Tehran is upping the ante in a bid to win concessions from the new US administration. Reuters
Tehran is upping the ante in a bid to win concessions from the new US administration. Reuters
Tehran is upping the ante in a bid to win concessions from the new US administration. Reuters
Tehran is upping the ante in a bid to win concessions from the new US administration. Reuters

The US is squandering the power it has over Iran's regime


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US President Joe Biden has been in office for a little over a month. Already, Iran is trying to set the rules of engagement on its own terms.

On Monday, Iranian supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, threatened to accelerate his country's nuclear programme by enriching uranium of up to 60 per cent purity. It would need only 30 per cent more to make a nuclear weapon.

This is an aggressive move that Tehran has made proudly. Its parliament has also passed a law that bans snap inspections from UN nuclear observers, unless the US lifts sanctions.

Washington, thus far, appears to be going along with these antics. In the words of American officials, Iran's behaviour is "outrageous" and "concerning", but Mr Biden's lack of action to back up these words renders the US position contradictory. Instead, the administration wants to "extend and strengthen" an Obama-era nuclear deal.

Iran plans to ban International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors from conducting "snap" inspections. AP
Iran plans to ban International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors from conducting "snap" inspections. AP
In this past week, militia groups have launched three separate missile attacks on targets in Iraq

The EU, in turn, said yesterday that the regime could return to the 2015 deal within the next few days. Many Arab countries, who live with the daily threat of Tehran's aggression, wonder how exactly President Biden aims to bolster an agreement that is fundamentally flawed.

One of the primary weaknesses in Mr Obama's deal with Iran was how little it did to limit its other malign activities. Since its inception in 1979, the regime in Tehran has used hostage-taking to get what it wants. The new US administration has openly stated that it seeks talks to secure the release of a number of captives. While this is absolutely something that should be addressed, by publicly expressing this American desire, Tehran, with a record for using any means necessary to secure its objectives, will be encouraged to complicate the release of innocent Americans, some dual citizens, in order to put pressure on President Biden.

The agreement also left Washington's allies in the Middle East vulnerable to attacks, even occupation, by Iranian proxies. A huge militia network, largely sponsored by Tehran, hampers Iraq's stability and prosperity. In this past week, militia groups have launched three separate missile attacks on targets in Iraq, and Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen have repeatedly flown explosive-laden drones into Saudi Arabia.

Nonetheless, Washington appears committed to securing a deal with Tehran quickly. Some might be relieved by a more emollient American line, after the turbulence of the Trump administration's hawkish Iran policy. For those in Tehran's neighbourhood, however, Mr Biden's readiness to reward Iran's bad behaviour will be a real worry.

American threats of "reserving the right to respond" mean little if not backed up by action. This by no means has to entail open conflict. With its many regional allies, diplomatic heft, effective sanctions regime and an increasingly isolated adversary that is beset by internal economic problems and social discontent, the US must realise that it has a lot more leverage than it thinks or projects. Until Washington uses this leverage, Mr Khamenei's expansionist policies in the region will escalate with detrimental consequences.

Gifts exchanged
  • King Charles - replica of President Eisenhower Sword
  • Queen Camilla -  Tiffany & Co vintage 18-carat gold, diamond and ruby flower brooch
  • Donald Trump - hand-bound leather book with Declaration of Independence
  • Melania Trump - personalised Anya Hindmarch handbag
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While you're here
Five films to watch

Castle in the Sky (1986)

Grave of the Fireflies (1988)

Only Yesterday (1991)

Pom Poki (1994)

The Tale of Princess Kaguya (2013)

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Price, base / as tested Dh99,000 / Dh132,000

Engine 3.6L V6

Transmission: Six-speed automatic

Power 275hp @ 6,000rpm

Torque 350Nm @ 3,700rpm

Fuel economy combined 12.2L / 100km

The National Archives, Abu Dhabi

Founded over 50 years ago, the National Archives collects valuable historical material relating to the UAE, and is the oldest and richest archive relating to the Arabian Gulf.

Much of the material can be viewed on line at the Arabian Gulf Digital Archive - https://www.agda.ae/en

Who's who in Yemen conflict

Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government

Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council

Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south

Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory

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The line up

Friday: Giggs, Sho Madjozi and Masego  

Saturday: Nas, Lion Bbae, Roxanne Shante and DaniLeigh  

Sole DXB runs from December 6 to 8 at Dubai Design District. Weekend pass is Dh295 while a one day pass is Dh195. Tickets are available from www.soledxb.com

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Starring: Brad Pitt, Damson Idris, Kerry Condon, Javier Bardem

Director: Joseph Kosinski

Rating: 4/5

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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If you go

The flights
Emirates and Etihad fly direct to Nairobi, with fares starting from Dh1,695. The resort can be reached from Nairobi via a 35-minute flight from Wilson Airport or Jomo Kenyatta International Airport, or by road, which takes at least three hours.

The rooms
Rooms at Fairmont Mount Kenya range from Dh1,870 per night for a deluxe room to Dh11,000 per night for the William Holden Cottage.

Bookshops: A Reader's History by Jorge Carrión (translated from the Spanish by Peter Bush),
Biblioasis

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Producers: Uniglobe Entertainment & Vision Films

Director: Namrata Singh Gujral

Cast: Rajkummar Rao, Nargis Fakhri, Bo Derek, Candy Clark

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Left Bank: Art, Passion and Rebirth of Paris 1940-1950

Agnes Poirer, Bloomsbury

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Director: Dean Fleischer Camp

Rating: 4.5/5

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Specs

Engine: Dual-motor all-wheel-drive electric

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