The pandemic has accelerated existing trends in the payments industry, including shifts towards touchless payments, instant payments and cash displacement. Getty
The pandemic has accelerated existing trends in the payments industry, including shifts towards touchless payments, instant payments and cash displacement. Getty
The pandemic has accelerated existing trends in the payments industry, including shifts towards touchless payments, instant payments and cash displacement. Getty
The pandemic has accelerated existing trends in the payments industry, including shifts towards touchless payments, instant payments and cash displacement. Getty

Digital wallet spending to grow to more than $10tn in 2025


Alkesh Sharma
  • English
  • Arabic

Consumer spending through digital wallets will reach more than $10 trillion in 2025, up from $5.5tn last year, according to a new report.

The growth of more than 80 per cent over the five-year period will be fuelled by the increased adoption of digital payments in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, UK-based Juniper Research said.

It predicted that contactless and e-commerce payments will account for 50 per cent of total digital wallet spending in next five years, from just under 36 per cent last year.

The rapid growth in digital wallet availability, coupled with rising adoption rates, means merchants face difficult choices. Selecting the right wallet providers and the integration costs for using multiple wallets are proving to be a challenge, it added.

“Merchants must base their payment strategies around wallet acceptance in order to support a digitally-engaged addressable market … but must also judge the right wallets to target, or they will be lumbered with increased costs and limited benefits,” the report’s co-author, Alexandria Sadler, said.

The wallets are becoming increasingly capable of both "contactless and remote payments", she added.

A digital wallet stores users’ credit and/or debit card information and links it to a payment gateway to allow purchases at a point of sale. Like a credit card, these wallets will only work at merchants who accept them as a payment method.

Google was the first major company to launch a mobile wallet in 2011, with its Wallet service. Now there are a range of others, such as Samsung Pay, PayPal and Apple Pay. Many telecoms companies and banks have their own mobile wallet offerings.

The increased use of contactless mobile payments, prompted by concerns around cash during the Covid-19 pandemic, has led to greater use of digital wallets across the payments ecosystem, the Juniper report found.

Contactless adoption will continue to rise, with over 34 per cent of mobile handsets expected to use contactless payments in 2025, up from 11 per cent in 2020, it added.

“This growth means integrating contactless-enabled wallets within checkout processes will be critical to meeting changing user expectations.”

The UAE is among the countries leading this adoption.

Two-thirds of people expect the country to become fully cashless by 2030, according to a September poll by Standard Chartered. A report by US-based TechSci Research also found the UAE mobile wallet market is expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 24 per cent to $2.3 billion by 2022.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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