Oil and stocks drop as Donald Trump tests positive for Covid-19

Rising coronavirus cases as well as setback to talks on US stimulus package also weigh on oil prices

President Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump tested positive for Covid-19,. EPA

Oil was caught up in a broad downward move in financial markets after the US President Donald Trump tested positive for the Covid-19 virus.

Futures in New York fell toward $37 a barrel Friday after slumping 3.7 per cent on Thursday.

The US president announced that he and first lady Melania Trump had tested positive for Covid-19, shortly after one of his closest aides, Hope Hicks, had fallen ill with the coronavirus.

Asian stocks fell, as did European and US equity futures, while the dollar swung wildly.

Mr Trump’s positive result will likely sharpen already intense public attention on his handling of the pandemic as he campaigns for re-election against Democrat Joe Biden, who leads in national polls. Oil was already lower before the announcement as the chance of any more US fiscal stimulus before the November election appeared to be fading after talks yielded no immediate breakthrough.

US President Donald Trump announced on a Twitter post that he and first lady Melania Trump have tested positive of Covid-19. Reuters

Hope Hicks, an advisor to US President Donald Trump, tested positive for Covid-19 on October 1. Reuters

Kellyanne Conway, senior adviser to US President Donald Trump, said on October 2 that she has tested positive for Covid-19. Bloomberg

Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, center, announces he tested positive for Covid-19. "I just received word that I am positive for COVID-19. I want to thank all of my friends and colleagues who have reached out to ask how I was feeling in the last day or two," Christie wrote on a tweet. AFP

Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee Chairman Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., says he tested positive for the coronarivus. Johnson’s office announced the diagnosis in a statement on October 3. AP Photo

Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) says Friday that he had tested positive for the virus. AFP

Republican National Committee Chair Ronna McDaniel has tested positive for Covid-19 on September 30, and has mild symptoms, citing multiple sources. AFP

Campaign manager Bill Stepien has tested positive for the coronavirus. Stepien received a diagnosis on October 2 and is experiencing “mild flu-like symptoms.” AFP

Vice President Mike Pence's press secretary Katie Miller, second from left, who is married to Trump’s adviser Stephen Miller, has recovered from Covid-19. AFP

US President Donald Trump's national security adviser, Robert O'Brien, has also been tested positive for coronavirus in July. AFP

Kimberly Guilfoyle, the girlfriend of Donald Trump Jr and a top fundraiser for the Trump campaign, has tested positive for coronavirus in July. AFP

Herman Cain, centre left, has died from coronavirus in July. AFP

“Trump and the coronavirus news, along with the setback to the talks on the US stimulus package, are just triggers and they’re serving as a reminder that the global economy is in trouble at least for the next six months,” said Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights in Singapore.

“What’s coming on top of that is the realisation that there’s more supply coming into the market just as demand growth is weakening.”

The coronavirus is resurgent in Europe and hasn’t been brought under control in big economies such as India, leading to a chorus of forecasters scaling back their estimates for when oil demand will get back to pre-virus levels. Still, the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ crude production was almost unchanged last month from August, according to a Bloomberg survey.

Oil prices are heading for their fourth weekly loss in five amid signs demand has stabilised well below pre-virus levels as the pandemic proves stubbornly persistent. Chinese buying has flagged in recent months after a spree earlier in the year and there’s still a big overhang of inventories worldwide, while refiners are struggling with growing gluts of diesel and jet fuel.

The UAE cut its oil output to the lowest in two years, offsetting increased Saudi Arabian exports as well as added output from Venezuela, Libya and Iran. Iraq also said it remains committed to the Opec+ cuts, including extra curbs to compensate for previous overproduction.

Opec production averaged 24.43 million barrels a day in September, according to the Bloomberg survey, compared with 24.39 million in August. Output was as high as 30.44 million in April as producers opened the taps amid the price war.

The prompt spreads for both WTI and Brent have fallen a bit further into contango - where near-dated prices are cheaper than later-dated ones - this week, suggesting concern about over-supply is increasing.

“Having already had to deal with growing concerns over the demand outlook, the oil market has been unable to escape the broader market sell-off following President Trump’s positive Covid-19 test result,” said Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at ING Bank in Singapore.

Brent, the international benchmark, was down 2.86 per cent trading at $39.76 per barrel at 10:46am UAE time. West Texas Intermediate, which tracks US crude grades, was down 2.87 per cent, trading at $37.66 per barrel.