Even if MSCI says no, at least people are talking about us



The Irish writer Oscar Wilde summed it up perfectly. "The only thing worse than being talked about is not being talked about," he said, referring to the double-edged nature of rumour and publicity.

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The region's stock exchanges, particularly in the UAE and Qatar, might agree with that sentiment in the run-up to an event that many investors believe is crucial to the future financial health of the region.

In June, Morgan Stanley Capital International, part of the giant US investment bank, will decide on whether to include the two Gulf markets in its MSCI Emerging Markets index.

In Doha, Dubai and Abu Dhabi, they are fervently hoping they will be talked about as members of the emerging markets (EM) club, rather than remaining on the fringes of global investment as "frontier" markets.

If they make the jump to EM status, those exchanges will be included alongside such powerhouses as the Bric countries (Brazil, Russia, China and India) as well as economic giants such as Turkey, Mexico and Indonesia.

This kind of investment categorisation is never entirely satisfactory. For Qatar to be grouped with China as an EM seems wholly artificial. For China still to be regarded as "emerging" at all seems increasingly silly; maybe when its economy overtakes the US in size in a few years time it will stop emerging and become just plain "dominant".

But Qatar and the UAE will not want to argue about the semantics. Inclusion in the MSCI EM index will bring with it exposure to the estimated US$450 billion (Dh1.65 trillion) of finance currently managed by EM funds, and put both country's markets firmly on the investment map.

At the moment, both are included in the MSCI Frontier Markets (FM) index, which covers such minnows of the investment world as Bangladesh, Mauritius and Trinidad and Tobago. With the greatest respect, any self-respecting stock market would not want to be talked about in the same breath as those three.

Qatar and the UAE have been in this situation before. Last year, the MSCI deliberators were similarly considering whether to promote them, and decided against, mainly because their settlement systems were regarded as not quite up to scratch. (I wonder, though, how they compare with settlement in, say, Colombia, which is a member of the EM club.)

Since that disappointment, both countries have taken corrective measures. The UAE will introduce a "delivery versus payment" (DVP) settlement system by the end of this month, it has promised.

The MSCI authorities also had concerns about foreign ownership rules, regarded as a hindrance to investment in both countries but especially in Qatar, where foreigners cannot own more than 25 per cent of quoted companies. There is still time for Doha to lift that limit, probably by royal decree, which would more or less guarantee EM status for Doha.

Apart from the DVP factor, there was another problem in the minds of MSCI when it looked at the UAE last year: the Emirates was not then (and still is not) a unified market as Doha is. There were three stock exchanges, one in Abu Dhabi and two in Dubai, which was regarded as excessively confusing for a country of only 5 million people.

Since then the introduction of a common platform between the two Dubai exchanges has gone some way to addressing the issue, and Morgan Stanley is said to be working on a plan to merge the Abu Dhabi and Dubai markets. But whether that will come to fruition in time for the MSCI verdict is unclear.

In the Dubai financial community, the subject is a hot topic, and two separate rumours are doing the rounds in the Gate complex.

One is that MSCI was initially minded to block UAE promotion to the big league but has come under pressure from international investors keen to see the Emirates included and will now announce a six-month extension to the judging process. An announcement will be deferred until next January, it is whispered.

The other rumour, which could just be a different version of rumour number one, is that MSCI will announce next month that Qatar is in but that the UAE is not. That would be a blow to the UAE markets for sure.

I think, on the whole, that MSCI will not take such a drastic step; after falling out with Saudi Arabia (still not in the EM index) in 2009, it would not want to make another enemy in the Gulf.

THREE

Director: Nayla Al Khaja

Starring: Jefferson Hall, Faten Ahmed, Noura Alabed, Saud Alzarooni

Rating: 3.5/5

The specs: 2018 Audi R8 V10 RWS

Price: base / as tested: From Dh632,225

Engine: 5.2-litre V10

Gearbox: Seven-speed automatic

Power: 540hp @ 8,250rpm

Torque: 540Nm @ 6,500rpm

Fuel economy, combined: 12.4L / 100km

MWTC info

Tickets to the MWTC range from Dh100 and can be purchased from www.ticketmaster.ae or by calling 800 86 823 from within the UAE or +971 4 366 2289 from outside the country and all Virgin Megastores. Fans looking to attend all three days of the MWTC can avail of a special 20 percent discount on ticket prices.

Kill

Director: Nikhil Nagesh Bhat

Starring: Lakshya, Tanya Maniktala, Ashish Vidyarthi, Harsh Chhaya, Raghav Juyal

Rating: 4.5/5

Herc's Adventures

Developer: Big Ape Productions
Publisher: LucasArts
Console: PlayStation 1 & 5, Sega Saturn
Rating: 4/5

RESULTS

Catchweight 82kg
Piotr Kuberski (POL) beat Ahmed Saeb (IRQ) by decision.

Women’s bantamweight
Corinne Laframboise (CAN) beat Cornelia Holm (SWE) by unanimous decision.

Welterweight
Omar Hussein (PAL) beat Vitalii Stoian (UKR) by unanimous decision.

Welterweight
Josh Togo (LEB) beat Ali Dyusenov (UZB) by unanimous decision.

Flyweight
Isaac Pimentel (BRA) beat Delfin Nawen (PHI) TKO round-3.

Catchweight 80kg​​​​​​​
Seb Eubank (GBR) beat Emad Hanbali (SYR) KO round 1.

Lightweight
Mohammad Yahya (UAE) beat Ramadan Noaman (EGY) TKO round 2.

Lightweight
Alan Omer (GER) beat Reydon Romero (PHI) submission 1.

Welterweight
Juho Valamaa (FIN) beat Ahmed Labban (LEB) by unanimous decision.

Featherweight
Elias Boudegzdame (ALG) beat Austin Arnett (USA) by unanimous decision.

Super heavyweight
Maciej Sosnowski (POL) beat Ibrahim El Sawi (EGY) by submission round 1.

The Gandhi Murder
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  • 34 - Nationalities featured in the film The Gandhi Murder
  • 7 - million dollars, the film's budget 
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1. Black holes are objects whose gravity is so strong not even light can escape their pull

2. They can be created when massive stars collapse under their own weight

3. Large black holes can also be formed when smaller ones collide and merge

4. The biggest black holes lurk at the centre of many galaxies, including our own

5. Astronomers believe that when the universe was very young, black holes affected how galaxies formed

COMPANY PROFILE

Name: Carzaty, now Kavak
Based: Dubai
Launch year: Carzaty launched in 2018, Kavak in the GCC launched in 2022
Number of employees: 140
Sector: Automotive
Funding: Carzaty raised $6m in equity and $4m in debt; Kavak plans $130m investment in the GCC

Cricket World Cup League Two

Teams

Oman, UAE, Namibia

Al Amerat, Muscat

 

Results

Oman beat UAE by five wickets

UAE beat Namibia by eight runs

Namibia beat Oman by 52 runs

UAE beat Namibia by eight wickets

 

Fixtures

Saturday January 11 - UAE v Oman

Sunday January 12 – Oman v Namibia

The nine articles of the 50-Year Charter

1. Dubai silk road

2.  A geo-economic map for Dubai

3. First virtual commercial city

4. A central education file for every citizen

5. A doctor to every citizen

6. Free economic and creative zones in universities

7. Self-sufficiency in Dubai homes

8. Co-operative companies in various sectors

­9: Annual growth in philanthropy

Company Profile

Name: HyveGeo
Started: 2023
Founders: Abdulaziz bin Redha, Dr Samsurin Welch, Eva Morales and Dr Harjit Singh
Based: Cambridge and Dubai
Number of employees: 8
Industry: Sustainability & Environment
Funding: $200,000 plus undisclosed grant
Investors: Venture capital and government