Nakheel illustrated the Dubai dream



Nakheel once described itself as the place "Where the Vision of Dubai Gets Built", though the slogan is not easily found on its website these days. For a few years, that certainly proved to be true. Its US$12 billion (Dh44.07bn) Palm Jumeirah development transformed the name of a plant that was the source of food and shelter for the Bedouin into the emirate's premier marketing icon, one visible from outer space.

The project, launched off the Dubai coast in 2001, was attractive enough to convince personalities including the property developer Donald Trump and the football star David Beckham into buying in. An aerial view of the island, which now includes lavish hotels, waterfront villas and a monorail, is often featured on international television and in newspapers as an illustration of not just how far engineering can go, but how large were the dreams and ambitions of Dubai.

That same image is now being used to tell a vastly different story. While Nakheel, which means "the palms", may only be part of the Dubai World conglomerate, it remains the best illustration of the Dubai dream. Nakheel and Limitless, another property subsidiary of Dubai World, are top priorities as the conglomerate seeks to restructure. The total value of debt carried by the subsidiaries subject to the restructuring process amounts to about $26bn, of which about $6bn relates to a Nakheel sukuk, Dubai World said yesterday.

When Dubai first set its sights on becoming a globally known financial, trade and tourism centre earlier this decade, a company called Dubai Palm Developers, later Nakheel, came up with the idea to use sand dredged from the expansion of Dubai's ports to create island centres. Such was the demand for the "waterfront lifestyle" in the year-round sunshine of the Gulf that Nakheel's strategy focused on creating more and more shoreline.

Saeed Ahmed Saeed was the company's managing director at the time. He joined Limitless as chief executive in 2005, moving the man-made theme inland with plans for the Arabian Canal, a proposed 75km waterway and a 14,000 hectare city valued at $11bn and $50bn respectively. Construction on the canal began late last year but has since stalled. Mr Saeed, who went on to form Limitless in 2005 and is its current chief executive, expanded the company's portfolio and a string of announcements of projects in Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Russia, India and Vietnam followed.

Meanwhile, James Wilson, a South African who had a good track record of developing holiday resorts, took the helm of Nakheel in early 2005. Its Ibn Battuta Mall had just opened and plans were being made for the company's biggest project ever: Dubai Waterfront, a residential and office community which would cover what it claimed would be "an area twice the size of Hong Kong". Meanwhile, International City, a huge residential development close to Dubai International Airport, was under construction.

The shuffle in the corporate suite continued. Mr Wilson left the company in 2006 and Nakheel was taken over by Chris O'Donnell, an Australian property developer. Even with all the inland activity creating new neighbourhoods out of desert, it was the man-made islands that continued to capture the world's attention. Nakheel's appetite for reclaimed land was whetted with the success of the first of the Palm island trilogy, Palm Jumeirah. The developer went out of its way to keep the island in the spotlight.

The publicity that surrounded Beckham's purchase of an off-plan villa on Palm Jumeirah when he passed through Dubai en route to Japan for the 2002 World Cup finals did wonders for sales on the development, where the first homeowners starting occupancy in late 2007. The hype also boosted property prices, with some homeowners reporting they had doubled their investments in just a few years. Atlantis The Palm, a 50 per cent joint venture between Nakheel and the South African business tycoon Sol Kerzner, also brought attention to the Palm. A fireworks display to mark the opening of the hotel, where guests included the entertainer Kylie Minogue and the actor Robert De Niro, was reported to have cost $20 million.

Nakheel also struck a deal with Mr Trump for a $789m Trump International Tower and Hotel at Palm Jumeirah. With Palm Jumeirah barely finished, Nakheel hatched plans for two more islands, Palm Deira and Palm Jebel Ali. It didn't stop there. Nakheel launched the $14bn The World project, a collection of artificial islands in the shape of a world map off the Dubai coast. Once billed as "the Maldives of the Middle East", construction is yet to begin on the islands, which were fully reclaimed early last year. Both palm projects are now delayed.

Nakheel also tried to outdo its rival, Emaar Properties, with plans to build a tower taller than the Burj Dubai. The structure, which was set to be more than 1km high, was initially to be built at Nakheel's Dubai Waterfront project. After a series of design changes and early consultation costs, thought to have been more than $20m, the location of the tower was planned at a site close to Ibn Battuta Mall.

Set to be the centrepiece of the Nakheel Harbour and Tower development, the tower is yet to make it off the drawing board. The global economic crisis then began to affect the UAE. The Trump project, launched with such fanfare at an extravagant New York press conference a few months before, was put on hold. After being launched on the eve of Cityscape Dubai in October last year, work was suspended on the Waterfront project by the end of the year.

Within the space of a few months, Dubai property prices fell as much as 50 per cent, the off-plan market evaporated and property companies were faced with many buyers who struggled to meet their instalments. Nakheel today struggles with a huge debt and hundreds of people have invested in homes that may never be built. Overzealous expansion plans have also left a significant number of suppliers short of cash and hundreds of people have lost jobs.

How Dubai World will restructure Nakheel and Limitless will now be closely watched, not just locally, but by the world. The success of that process will likely dictate how quickly confidence in Dubai's property market will recover. @Email:agiuffrida@thenational.ae

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Company name: Almouneer
Started: 2017
Founders: Dr Noha Khater and Rania Kadry
Based: Egypt
Number of staff: 120
Investment: Bootstrapped, with support from Insead and Egyptian government, seed round of
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How to play the stock market recovery in 2021?

If you are looking to build your long-term wealth in 2021 and beyond, the stock market is still the best place to do it as equities powered on despite the pandemic.

Investing in individual stocks is not for everyone and most private investors should stick to mutual funds and ETFs, but there are some thrilling opportunities for those who understand the risks.

Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank, says the 20 best-performing US and European stocks have delivered an average return year-to-date of 148 per cent, measured in local currency terms.

Online marketplace Etsy was the best performer with a return of 330.6 per cent, followed by communications software company Sinch (315.4 per cent), online supermarket HelloFresh (232.8 per cent) and fuel cells specialist NEL (191.7 per cent).

Mr Garnry says digital companies benefited from the lockdown, while green energy firms flew as efforts to combat climate change were ramped up, helped in part by the European Union’s green deal. 

Electric car company Tesla would be on the list if it had been part of the S&P 500 Index, but it only joined on December 21. “Tesla has become one of the most valuable companies in the world this year as demand for electric vehicles has grown dramatically,” Mr Garnry says.

By contrast, the 20 worst-performing European stocks fell 54 per cent on average, with European banks hit by the economic fallout from the pandemic, while cruise liners and airline stocks suffered due to travel restrictions.

As demand for energy fell, the oil and gas industry had a tough year, too.

Mr Garnry says the biggest story this year was the “absolute crunch” in so-called value stocks, companies that trade at low valuations compared to their earnings and growth potential.

He says they are “heavily tilted towards financials, miners, energy, utilities and industrials, which have all been hit hard by the Covid-19 pandemic”. “The last year saw these cheap stocks become cheaper and expensive stocks have become more expensive.” 

This has triggered excited talk about the “great value rotation” but Mr Garnry remains sceptical. “We need to see a breakout of interest rates combined with higher inflation before we join the crowd.”

Always remember that past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. Last year’s winners often turn out to be this year’s losers, and vice-versa.

COMPANY PROFILE

Company name: Revibe
Started: 2022
Founders: Hamza Iraqui and Abdessamad Ben Zakour
Based: UAE
Industry: Refurbished electronics
Funds raised so far: $10m
Investors: Flat6Labs, Resonance and various others

Company profile

Company name: Fasset
Started: 2019
Founders: Mohammad Raafi Hossain, Daniel Ahmed
Based: Dubai
Sector: FinTech
Initial investment: $2.45 million
Current number of staff: 86
Investment stage: Pre-series B
Investors: Investcorp, Liberty City Ventures, Fatima Gobi Ventures, Primal Capital, Wealthwell Ventures, FHS Capital, VN2 Capital, local family offices

Company Profile

Name: Direct Debit System
Started: Sept 2017
Based: UAE with a subsidiary in the UK
Industry: FinTech
Funding: Undisclosed
Investors: Elaine Jones
Number of employees: 8

COMPANY PROFILE

Company: Eco Way
Started: December 2023
Founder: Ivan Kroshnyi
Based: Dubai, UAE
Industry: Electric vehicles
Investors: Bootstrapped with undisclosed funding. Looking to raise funds from outside

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

COMPANY PROFILE

Name: Xpanceo

Started: 2018

Founders: Roman Axelrod, Valentyn Volkov

Based: Dubai, UAE

Industry: Smart contact lenses, augmented/virtual reality

Funding: $40 million

Investor: Opportunity Venture (Asia)

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COMPANY PROFILE

Company name: HyperPay

Started: 2014

Founder: Muhannad Ebwini

Based: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Industry: FinTech

Funding size: $55m

Investors: AB Ventures, Amwal Capital, INet, Mada VC, Mastercard, SVC