Gross domestic product growth in Kuwait, Opec’s fifth largest oil producer, is projected at 2.5 per cent for 2019, up from 1.7 per cent last year. Andrew Henderson / The National
Gross domestic product growth in Kuwait, Opec’s fifth largest oil producer, is projected at 2.5 per cent for 2019, up from 1.7 per cent last year. Andrew Henderson / The National

Kuwait vies to reposition itself as hub for business



Kuwait, a member state of Opec and once the fastest growing economy of the Gulf, is taking measures to revamp its economy,  reduce dependency on oil and attract foreign direct investment (FDI), government ministers said.

“FDI is still underdeveloped in [Kuwait], and we think it is the best thing for the country and the right time to invest,” Sheikh Jaber Al Mubarak Al Sabah, Prime Minister of Kuwait, told a conference in Kuwait City this week. “The problem is that the oil price has been low and it’s been [impacting] on investment - this has encouraged us to get income from more products other than oil.”

Though Kuwait had the first stock exchange in the region and oldest sovereign wealth fund, regaining its status as the fastest growing regional economy of the 1980s following Saddam Hussein's 1990 invasion has been challenging. Legacy elements post the 1991 liberation curtailed the modernisation of the country's infrastructure and reform measures have been held back by political bickering among lawmakers in the national assembly. Unlike other Arabian Gulf states, Kuwait which is Opec's fifth largest producer, has been relatively slow to diversify its economy, in part because of its $500 billion-plus fiscal reserves and also because it has the lowest breakeven oil price in the GCC. Hydrocarbon revenues continue to account for about 90 per cent of state revenues.

Kuwait fell into deficit in 2015 for the first time since 1999, prompting the government to launch a series of reforms, most notably its far-reaching Kuwait 2035 economic diversification strategy last January.

The strategy aims to increase private sector involvement in the national economy – government institutions implement around 90 per cent of development projects in Kuwait, ministers said – and attract higher levels of foreign investment across a range of sectors including ICT, renewable energy, housing, healthcare, transport and tourism.

“We are ushering in a new era of investment in Kuwait…to keep up with the competition,” said Sheikh Meshaal Al Sabah, director-general of the Kuwait Direct Investment Promotion Authority. during this week's Kuwait Investment Forum, the government outlined its vision to develop a 1,000-square kilometre opportunity zone in the north of the country.

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The country has secured $2.5bn of FDI since 2015 - generating 1,000 jobs for local Kuwaitis, -when it began a drive to attract foreign investment, Sheikh Al Sabah added.

Now, the government wants to speed up activity, capitalising on an uptick in the global economy and positive growth forecasts for Kuwait. The national economy is expected to grow by 2.5 per cent this year after contracting 2.3 per cent in 2017, according to forecasts published last month by S&P Global Ratings.

Around $100bn of development projects are ripe for investment now, the Kuwait forum heard, while further billions of dollars will be needed over the coming years to develop the Northern Gateway opportunity zone, which encompasses five natural islands in northern Kuwait, close to the Iraqi border.

The project was announced in 2015, when ministers proposed creating a “comprehensive and multi-purpose free trade zone that would act as an economic and cultural gateway for the northern Gulf region and Kuwait”.

Under the plans, the five islands – Boubyan, Failaka, Warba, Miskan and Awha – will become a huge economic free zone called Silk City (Madinat Al Hareer). The zone will link the Arabian Gulf to central Asia and Europe through a 36-kilometre-long bridge - already under construction - extending north from Kuwait City.

“Even if we develop just 20 per cent of the [Northern Gateway area], we could attract $150bn-$200bn of FDI and boost Kuwait’s GDP by an additional $220bn,” said Noura Al Qabandi, director of international affairs at Kuwait’s Communication and Information Technology Regulatory Authority (Citra), citing an earlier study of the plans.

The area would also attract between 3-5 million visitors to Kuwait each year, Ms Al Qabandi said.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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