Time dulled what was once cutting-edge technology


James Langton
  • English
  • Arabic

It was April 12, 1981, and as Columbia thundered from the shuttle launch pad on its maiden mission, the news was relayed by teletext machines to news organisations around the world.

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At a safe distance from the plume of flame and smoke, hundreds of cameras clicked furiously. The professional photographers would use couriers to rush their films to developing labs for the morning editions. The public could expect their precious prints in the post a week later.

Thirty years ago, this was the cutting edge of technology and the shuttle was its apogee. As Atlantis orbits the Earth on the programme's final mission this weekend, the shuttle still represents the high point of the United States' manned endeavours in space.

But everything else has changed.

Arguably the most significant moment of 1981 came on August 12, when International Business Machines Corp announced the launch of what we now regard as the world's first personal computer.

The IBM 5150 PC, which cost US$1,565 (Dh5,750) was fitted with an Intel 8088 microprocessor and 16 kilobytes of Ram memory. Today, laptops feature Intel i5 core processors and 4 gigabytes of Ram. The advances are so extraordinary they are hard to process. A single kilobyte represents 1,000 bytes or units of information storage. A single gigabyte equals one billion bytes.

As the shuttle made its debut, so also did the mobile phone. Nordisk MobilTelefoni, a Scandinavian company, rolled out the world's first automated mobile phone network that summer using open source software that encouraged local manufacturers to develop handsets.

Mobira, which changed its name to Nokia, was one of the first to enter the market, although the bulky handsets were too large for any handbag or trouser pocket. Its pioneering Mobira Senator model weighed 10 kilos (Nokia's latest n8 smartphone weighs 135 grams).

A worldwide network with the catchy title International Packet Switched Service linked computers in North American and Europe and spread quickly to the Far East and Australia, but it was three more years before the domain name system was developed and seven before American On Line gave ordinary consumers internet access.

At the Los Angeles Olympics in 1984, Canon demonstrated its prototype of the first filmless digital camera, although the cost - up to $20,000 - made it inaccessible to all but professional newsgathering organisations. Affordable models appeared at the turn of the century. A decade later and film is all but dead.

In October 1981, the Bee Gees appeared on a BBC science programme, Tomorrow's World, with a copy of their latest album, Lying Eyes. The small shiny disc playing the music was the world's first CD and tolled the death of the long-playing vinyl record. Today it is the CD format that is in decline, replaced increasingly by digital downloads. (The Sony Walkman appeared in US markets in 1980, playing now-obsolete cassette tapes.)

Now the shuttle itself is history, the final launch last week watched around the world, streamed live over the internet and, for those lucky enough to attend, captured on the spot by high definition digital cameras built into mobile phones that could send the images to their owners' Facebook pages in seconds.

To most of those watching, the flame-spewing shuttle must have looked not so much as a vision of the future, as a blast from the past.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

What is Folia?

Prince Khaled bin Alwaleed bin Talal's new plant-based menu will launch at Four Seasons hotels in Dubai this November. A desire to cater to people looking for clean, healthy meals beyond green salad is what inspired Prince Khaled and American celebrity chef Matthew Kenney to create Folia. The word means "from the leaves" in Latin, and the exclusive menu offers fine plant-based cuisine across Four Seasons properties in Los Angeles, Bahrain and, soon, Dubai.

Kenney specialises in vegan cuisine and is the founder of Plant Food Wine and 20 other restaurants worldwide. "I’ve always appreciated Matthew’s work," says the Saudi royal. "He has a singular culinary talent and his approach to plant-based dining is prescient and unrivalled. I was a fan of his long before we established our professional relationship."

Folia first launched at The Four Seasons Hotel Los Angeles at Beverly Hills in July 2018. It is available at the poolside Cabana Restaurant and for in-room dining across the property, as well as in its private event space. The food is vibrant and colourful, full of fresh dishes such as the hearts of palm ceviche with California fruit, vegetables and edible flowers; green hearb tacos filled with roasted squash and king oyster barbacoa; and a savoury coconut cream pie with macadamia crust.

In March 2019, the Folia menu reached Gulf shores, as it was introduced at the Four Seasons Hotel Bahrain Bay, where it is served at the Bay View Lounge. Next, on Tuesday, November 1 – also known as World Vegan Day – it will come to the UAE, to the Four Seasons Resort Dubai at Jumeirah Beach and the Four Seasons DIFC, both properties Prince Khaled has spent "considerable time at and love". 

There are also plans to take Folia to several more locations throughout the Middle East and Europe.

While health-conscious diners will be attracted to the concept, Prince Khaled is careful to stress Folia is "not meant for a specific subset of customers. It is meant for everyone who wants a culinary experience without the negative impact that eating out so often comes with."