The United States policy on Iraq is now largely framed by a recognition that appeasing Iranian-backed militias in the country will not translate into a policy of stabilising Iraq.
While the American military presence in Iraq is formally to combat ISIS, strikes conducted against Iranian-backed militias over the past few months highlight American seriousness in meeting the threat posed by these militias.
The killing of Quds Force commander Qassem Suleimani and the effective leader of the Popular Mobilisation Units in Iraq, Abu Mahdi Al Muhandis, on January 3 was a watershed moment. It was the most significant action by Washington to limit Tehran’s control over Baghdad.
While Suleimani’s militant role in the region was well known, Al Muhandis played a significant role in Iraq for over a decade. In 2007, he created Kataib Hezbollah and thereafter led the paramilitary group, which aims to recreate the Hezbollah model of Lebanon and to steer both political and security policies in Iraq. It was Al Muhandis's men who stormed the US embassy compound in Baghdad last December, and they are largely responsible for the frequent rocket fire on bases housing American soldiers in Iraq.
There is now an active war between the United States and Kataib Hezbollah, with regular exchange of rockets on Iraqi territory.
America's main challenges in Iraq stem from the reality that it often relies on political actors close to Iran
On December 29, 2019, the US carried out strikes on five of the group's bases in Iraq, and has continued to strike it since. Last week, reports came out that the administration of Donald Trump is set on eliminating the group. While it is by no means the only Iran-backed militia in Iraq, it is undoubtedly the most lethal. It has not only attacked US soldiers, but been responsible for kidnapping and killing countless Iraqis.
The New York Times published a story this week highlighting divisions in Washington relating to policies targeting Kataib Hezbollah. While Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and members of the National Security Council advocate a campaign against the group, the Pentagon and military are resistant, primarily due to the resources and commitment it would take. The news report was one of those stories based on leaks from insiders who appear to disagree with the administration's direction and want to force a change through public pressure.
America’s strikes against Kataib Hezbollah are sending messages heard loud and clear in Baghdad. As former Najaf governor Adnan Al Zurfi tries to form a government – and his time is running out – it is Iran’s most ardent supporters who are against him. The Prime Minister designate will assess how much support he can muster from Washington, western and Arab allies at a time when Iranian-backed political parties are digging in their heels and trying to scupper his ability to form a government.
America’s main challenges in Iraq stem from the reality that the US often relies on political actors who are, in essence, close to Iran and not willing to upset it. But in the current climate, both independent and nationalist Iraqis are in need of clearer American support.
Iranian-backed militias are monitoring US actions closely. Any hesitation or lack of commitment in supporting the Prime Minister designate or a lack of clarity on their next steps will embolden Kataib Hezbollah and its supporters. Hadi Al Ameri of the Badr Brigades, one of Tehran’s closest allies in Baghdad, has already announced his coalition’s rejection of Al Zurfi. Meanwhile, he is also monitoring the possibility of Kataib Hezbollah being struck for good, thus allowing Badr to play a more prominent role.
All of this is happening at a time when the US military is actively handing over bases to the Iraqi security forces. K1 base in Kirkuk was the most recent of three major handovers in the month of March. While American officials insist this is part of a consolidation of their presence and in line with the international coalition's plans, Iran and its proxies are billing the handovers as an "American withdrawal". As Iran and the US vie for influence in Iraq, images of American troops withdrawing dishearten Iraqi groups wanting to stand up to Iran.
Seventeen years after the war that deposed Iraq’s president Saddam Hussein, the United States handing military bases over to Iraqi forces should be a cause for celebration. But the realities of Iraq today mean that without clear American political engagement, military movements are seen as signals of intent.
Another matter being watched in Baghdad is the US presidential race. Should Joe Biden, the Democrats’ presumptive presidential nominee for November’s elections, win, Iraq would face the challenge of having an American president who actively advocated for the break-up of the country. The infamous "Biden plan" that he promoted while he was a senator is fresh in the minds of many Iraqis. Any revival of such a plan would play directly into Iran’s hands. While Donald Trump has some contentious policies, his open commitment to limiting Iran’s role in the region has put Tehran on alert in Iraq.
In the coming months, and as the United States is caught up in fighting both Covid-19 and a presidential race, the fear is that a further vacuum will be created that Iran will be desperate to fill. Kataib Hezbollah is at the forefront of Iran’s tools in filling that void. If it is not confronted, it will escalate and try to expand its position to mirror that of its Lebanese counterpart. That would be an even greater risk to Iraq and the region.
Mina Al-Oraibi is editor-in-chief of The National
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Common OCD symptoms and how they manifest
Checking: the obsession or thoughts focus on some harm coming from things not being as they should, which usually centre around the theme of safety. For example, the obsession is “the building will burn down”, therefore the compulsion is checking that the oven is switched off.
Contamination: the obsession is focused on the presence of germs, dirt or harmful bacteria and how this will impact the person and/or their loved ones. For example, the obsession is “the floor is dirty; me and my family will get sick and die”, the compulsion is repetitive cleaning.
Orderliness: the obsession is a fear of sitting with uncomfortable feelings, or to prevent harm coming to oneself or others. Objectively there appears to be no logical link between the obsession and compulsion. For example,” I won’t feel right if the jars aren’t lined up” or “harm will come to my family if I don’t line up all the jars”, so the compulsion is therefore lining up the jars.
Intrusive thoughts: the intrusive thought is usually highly distressing and repetitive. Common examples may include thoughts of perpetrating violence towards others, harming others, or questions over one’s character or deeds, usually in conflict with the person’s true values. An example would be: “I think I might hurt my family”, which in turn leads to the compulsion of avoiding social gatherings.
Hoarding: the intrusive thought is the overvaluing of objects or possessions, while the compulsion is stashing or hoarding these items and refusing to let them go. For example, “this newspaper may come in useful one day”, therefore, the compulsion is hoarding newspapers instead of discarding them the next day.
Source: Dr Robert Chandler, clinical psychologist at Lighthouse Arabia
ZAYED SUSTAINABILITY PRIZE
Our legal consultant
Name: Dr Hassan Mohsen Elhais
Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.
MATCH INFO
Liverpool 2 (Van Dijk 18', 24')
Brighton 1 (Dunk 79')
Red card: Alisson (Liverpool)
'The Sky is Everywhere'
Director:Josephine Decker
Stars:Grace Kaufman, Pico Alexander, Jacques Colimon
Rating:2/5
How do Sim card scams work?
Sim swap frauds are a form of identity theft.
They involve criminals conning mobile phone operators into issuing them with replacement Sim cards by claiming to be the victim, often pretending their phone has been lost or stolen in order to secure a new Sim.
They use the victim's personal details - obtained through criminal methods - to convince such companies of their identity.
The criminal can then access any online service that requires security codes to be sent to a user's mobile phone, such as banking services.
THE BIG MATCH
Arsenal v Manchester City,
Sunday, Emirates Stadium, 6.30pm
What is hepatitis?
Hepatitis is an inflammation of the liver, which can lead to fibrosis (scarring), cirrhosis or liver cancer.
There are 5 main hepatitis viruses, referred to as types A, B, C, D and E.
Hepatitis C is mostly transmitted through exposure to infective blood. This can occur through blood transfusions, contaminated injections during medical procedures, and through injecting drugs. Sexual transmission is also possible, but is much less common.
People infected with hepatitis C experience few or no symptoms, meaning they can live with the virus for years without being diagnosed. This delay in treatment can increase the risk of significant liver damage.
There are an estimated 170 million carriers of Hepatitis C around the world.
The virus causes approximately 399,000 fatalities each year worldwide, according to WHO.
The specs
AT4 Ultimate, as tested
Engine: 6.2-litre V8
Power: 420hp
Torque: 623Nm
Transmission: 10-speed automatic
Price: From Dh330,800 (Elevation: Dh236,400; AT4: Dh286,800; Denali: Dh345,800)
On sale: Now
RACE CARD
6.30pm: Baniyas Group 2 (PA) Dh 97,500 (Dirt) 1,400m.
7.05pm Maiden (TB) Dh 82,500 (D) 1,200m
7.40pm Maiden (TB) Dh 82,500 (D) 1,400m
8.15pm Handicap (TB) Dh 82,500 (D) 1,400m
8.50pm Rated Conditions (TB) Dh 120,000 (D) 1,600m
9.25pm Handicap (TB) Dh 95,000 (D) 1,200m
10pm Handicap (TB) Dh 85,000 (D) 2,000m
BMW M5 specs
Engine: 4.4-litre twin-turbo V-8 petrol enging with additional electric motor
Power: 727hp
Torque: 1,000Nm
Transmission: 8-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 10.6L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh650,000
Result
Arsenal 4
Monreal (51'), Ramsey (82'), Lacazette 85', 89')
West Ham United 1
Arnautovic (64')
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: HyperSpace
Started: 2020
Founders: Alexander Heller, Rama Allen and Desi Gonzalez
Based: Dubai, UAE
Sector: Entertainment
Number of staff: 210
Investment raised: $75 million from investors including Galaxy Interactive, Riyadh Season, Sega Ventures and Apis Venture Partners
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
MOUNTAINHEAD REVIEW
Starring: Ramy Youssef, Steve Carell, Jason Schwartzman
Director: Jesse Armstrong
Rating: 3.5/5
PRO BASH
Thursday’s fixtures
6pm: Hyderabad Nawabs v Pakhtoon Warriors
10pm: Lahore Sikandars v Pakhtoon Blasters
Teams
Chennai Knights, Lahore Sikandars, Pakhtoon Blasters, Abu Dhabi Stars, Abu Dhabi Dragons, Pakhtoon Warriors and Hyderabad Nawabs.
Squad rules
All teams consist of 15-player squads that include those contracted in the diamond (3), platinum (2) and gold (2) categories, plus eight free to sign team members.
Tournament rules
The matches are of 25 over-a-side with an 8-over power play in which only two fielders allowed outside the 30-yard circle. Teams play in a single round robin league followed by the semi-finals and final. The league toppers will feature in the semi-final eliminator.
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Bombshell
Director: Jay Roach
Stars: Nicole Kidman, Charlize Theron, Margot Robbie
Four out of five stars