The Libyan government is redoubling its efforts to find some of the hundreds of millions of dollars it believes were siphoned overseas by Muammar Qaddafi, with individuals and assets in Brazil, South Africa and Dubai under the spotlight.
"We are trying very hard now to repatriate Qaddafi's wealth," said Ali Mansour Asbali, the newly appointed Libyan commercial attaché in Abu Dhabi. "We will probably never be able to say for certain how much was there, but we know there are hundreds of millions of dollars."
The process of repatriating money invested overseas by the Qaddafi regime has been fraught with problems since the Libyan Investment Authority (LIA), the country's sovereign wealth fund, began the process in 2011.
The problems came to a head recently as the prime minister Ali Zeidan replaced Mohsen Derregia as head of the LIA with the deputy governor of the Libyan central bank amid claims that Mr Derregia had not lived up to expectations.
The changes coincided with the announcement in Libya of a joint investigation by the LIA and the US Securities and Exchange Commission into whether Goldman Sachs and other banks had violated US law in any dealings with the Qaddafi regime.
After Qaddafi's death in 2011, it was speculated that he may have died the world's richest man, with more than US$200 billion (Dh734.6bn) of assets squirrelled away around the world. It is highly unlikely, though, that such a vast sum could be attributed to Qaddafi himself.
Much of that total may have related to the $170bn worth of Libyan funds that were invested overseas during Qaddafi's reign. Some $64.9bn was invested in the LIA, which was frozen by UN Security Council sanctions until February last year. About another $100bn was said in 2011 to be held in foreign reserves by the nation's central bank.
It has been suggested that Qaddafi tried to beat the UN sanctions by buying millions of dollars worth of properties in London, Dubai and other cities. He is also said to have held numerous Swiss bank accounts bursting with cash, had corporations on every continent and millions of dollars worth of gemstones given to him as payment-in-kind by African governments for security operations.
In truth, it will never be known how much of the country's enormous oil wealth he managed to launder or how much he squandered during his four decades in power.
"A lot of this wealth we will never get back. We will never know about it," Mr Asbali said. "You know there are bankers and accountants in the world who know where it is, but we will never find it all. It is impossible."
Mr Asbali said he was sure that there were individuals connected to the regime living in South Africa, Brazil and Dubai who were either already helping to track down some of Qaddafi's missing money or very soon would be.
"We have people helping us. We have some companies who have agreed to help Libya find this money," he said.
And it was also understood that several international law firms and many more investigators were assisting.
The new government is in such disarray, though, that none of the firms has been officially engaged, and all work done in the past two years has been largely uncoordinated.
Richard Blaksley, the chief executive of GPW, an international investigations firm, who has successfully tracked down assets belonging to Saddam Husseinand Benazir Bhutto, the former prime minister of Pakistan, said that finding assets belonging to former heads of state was never straightforward.
"From the client's end the instruction is always overlaid with political complexity," Mr Blaksley said. "On the one hand you have the treasury that is motivated by financial results. It wants the money back. Then you have other forces who are politically motivated. They want to show that they have returned to the people what is theirs. They also want to be seen to be holding the former regime to account."
In the case of Libya, it is often suggested that many forces associated with the former regime are still at large, making the political element of the search even more difficult.
Once instruction is received by any investigations firm, actually determining if any assets have been acquired inappropriately with state funds adds more complexity.
"We would tend to look for a mismatch between the way in which someone lives their life and the way in which their position should afford them to live it," Mr Blaksley said. "With Qaddafi this is quite difficult. He lived in a tent for the most part in a seemingly frugal way. His sons, on the other hand, lived like high-flying hedge fund managers. So we would look for assets they acquired, jets, yachts, properties and the like."
But even then, a return of funds to the state is not guaranteed. "The seizure process is highly complex and legally very lengthy," Mr Blaksley said.
In the Bhutto case, Mr Blaksley said, it took about two years from engagement to returning any money to the Pakistani government. "My colleagues' work on Saddam Hussein took about 18 months to two years," he added.
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The bio
Favourite book: The Alchemist by Paulo Coelho
Favourite travel destination: Maldives and south of France
Favourite pastime: Family and friends, meditation, discovering new cuisines
Favourite Movie: Joker (2019). I didn’t like it while I was watching it but then afterwards I loved it. I loved the psychology behind it.
Favourite Author: My father for sure
Favourite Artist: Damien Hurst
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5 of the most-popular Airbnb locations in Dubai
Bobby Grudziecki, chief operating officer of Frank Porter, identifies the five most popular areas in Dubai for those looking to make the most out of their properties and the rates owners can secure:
• Dubai Marina
The Marina and Jumeirah Beach Residence are popular locations, says Mr Grudziecki, due to their closeness to the beach, restaurants and hotels.
Frank Porter’s average Airbnb rent:
One bedroom: Dh482 to Dh739
Two bedroom: Dh627 to Dh960
Three bedroom: Dh721 to Dh1,104
• Downtown
Within walking distance of the Dubai Mall, Burj Khalifa and the famous fountains, this location combines business and leisure. “Sure it’s for tourists,” says Mr Grudziecki. “Though Downtown [still caters to business people] because it’s close to Dubai International Financial Centre."
Frank Porter’s average Airbnb rent:
One bedroom: Dh497 to Dh772
Two bedroom: Dh646 to Dh1,003
Three bedroom: Dh743 to Dh1,154
• City Walk
The rising star of the Dubai property market, this area is lined with pristine sidewalks, boutiques and cafes and close to the new entertainment venue Coca Cola Arena. “Downtown and Marina are pretty much the same prices,” Mr Grudziecki says, “but City Walk is higher.”
Frank Porter’s average Airbnb rent:
One bedroom: Dh524 to Dh809
Two bedroom: Dh682 to Dh1,052
Three bedroom: Dh784 to Dh1,210
• Jumeirah Lake Towers
Dubai Marina’s little brother JLT resides on the other side of Sheikh Zayed road but is still close enough to beachside outlets and attractions. The big selling point for Airbnb renters, however, is that “it’s cheaper than Dubai Marina”, Mr Grudziecki says.
Frank Porter’s average Airbnb rent:
One bedroom: Dh422 to Dh629
Two bedroom: Dh549 to Dh818
Three bedroom: Dh631 to Dh941
• Palm Jumeirah
Palm Jumeirah's proximity to luxury resorts is attractive, especially for big families, says Mr Grudziecki, as Airbnb renters can secure competitive rates on one of the world’s most famous tourist destinations.
Frank Porter’s average Airbnb rent:
One bedroom: Dh503 to Dh770
Two bedroom: Dh654 to Dh1,002
Three bedroom: Dh752 to Dh1,152
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Key figures in the life of the fort
Sheikh Dhiyab bin Isa (ruled 1761-1793) Built Qasr Al Hosn as a watchtower to guard over the only freshwater well on Abu Dhabi island.
Sheikh Shakhbut bin Dhiyab (ruled 1793-1816) Expanded the tower into a small fort and transferred his ruling place of residence from Liwa Oasis to the fort on the island.
Sheikh Tahnoon bin Shakhbut (ruled 1818-1833) Expanded Qasr Al Hosn further as Abu Dhabi grew from a small village of palm huts to a town of more than 5,000 inhabitants.
Sheikh Khalifa bin Shakhbut (ruled 1833-1845) Repaired and fortified the fort.
Sheikh Saeed bin Tahnoon (ruled 1845-1855) Turned Qasr Al Hosn into a strong two-storied structure.
Sheikh Zayed bin Khalifa (ruled 1855-1909) Expanded Qasr Al Hosn further to reflect the emirate's increasing prominence.
Sheikh Shakhbut bin Sultan (ruled 1928-1966) Renovated and enlarged Qasr Al Hosn, adding a decorative arch and two new villas.
Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan (ruled 1966-2004) Moved the royal residence to Al Manhal palace and kept his diwan at Qasr Al Hosn.
Sources: Jayanti Maitra, www.adach.ae