National Bank of Abu Dhabi is among the lenders that are now contacting some customers to either sell their stock and reduce their outstanding loan facilities, or pledge more collateral. Jumana El Heloueh / Reuters
National Bank of Abu Dhabi is among the lenders that are now contacting some customers to either sell their stock and reduce their outstanding loan facilities, or pledge more collateral. Jumana El HelShow more

Local banks force sale of stock used as collateral



Banks are forcing companies to sell ebbing stock that was pledged as loan collateral during the boom years as lenders brace for a tide of bad debts that could rise as high as Dh50 billion (US$13.61bn).

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The rapid decline in local stock markets has meant that shares and property set aside by companies to cover overdrafts and loans is no longer worth enough - leaving banks exposed and triggering a chain reaction of selling that is forcing stock prices down further.

Bank demands to sell stock holdings is increasing selling pressure on already depressed markets while also sapping crucial loan finance for some companies teetering on the brink of insolvency.

National Bank of Abu Dhabi (NBAD) is among the lenders that are now contacting some customers to either sell their stock and reduce their outstanding loans or pledge more collateral.

"It's a three-stage cycle: denial, anger and acceptance," said Abdulla Al Otaiba, the general manager for corporate banking at NBAD. "Most clients are stuck with the positions before the 2008 drop, and it is just dawning on them that they have been robbed of their wealth and all they have remaining is a huge debt outstanding."

The forced liquidations come amid a regional stock market rout. The Dubai Financial Market has dropped 80 per cent since its high in 2005, and the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange has declined by 60 per cent in the same period.

Booming stock markets and surging property prices encouraged a wave of speculative investment and sometimes lavish spending throughout the region that rapidly unwound three years ago when prices crashed and markets began a spiral of decline that is continuing.

Many high-profile companies have been forced to restructure their debts and sell off prized assets to pay their bankers.

Damas International, one of the region's largest jewellers, was forced to enter lengthy debt restructuring and asset selling after $165 millionof unauthorised transactions were uncovered at the company in 2009.

Other companies have also had to dispose of assets to raise cash as banks end the long-standing practice of "name-lending", where the region's prominent families tapped generous lending with little collateral.

As markets have fallen, legal disputes between banks and their clients over stock portfolios pledged as collateral are rising, say lawyers and auditors.

"Business has been good," says Ashraf Taha Amin, a partner at Al Noor Auditing Bureau in Abu Dhabi and a mediator at Abu Dhabi's Judicial Department. Disputes between banks and borrowers involving mortgaged shares and property have risen by 20 per cent this year at his firm.

"There is more pressure to sell the stocks pledged as markets decline in value. The borrowers are mostly corporate clients, from private businesses to conglomerates, but also include a sizeable chunk of high-net-worth individuals," Mr Amin said.

Lawyers say many disputes between banks and companies are playing out behind closed doors to avoid potentially costly litigation and an uncertain outcome.

"Most banks are reluctant to foreclose where the value of shares and property would not be what they were worth in 2007," said Mohammed Kamal, a partner at Berwin Leighton Paisner. "Instead, they are encouraging clients to actively engage in the disposal of the asset and get the best price and work towards restructuring, refinancing or rescheduling the loans. It's a tricky situation and there isn't a one-size fits all."

Banks have been forced to set aside more cash this year to cover the possibility of loans going bad. Provisions for non-performing loans among the six UAE banks to have reported their third-quarter earnings have risen by about 19 per cent from a year ago. Throughout the UAE financial system, banks had set aside a total of Dh49.2bn for non-performing loans at the end of August - up by almost a third on a year earlier.

"Historically, corporate bankers tended to focus too much on collateral rather than the cash of the businesses they were lending to," said Raj Madha, an analyst at Rasmala Investment Bank. "That has led to problems as liquidity has dried up and collateral valuations have fallen. Since the crisis, banks have refocused on cash-flow-based lending - going back to the nuts and bolts of corporate financing."

Sultan bin Nasser Al Suwaidi, the Governor of the Central Bank, on Friday urged banks to introduce new ways of managing credit risks.

"Banks need to adopt a flexible policy on liquidity risk management and to introduce principles of institutional control where a sound percentage of liquidity is kept for survival during crises at all times," he said ahead of a GCC central bankers meeting in Abu Dhabi at the weekend. "The global financial crunch has given birth to a new reality, which requires a review of credit risks from the angle of available revenues of the borrowers against the size of loans they intend to take."

From Europe to the Middle East, economic success brings wealth - and lifestyle diseases

A rise in obesity figures and the need for more public spending is a familiar trend in the developing world as western lifestyles are adopted.

One in five deaths around the world is now caused by bad diet, with obesity the fastest growing global risk. A high body mass index is also the top cause of metabolic diseases relating to death and disability in Kuwait, Qatar and Oman – and second on the list in Bahrain.

In Britain, heart disease, lung cancer and Alzheimer’s remain among the leading causes of death, and people there are spending more time suffering from health problems.

The UK is expected to spend $421.4 billion on healthcare by 2040, up from $239.3 billion in 2014.

And development assistance for health is talking about the financial aid given to governments to support social, environmental development of developing countries.

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How to play the stock market recovery in 2021?

If you are looking to build your long-term wealth in 2021 and beyond, the stock market is still the best place to do it as equities powered on despite the pandemic.

Investing in individual stocks is not for everyone and most private investors should stick to mutual funds and ETFs, but there are some thrilling opportunities for those who understand the risks.

Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank, says the 20 best-performing US and European stocks have delivered an average return year-to-date of 148 per cent, measured in local currency terms.

Online marketplace Etsy was the best performer with a return of 330.6 per cent, followed by communications software company Sinch (315.4 per cent), online supermarket HelloFresh (232.8 per cent) and fuel cells specialist NEL (191.7 per cent).

Mr Garnry says digital companies benefited from the lockdown, while green energy firms flew as efforts to combat climate change were ramped up, helped in part by the European Union’s green deal. 

Electric car company Tesla would be on the list if it had been part of the S&P 500 Index, but it only joined on December 21. “Tesla has become one of the most valuable companies in the world this year as demand for electric vehicles has grown dramatically,” Mr Garnry says.

By contrast, the 20 worst-performing European stocks fell 54 per cent on average, with European banks hit by the economic fallout from the pandemic, while cruise liners and airline stocks suffered due to travel restrictions.

As demand for energy fell, the oil and gas industry had a tough year, too.

Mr Garnry says the biggest story this year was the “absolute crunch” in so-called value stocks, companies that trade at low valuations compared to their earnings and growth potential.

He says they are “heavily tilted towards financials, miners, energy, utilities and industrials, which have all been hit hard by the Covid-19 pandemic”. “The last year saw these cheap stocks become cheaper and expensive stocks have become more expensive.” 

This has triggered excited talk about the “great value rotation” but Mr Garnry remains sceptical. “We need to see a breakout of interest rates combined with higher inflation before we join the crowd.”

Always remember that past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. Last year’s winners often turn out to be this year’s losers, and vice-versa.

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