The UK's Royal Mint says it will take a minimum of 10 years for current stocks of the two coins to run out. Getty Images
The UK's Royal Mint says it will take a minimum of 10 years for current stocks of the two coins to run out. Getty Images
The UK's Royal Mint says it will take a minimum of 10 years for current stocks of the two coins to run out. Getty Images
The UK's Royal Mint says it will take a minimum of 10 years for current stocks of the two coins to run out. Getty Images

Cash mountain halts UK production of 2p and £2 coins for at least 10 years


Alice Haine
  • English
  • Arabic

The UK’s Royal Mint will stop producing 2 pence and £2 coins for at least 10 years as demand for cash dwindles amid the Covid-19 pandemic and a coin mountain lies in storage, according to a new government report.

There was a 71 per cent drop in demand for notes and coins from cash centres between early March and mid-April as a result of the outbreak, according to the National Audit Office’s study, with some businesses refusing to accept cash payments to help curb the spread of the virus. Although this is now recovering, the Royal Mint says it will take a minimum of 10 years for current stocks of the two coins to run out.

It may become harder for people to access cash when they need it and those without the means to pay digitally will struggle if cash is not accepted.

“As society progresses towards the wide use of digital payments, the use of cash in transactions is dwindling. It may become harder for people to access cash when they need it and those without the means to pay digitally will struggle if cash is not accepted,” said Gareth Davies, head of the NAO, in a statement on Friday.

“HM Treasury now works more closely with the public bodies in the cash system to achieve the government’s goal of safeguarding access to cash. However, the approach is fragmented, and it is not clear that the action being taken will keep up with the pace of change.”

Ten years ago cash was used in six out of 10 transactions compared to 2019 when it was less than three in 10. There has been a 59 per cent decline in the volume of cash payments between 2008 and 2019 as well as a 17 per cent decrease in the number of free-to-use ATM machines in the two years to December 2019, the NAO found. It also forecast a 65 per cent reduction in the use of cash between 2018 and 2028, with the coronavirus pandemic likely to have fuelled that trend.

UK shoppers have accelerated the shift to online as retail spending in August rose above pre-Covid levels on the back of heightened online demand, new data from the Office for National Statistics found on Friday.

Retail sales data increased 0.8 per cent in August, according to ONS, the fourth consecutive month of growth and leading to a 4 per cent rise when compared to February’s pre-pandemic level. The August data was also 2.8 per cent up on August last year, as the sector enjoyed a faster rebound than other parts of the economy.

“The Covid pandemic has caused a change in consumer behaviour as increasingly purchases are made via websites,” the organisation noted in a blog.

“The proportion of total sales that took place online has grown by over 10 per cent when comparing the period of the pandemic this year (March to August) against the same period last year.”

The declining use of cash is an issue for sections of society reliant on the payment method, including the more than a million UK adults that do not have a bank or building society current account.

However, running the cash system is an expensive process for both taxpayers and businesses, the NAO report found, with the public sector cost of producing and issuing notes and coins coming in at £143 million (Dh681m) in 2019-2020.

“Research commissioned by the finance sector has estimated that the UK’s entire cash infrastructure (including cash processing and distribution for private businesses) costs around £5 billion a year,” the NAO said.

While the continuing reduction in the use of cash in transactions is putting pressure on the cash system, the NAO's Production and Distribution of Cash study noted, consumer organisations have raised concerns that making it harder for people to access coins and notes and the increasing costs to business of using cash may increase the risk of financial exclusion.

The NAO said a “coordinated effort” is now needed between the HM Treasury and the public bodies responsible for overseeing the cash system to work together to safeguard access.

In its March budget, the government said it would bring forward legislation to protect access to cash and address the sustainability of cash infrastructure as its use falls.

In Germany, card payments will surpass cash transactions for the first time this year as the pandemic changes shoppers' behaviour, a study from Euromonitor International found.

Germans have kept up a tradition of using cash – with some retailers still refusing to accept cards – but the spread of Covid-19 saw many try to avoid touching notes and coins.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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