Saudi Arabia is a step closer to unlocking billions of dollars in foreign direct investments (FDI) for public-private projects, improving transparency and boosting its construction sector while easing pressure on government finances.
A draft law to regulate partnerships between the government and public sector published on Sunday will help to attract investments for mega-infrastructure projects in utilities, transport and real estate, analysts said.
"This is a definite positive for the privatisation process," said James Reeve, chief economist at Samba Financial Group. "Its primary objective is to offer assurance to private investors, particularly foreign ones, that any investments they make in private-public partnerships will be clearly and transparently regulated."
In a wide-reaching plan to wean its economy off oil, Saudi aims to generate 35 billion Saudi riyals (Dh34.27bn) to 40bn riyals in non-oil revenues from a privatisation programme by 2020 and create up to 12,000 jobs. The programme targets 14 public-private partnership (PPP) investments worth 24bn riyals to 28bn riyals. The kingdom also plans to raise about $200bn through privatisation in coming years as part of its “Vision 2030” to diversify the economy. Privatisation efforts will include both sale of assets, and private companies investing in public infrastructure projects.
The draft law, which is open to public comment for three weeks before being passed at an unspecified date, outlined investor exemptions from some labour laws and real estate ownership limits. While the kingdom has emphasised the importance of PPP financing for infrastructure projects, PPP regulation had been lagging.
"There is finally a legal framework within which companies can operate under PPP contracts, which wasn't established before," said Mohamed Abdelmeguid, Mideast analyst at Economist Intelligence Unit. "Saudi's needs for infrastructure development under the Vision 2030 are huge, so the law goes some way to unlocking financing and foreign participation."
More pension funds and sovereign wealth funds will be interested in the long-term lending opportunities that will become increasingly available with PPP projects, said Nahed Taher, president of National Standard Finance, which oversees $2 trillion in assets.
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The proposed law will particularly boost real estate investments, in affordable housing, social infrastructure such as schools and hospitals, as well as public infrastructure like airports and railways, said Craig Plumb, head of Mena research at JLL.
"There is huge potential for PPP in infrastructure and the main constraint was a lack of law governing this area," he said. "The draft law takes away that constraint and should boost investments in real estate."
The power sector, both conventional and renewable, schools, health and education are set to benefit from PPP structures, analysts said.
Saudi Arabia's construction sector, which has slowed in previous quarters, will benefit as the law will ease investor concerns about transparency and increases confidence, said Mazen Al Sudairi, head of research at Rajhi Capital.
The draft law provides assurances that private investors will be able to recover losses "incurred as a result of any change in the Law or unlawful action or the failure of public authorities to take an action which they should have taken, which caused loss to the Private Party", it states. There will also be an appeals committee formed to adjudicate disputes.
The draft also acknowledges that there will be some exemptions on labour laws about the "appropriate ranges for national employment". This suggests companies may be exempted from meeting the minimum quote of hiring Saudi nationals, which is a key concern for private investors on keeping labour costs down.
"The long-term health of the economy - and sustainable employment prospects - depend on attracting foreign investments," Mr Reeve said.
In the long run, the flow of FDI will also be boosted with technology transfer and training to enhance nationals' competitiveness and skills.
In terms of real estate law exemptions, the draft states that non-Saudis may own property in the kingdom except for the cities of Makkah and Medina. Real estate may be leased within those two cities for a period spanning the term of any PPP contract, it states.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Timeline
2012-2015
The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East
May 2017
The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts
September 2021
Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act
October 2021
Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence
December 2024
Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group
May 2025
The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan
July 2025
The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan
August 2025
Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision
October 2025
Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange
November 2025
180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE