Caption A street in the Shatila Reugee Camp in Lebanon November 18, 2008. A power struggle between the leaders of the PLO over militants in Lebanon's 13 Palestinian refugee camps is destabilizing the already volatile camps, which are home to hundreds of thousands of civilians and dozens of armed militant factions. 

 Credit: Mitchell Prothero/The National *** Local Caption ***  shatila_daily_181108_091.jpg
A street in the Shatila refugee in Lebanon.

PLO factions locked in bitter power struggle



BEIRUT // An agreement between the Lebanese government and the Palestinian Liberation Organisation to disarm militants in Lebanon's volatile refugee camps has sparked a power struggle within the PLO that threatens stability in several flashpoints around the country, security officials said. The conflict pits loyalists to Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian president, against veteran PLO commanders in Lebanon's 13 refugee camps over a plan authorised by Mr Abbas, in conjunction with Lebanese and US antiterrorism officials, to disarm the 20-plus armed militant groups operating freely in the camps.

These groups would be replaced with a Lebanese government- and PLO-sanctioned force of 5,000 working closely with Lebanese security officials. Mr Abbas began to implement the policy by replacing the long-standing head of the PLO in Lebanon, Gen Sultan Abu al Ainin, with a personal representative, Abbas Zaki. Gen Ainin was considered a close confidant of Yasser Arafat before his death in 2004, as were many of the commanders being pushed out of their positions. According to sources inside the Palestinian community in Lebanon, the commanders are refusing to cede power to Ramallah quietly.

The status of the armed groups in the camps, where the Lebanese Army and police by convention do not enter, became a pressing issue last year after the al Qa'eda-inspired group, Fatah al Islam, occupied the Nahr el Bared refugee camp in northern Lebanon. In response, Lebanese army troops laid siege to the camp for more than three months at the cost of hundreds of lives and the destruction of the entire camp. But while the plans for a new Nahr el Bared contain provisions for the first Lebanese police station in a camp, the consolidation of power has sparked a second crisis in the Ain el Hilweh camp in southern Lebanon, long considered a safe haven for radical Islamic militants with ties to al Qa'eda.

Several Fatah and PLO commanders in the camps have rejected previous PLO peace initiatives with Israel and consider the development of a centralised security force to be a move against armed resistance to Israel. Home to several powerful and well-armed Islamist groups sprinkled among its estimated 70,000 residents, Ain el Hilweh has seen a low-key but bloody power struggle as Fatah officials loyal to Mr Abbas assassinate prominent Islamic leaders with ties to outside militant groups over the protests of the traditional Fatah and PLO commanders.

At least a dozen militants and Fatah members have been killed in repeated attacks over the past six months. The two PLO commanders at odds in Ain el Hilweh are theoretically part of the same organisation but Gen Munir al Maqtah, a famed militant considered the commander of the Fatah military wing, known as al Aqsa Martyr's Brigade, has been battling Abed al Hamid Issa, a Fatah commander also known as "Leno", for control of the Fatah security forces in the camp.

According to one Fatah militant, Abu Walid, the struggle increases each day as Lebanese authorities pressure Fatah to arrest and turn over militants associated with Fatah al Islam, and another al Qa'eda-linked group, Jund al Sham, hiding from Lebanese authorities. The arrests have pushed tensions between religious figures in the camp and the secular leadership into a near civil war. "Leno is backed by Abbas Zaki and the problem with Munir is that Leno been raiding apartments, and arresting militants in the camp, and then handing them to the Lebanese authorities," Mr Walid said. "Munir is against handing them to the Lebanese authorities. Munir wants to keep the problems in the camp, and because he is close to the Islamic movements and he has been sympathising with them."

Mr Walid described the conflict as originating with the Palestinian leadership over the future of the movement and armed resistance, as Mr Abbas pursues a peace deal with Israel and the Lebanese authorities tyre of Palestinian militants fomenting violence inside Lebanon. Ali, a 29-year old construction worker in the camp who did not want to be further identified, described the inter-Fatah rivalry as becoming potentially violent as the group argues over how to handle the presence of militant Islamists who have taken refuge in the camp since the siege in Nahr el Bared.

"The changes that some men from Fatah suddenly started working for their own agenda, one different than Munir's," he said. "This group lately started enforcing more power in security. They began attacking, and harassing the Islamists in the camp like Jund al Sham, and Usbat al Ansar, even the foreign ones, Saudi, and Yemeni Islamists. I don't know to which group the foreigners belong, but I know they are here in the camp since the events of Nahr el Bared."

Another militant in the camp said the foreign fighters can only be seen at night, when the Islamic groups take control of the Tamir neighbourhood of the camp to protect against Lebanese army incursions. Gen Maqda refused comment, as did Mr Zaki and Leno, but Gen Maqda is known for refusing to support any PLO or Fatah peace initiatives with Israel that do not clearly address the right of return for Palestinian refugees in Lebanon. He opposed the Oslo peace process, briefly left the PLO in the 1990s over tactics and was implicated in the bombing plot in Amman in 2000 when al Qa'eda targeted western hotels.

In the past, his close relationship with the Islamic groups in Ain el Hilweh, who previously were linked to the late Abu Musab Zarqawi and al Qa'eda in Iraq, has kept the camp's gaggle of Islamic militants relatively peaceful and numerous analysts and officials have repeatedly expressed concern that removing him from authority could spark a broader crisis similar to Nahr el Bared. Tuesday night, Lebanese military and intelligence officials told a gathering of the camp's elders and tribal leaders that they must help remove the militant threat from the camp, including arresting and turning over Abu Mohammed Awad, the new commander of Fatah al Islam, who is believed to be hiding inside.

"A number of these groups are like terrorists who have hijacked a plane with 70,000 hostages and threaten to kill them all by crashing them into the unknown," Col Abbas Ibrahim told the elders. mprothero@thenational.ae

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2012 - MC
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Everton 2 Huddersfield Town 0
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”