Counting Indian rupees at a money exchange in New Delhi. The rupee touched a record low of 59.93 to the dollar on Thursday. Saurabh Das / AP Photo
Counting Indian rupees at a money exchange in New Delhi. The rupee touched a record low of 59.93 to the dollar on Thursday. Saurabh Das / AP Photo

Weak Indian rupee just fine — for some



But the currency's decline is making imports more costly. As India buys a great deal of oil and gold, this will compound the current-account deficit woes. But expatriates are cashing in and remittances are soaring.

The slide of the rupee has far-reaching implications for India's economy.

The currency tumbled to record declines this month, hitting an all-time low of almost 60 to the US dollar in trading on Thursday.

"It is definitely a worrying sign," says Varun Goel, the head of portfolio management at Karvy. "Rupee weakness has a big impact on the Indian economy."

The currency's woes have been compounded by the United States appearing to be set to curb its appetite for printing money as well as India's large current account deficit.

India imports far more than it exports, with imports of oil and gold being particularly high. A weaker rupee makes imports more costly, which is a concern after the country's economic growth hit a decade low in the past financial year.

"The price of imported goods like crude oil and machinery components increases, causing upward pressure on inflation," said Mr Goel. "The import bill continues to get bigger with further pressure on the current account and thus leading to further rupee weakness. So it becomes a negative loop. Several manufacturing companies which depend on imported raw materials lose competitiveness."

Some companies have far greater exposure than others.

"On the losing side would be companies which have higher exposure to foreign currency loans, for example Bharti Airtel, Reliance Communications, according to analysts at Icici Securities. "Also, companies, for example Maruti Suzuki, which use imported raw materials in the form of commodities would also be negatively impacted in the profit and loss statement," they wrote in a report.

On the flip side, firms that export goods and services stand to benefit if they have inflows of foreign currency, which can now buy more rupees.

"US dollar appreciation would be positive for sectors like IT, pharmaceuticals, which have earnings in foreign currency," Icici said. It cites the IT giant Infosys as one company that could stand to benefit from the rupee's decline.

"Though the steep Indian rupee depreciation would benefit the exporters, India being a net importer, would be at the losing end in the immediate future. In the financial year 2013 [which ends next March] our trade deficit stood at US$196.5 billion."

The electrical and electronics sector is an area that is highly dependent on buying products from abroad.

"The slide in the rupee has been swift and gradual over the past one month, which has hurt the majority of the import-dependent industries, including electrical equipment importers," said JG Kulkarni, the president of the Indian Electrical and Electronics Manufacturers' Association.

"During the last five years, India's imports of electrical equipment imports have increased at a CAGR [compound annual growth rate] of 30.30 per cent and were at $15.7bn in 2011 to 2012.

"Companies, which have taken forward bets on the rupee in anticipation of the fall, are likely to benefit compared with firms with unhedged positions on the currency."

With the prices of imports increasing because of the weak rupee, this then pushes costs up for consumers, and feeds into inflation.

Concerns about the currency's slide prevented the central bank from cutting interest rates this month, although industry leaders argue that lower rates are needed to help boost the faltering economy.

"On the global front, rising global yields, a strong dollar coupled with concerns around tapering of US stimulus spending have put pressure on emerging market currencies, particularly those running current account deficits," said Arun Khurana, the head of the global markets group at IndusInd Bank.

"If you look at South Africa, India, Turkey, Brazil and Mexico, you will realise it's a global phenomenon. On the local front, concerns around exacerbation of existing current account deficit, FII [foreign institutional investor] selling of Indian debt, increased levels of gold imports in the months of April and May have led to this sudden and unexpected weakening.

"Weak growth, lack of speedy reforms, political uncertainty do not augur well for the rupee," he added. "A 9 per cent move in the currency clearly indicates that the fault lines are too deep and wide to be corrected in the short term."

Anand Rathi, a private bank, predicts that the rupee could bounce back to 54 to 55 against the dollar by September, as government measures to curb gold imports and lower commodity prices help India to trim its current account deficit. It warns that the longer term outlook for the rupee is uncertain "due to a lack of meaningful measures to tackle the current account deficit and uncertainty over capital flows".

There are some who are hoping that the currency will remain depressed.

Sudhesh Giriyan, the vice president and business head of the remittances company Xpress Money, said this was "a very interesting time for the rupee. It's great news for non-resident Indians because they can buy more rupees with their dollars".

Mr Giriyan added there had been a surge in remittances because of the rupee's weakness, with growth from flows from the UAE to India up as much as 15 per cent.

"Whatever is happening right now suits us well because on the non-resident India side since the sentiments on positive, they are always waiting to take advantage of the depreciating value. It's good news for us as a company."

The property market in India is also likely to benefit as expatriates take advantage of the currency's decline to buy homes.

"Because of the differential rate, the value of the money in the hands of expatriate workers in Indian rupee terms is more, so they have more disposable income," said VK Sharma, the managing director and chief executive of LIC Housing Finance.

Results

United States beat UAE by three wickets

United States beat Scotland by 35 runs

UAE v Scotland – no result

United States beat UAE by 98 runs

Scotland beat United States by four wickets

Fixtures

Sunday, 10am, ICC Academy, Dubai - UAE v Scotland

Admission is free

UK's plans to cut net migration

Under the UK government’s proposals, migrants will have to spend 10 years in the UK before being able to apply for citizenship.

Skilled worker visas will require a university degree, and there will be tighter restrictions on recruitment for jobs with skills shortages.

But what are described as "high-contributing" individuals such as doctors and nurses could be fast-tracked through the system.

Language requirements will be increased for all immigration routes to ensure a higher level of English.

Rules will also be laid out for adult dependants, meaning they will have to demonstrate a basic understanding of the language.

The plans also call for stricter tests for colleges and universities offering places to foreign students and a reduction in the time graduates can remain in the UK after their studies from two years to 18 months.

Notable salonnières of the Middle East through history

Al Khasan (Okaz, Saudi Arabia)

Tamadir bint Amr Al Harith, known simply as Al Khasan, was a poet from Najd famed for elegies, earning great renown for the eulogy of her brothers Mu’awiyah and Sakhr, both killed in tribal wars. Although not a salonnière, this prestigious 7th century poet fostered a culture of literary criticism and could be found standing in the souq of Okaz and reciting her poetry, publicly pronouncing her views and inviting others to join in the debate on scholarship. She later converted to Islam.

 

Maryana Marrash (Aleppo)

A poet and writer, Marrash helped revive the tradition of the salon and was an active part of the Nadha movement, or Arab Renaissance. Born to an established family in Aleppo in Ottoman Syria in 1848, Marrash was educated at missionary schools in Aleppo and Beirut at a time when many women did not receive an education. After touring Europe, she began to host salons where writers played chess and cards, competed in the art of poetry, and discussed literature and politics. An accomplished singer and canon player, music and dancing were a part of these evenings.

 

Princess Nazil Fadil (Cairo)

Princess Nazil Fadil gathered religious, literary and political elite together at her Cairo palace, although she stopped short of inviting women. The princess, a niece of Khedive Ismail, believed that Egypt’s situation could only be solved through education and she donated her own property to help fund the first modern Egyptian University in Cairo.

 

Mayy Ziyadah (Cairo)

Ziyadah was the first to entertain both men and women at her Cairo salon, founded in 1913. The writer, poet, public speaker and critic, her writing explored language, religious identity, language, nationalism and hierarchy. Born in Nazareth, Palestine, to a Lebanese father and Palestinian mother, her salon was open to different social classes and earned comparisons with souq of where Al Khansa herself once recited.

MATCH INFO

Europa League semi-final, second leg
Atletico Madrid (1) v Arsenal (1)

Where: Wanda Metropolitano
When: Thursday, kick-off 10.45pm
Live: On BeIN Sports HD

GREATEST ROYAL RUMBLE CARD

The line-up as it stands for the Greatest Royal Rumble in Saudi Arabia on April 27

50-man Royal Rumble

Universal Championship
Brock Lesnar (champion) v Roman Reigns

Casket match
The Undertaker v Rusev

Intercontinental Championship
Seth Rollins (champion) v The Miz v Finn Balor v Samoa Joe

SmackDown Tag Team Championship
The Bludgeon Brothers v The Usos

Raw Tag Team Championship
Sheamus and Cesaro v Bray Wyatt and Matt Hardy

United States Championship
Jeff Hardy (champion) v Jinder Mahal

Singles match
Triple H v John Cena

To be confirmed
AJ Styles will defend his WWE World Heavyweight title and Cedric Alexander his Cruiserweight Championship, but matches have yet to be announced

The low down on MPS

What is myofascial pain syndrome?

Myofascial pain syndrome refers to pain and inflammation in the body’s soft tissue. MPS is a chronic condition that affects the fascia (­connective tissue that covers the muscles, which develops knots, also known as trigger points).

What are trigger points?

Trigger points are irritable knots in the soft ­tissue that covers muscle tissue. Through injury or overuse, muscle fibres contract as a reactive and protective measure, creating tension in the form of hard and, palpable nodules. Overuse and ­sustained posture are the main culprits in developing ­trigger points.

What is myofascial or trigger-point release?

Releasing these nodules requires a hands-on technique that involves applying gentle ­sustained pressure to release muscular shortness and tightness. This eliminates restrictions in ­connective tissue in orderto restore motion and alleviate pain. ­Therapy balls have proven effective at causing enough commotion in the tissue, prompting the release of these hard knots.

Pearls on a Branch: Oral Tales
​​​​​​​Najlaa Khoury, Archipelago Books

COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
 
Started: 2021
 
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
 
Based: Tunisia 
 
Sector: Water technology 
 
Number of staff: 22 
 
Investment raised: $4 million 
Joker: Folie a Deux

Starring: Joaquin Phoenix, Lady Gaga, Brendan Gleeson

Director: Todd Phillips 

Rating: 2/5

Kill%20
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDirector%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Nikhil%20Nagesh%20Bhat%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarring%3C%2Fstrong%3E%3A%20Lakshya%2C%20Tanya%20Maniktala%2C%20Ashish%20Vidyarthi%2C%20Harsh%20Chhaya%2C%20Raghav%20Juyal%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%204.5%2F5%3Cbr%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE.

Part three: an affection for classic cars lives on

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative 

Read part one: how cars came to the UAE