18 appearances.

Roman Abramovich, the Chelsea owner, was not alone in such high stakes manoeuvres.

Liverpool threw their January takings at Andy Carroll and Luis Suarez. Manchester City went for Edin Dzeko at £27m, Aston Villa purchased a £24m Premier League survival package in Darren Bent, and Tottenham Hotspur littered £30m-plus offers around Spain.

As Uefa observed the record spend with a pointed reminder that clubs were supposed to be balancing their books ahead of incoming Financial Fair Play (FFP) regulations, goals failed to flow like the cash. Between them the five strikers were to claim just 18 league strikes; half of those from Bent.

The newly opened window may be only marginally more considered. There are certainly good intentions. City, Liverpool and Tottenham plan to strip their wage bills of non-contributing high earners to make space for younger players with high resale values.

The problem is finding takers for their Wayne Bridges, Joe Coles and David Bentleys. The rest of the league has cottoned on to the strategy of concentrating resources on individuals who have yet to peak.

"It's actually quite a small pool of players that everyone is looking at," one senior scout said. "We all want 24 to 25-year-olds, we all want centre forwards and wingers, and there's not many that fit the bill. Everyone is looking at the same 10 guys so it takes big money to get them."

Adding to the competition is the unusual openness at the top of the league. United recovered the title with the lowest points total in a decade. Chelsea led for a long period, Arsenal thought they could steal between the two, City were within range, and even Tottenham declared themselves contenders.

Four of those five enter next season with serious title ambitions, while Liverpool and Tottenham seek to push incumbents out of Champions League berths. United, Chelsea and Arsenal are all set up to be more aggressive in the summer transfer market than they have been for years.

Part of the task for Sir Alex Ferguson, the United manager, is dealing with obsolescence. Ideally, he might have waited a season more for De Gea, but Van der Sar's retirement forced his hand. Gary Neville's departure during the campaign, and Paul Scholes's at the end of it, have created vacancies at right-back and central midfield, where Owen Hargreaves has also been released.

Though the Scot's masterful campaign to keep Wayne Rooney at Old Trafford convinced the Glazer family to release funds for contract renewals, Ferguson must spread his resources to a certain extent.

Wesley Sneijder, who is unsettled at Inter Milan, was targeted but he already earns an after-tax salary of €4.5m and would command a hefty transfer fee. With Daniel Levy seeking to rationalise Tottenham's squad, the more modestly remunerated Luka Modric is now the main focus of Ferguson's attentions.

A fight with Liverpool for Aston Villa's Ashley Young has swung in Ferguson's favour. Talks will take place next week to discuss extending the final year of Park Ji-sung's deal at United, while there is interest in Everton's Jack Rodwell and Phil Jones of Blackburn Rovers, who can both operate in midfield as well as the defence.

With a squad overloaded with older, foreign players those young English talents also appeal to Chelsea. The restructure of their playing resources, however, is being delayed by a broader overhaul of the club.

Abramovich has taken a more hands-on role in transfers than at any point of his ownership, yet is limited in the time he can spend on football business.

Buying Guus Hiddink out of his contract as Turkey coach will bring a trusted figure to the Cobham training facility, but having finally dispensed with failed sporting director Frank Arnesen and most of his scouting staff a new recruitment network is urgently required.

Abramovich is considering employing Ewan Chester, a diligent scout with a record of building well-organised and successful systems at Glasgow Rangers, Fulham and Norwich.

At Arsenal there is an unusual urgency to spend. Faced with a disgruntled support and now accountable to a majority owner, Arsene Wenger's inclination towards economy has shifted. "For the first time in a while, I will be very active," Wenger said.

Nicklas Bendtner, Andrey Arshavin, Denilson, Emmanuel Eboue and Carlos Velas are all on the market, while Gael Clichy and Samir Nasri's refusal to extend contracts entering their final years may force sales.

Once again Cesc Fabregas wants to join Barcelona, who believe they can acquire the midfielder and Italy striker Guiseppe Rossi for around €30m each. Wenger is placing inquiries in every position except right-back.

Liverpool's strategy has more focus. There are significant funds for transfers, and a concentration on home-grown players in their early 20s.

Sunderland's Jordan Henderson is a preferred signing in midfield, with Blackpool's Charlie Adam an option. As Young is expected to go to United, Villa's Stewart Downing is wanted on the wing; Blackburn's Jones favoured at centre back.

An approach was made to Benfica for Fabio Coentrao until it became clear the Portugal left-back was headed for Real Madrid. The UK-based options of Newcastle United's Jose Enrique and Celtic's player of the year Emilio Izaguirre have diminished in appeal as Liverpool have watched them with the latter now the subject of a £2.5m bid from Newcastle instead. Kenny Dalglish is, though, keen on Ipswich's Connor Wickham as a backup centre forward.

Ironically, it is Manchester City who plan the most conservative summer. Aware they must significantly cut wages to show willing on FFP, the priority is to sell or loan 10 or more surplus players, including Emmanuel Adebayor, Roque Santa Cruz and Craig Bellamy.

City hope that Carlos Tevez's £6.5m net salary and a £50m asking price will prevent them from having to replace the forward, as they continue a policy of only signing ambitious, younger individuals who will improve an already well-balanced squad.

Roberto Mancini would prefer to spend heavily again; he'd be better hoping for this summer's De Gea.

CLUB CALLING

MANCHESTER UNITED:
Budget: Up to £60million
Looking for: GK, RB, CM, AM/W, CF

State of play: Reasonably well advanced. David de Gea will join once a contract with his current agent expires at the end of this month, and United are in poll position for Ashley Young. Sir Alex Ferguson will focus resources on Luka Modric, who is ready to leave Tottenham, and may make opportunistic offers for Jack Rodwell and Phil Jones. Owen 
Hargreaves had been released Wes Brown is for sale, and a decision will be taken on Danny Welbeck and Dimitar Berbatov.

CHELSEA:
Budget: Generous support expected for new management team.
Looking for: Every position; particularly keen on playmaker to feed Torres.

State of play: Without a manager, director of football, chief scout or a strong chief executive, Chelsea are in a state of limbo. Top agents complain of communication difficulties and uncertainty over the club's direction. John Obi Mikel, Jose Bosingwa, Paulo Ferreira, Nicolas Anelka and Didier Drogba are uncertain about their futures, while the club's best academy product, Josh McEachran, is still waiting on a new contract. Preliminary conversations have been held over Neymar, Romelu  Lukaku, Gregory van der Wiel, and Sergio Aguero. Guus Hiddink has recommended Turkey playmaker Arda Turan.

MANCHESTER CITY:
Budget: Aim to fund purchases with sales.
Looking at: CD, CM, FW, LB, RB

State of play: Though there always remains the possibility of Sheikh Mansour indulging in something dramatic, internally City are  focused on controlling spending with FFP in mind. Clearing out surplus players  who "the club has outgrown" is a priority, though so generous are the  wages of individuals like Craig Bellamy, Wayne Bridge, Roque Santa Cruz, Shaun Wright-Phillips that sales or loans will prove difficult. Celtic want  Shay Given, Emmanuel Adebayor could stay at Real Madrid or be taken by  Everton.
There is interest in Leighton Baines should Alexander Kolarov leave, and a centre back will be signed. Udinese attacker Alexis Sanchez prefers to remain in Italy.

ARSENAL:
Budget: £25million plus sales.
Looking at: GK, CD, LB, CM, CF

State of play: A degree of uncertainty over Arsene Wenger's long-term future at Arsenal is reflected in a dramatic shift in transfer strategy. The Frenchman says he will be busier than in previous  summers and that there is a "need to improve the size of our squad. We need a bigger variety in the height of our players". With Cesc Fabregas increasingly unsettled, he may cash in on his captain, and has asked for a powerful penalty-box striker. A goalkeeper is wanted to compete with Wojciech Szczesny and there have been inquiries for PSG centre back Mamadou Sakho and the Blackburn duo Phil Jones of Christopher Samba. Leighton Baines  is an option at left back

LIVERPOOL:
Budget: Up to £50m.
Looking at: GK, LB, CD, CM, W, CF

State of play: With the club's American owners dismayed at a  wage bill that allocates close to a GBP1m a month to the rarely used Joe Cole and Milan Jovanovic, Liverpool's strategy is markedly focused on value  for money and potential resale value. Stewart Downing, Jordan Henderson,  Phil Jones and Connor Wickham are all English, young, and relatively cheap in terms of wages. Left back remains a problem area with Kenny Dalglish and the scouting department cooling on Jose Enrique and Emilio Izaguirre,  while a back-up goalkeeper is needed after free agent Brad Friedel chose Tottenham over Anfield.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE. 

Read part four: an affection for classic cars lives on

Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative 

Skewed figures

In the village of Mevagissey in southwest England the housing stock has doubled in the last century while the number of residents is half the historic high. The village's Neighbourhood Development Plan states that 26% of homes are holiday retreats. Prices are high, averaging around £300,000, £50,000 more than the Cornish average of £250,000. The local average wage is £15,458. 

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