When Richard Nixon was elected president of the United States, in 1968, he informed his aides that he would entrust the orderly running of domestic policy to an unelected underling, John Ehrlichman.
Domestic policy was small potatoes, a suitable playing field for his liberal predecessors John F Kennedy and Lyndon Johnson, but not for a leader with Nixon’s grandiose ambitions. He had run for president with assurances of a plan to extricate the US from its Vietnam morass, and ideas about how to remake the country’s relationship with the communist bloc. Nixon and his new national security adviser Henry Kissinger believed that “national interests could be pursued with little regard to their humanitarian and ideological stakes”.
Daniel J Sargent’s insightful book on American foreign policy in the 1970s documents three differing approaches to global relations in a moment of transition, each as bold as Nixon’s, each flawed in its own distinctive way. The Cold War was receding in importance, not because the Soviet Union was any less powerful (or at least perceived as such), but because the steady alliances that had held for almost 30 years – democracies and their allies to one side, communist countries and their client states to the other – were beginning to fray. Loosely associated with Nixon, Kissinger and Jimmy Carter’s national security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski, each approach sought to adapt the United States to a multi-pronged geopolitical sphere in which the simple polarities of the Cold War were seen to be fading into irrelevance.
Nixon defined his foreign policy – at least the non-Vietnam part of it – through the pursuit of new relationships with the communist world. Détente with the Soviets was less mushy liberal idealism than hard-headed, morally neutral acknowledgement of the facts as he understood them. The Soviet Union, he and Kissinger believed, had no more likelihood of being defeated or demolished than the United States did. “Sceptical that the USSR had the capacity to change,” Sargent writes, “they sought accommodation, not reconciliation.” Kissinger, in fact, was convinced that the United States was destined to decline in power relative to the ascendant Soviets. His job, he told one US Navy admiral, was “to persuade the Russians to give us the best deal we can get”.
Human rights were to be taken into account only irregularly, if at all. As Sargent insightfully demonstrates, the humanitarian emergency in Nigeria during the Biafran civil war was a matter of concern at the highest levels of the US government, while a similar crisis in East Pakistan (today’s Bangladesh), propagated by American ally President Yahya Khan of Pakistan, was not. “Why is it our business to tell the Pakistanis how to run their government?” wondered Kissinger.
Contrary to his ultra-realist reputation, Kissinger had already begun, with the oil crisis of Nixon’s last years in office, to turn the ship of state around in the direction of multilateral cooperation. As a stealth declinist, Kissinger believed that the United States could no longer dictate policy unilaterally to its allies or enemies. The US had to work with others to keep oil prices from rocketing out of control, and prevent the Opec cartel from holding the rest of the world hostage.
Humanitarianism was another tool in Kissinger’s arsenal as President Gerald Ford’s secretary of state, wielded less out of any sense of decency – this was the man, after all, who had seen no problem with the secret bombing of Cambodia – than a late-dawning understanding that perception was foreign-policy reality. The US had been, as critics had it, on “both the wrong side and the losing side” in Bangladesh, failing to keep Pakistan together while also turning a blind eye to rampant government-sponsored killings. “I don’t give a damn about Bangladesh,” Kissinger told his fellow cabinet members during a famine in the new South Asian country. “I want it for foreign policy.”
Kissinger was a foreign-policy mandarin adrift in an era of economic uncertainty. Sargent mentions offhandedly that Kissinger proposed a military seizure of Middle Eastern oilfields to protect American interests.
Sargent admirably seeks to balance politics and economics in A Superpower Transformed, but the monetary side of this generally well-written book notably flags. Discussions of the dollar as global reserve currency, or the declining importance of the gold standard, while important to our understanding of the era, lack the concise appeal of its foreign-policy segments.
Kissinger’s vision of the world had sovereign states colliding like billiard balls on a vast felt table. The right application of force and spin could send all the right balls hurtling into the corner pockets. But suddenly the table was covered in wiffle balls and ping-pong balls and shuttlecocks, each capable of altering the path of any one of his shots. The ascent of human rights made Kissinger’s precious state sovereignty less critical than ever, increasingly dependent on international support as a condition of legitimacy.
Kissinger was more limber than he sometimes receives credit for, and Sargent makes a useful case for his ability to act against his own beliefs in the service of what he perceived to be American interests, as in his support for majority rule in Rhodesia. But he was still operating in the service of outmoded ideas with an all-too-limited playbook.
The ironies abounded. Kissinger, the architect of some of the Vietnam War’s most horrific excesses, was relatively modest in his aspirations for what American foreign policy might be able to accomplish around the world. Meanwhile, Carter and Brzezinski, those sunny idealists, were far more willing to flex American muscle to defend the country’s interests abroad. Carter presented himself as the idealist alternative to Kissinger’s Central European fatalism. He had grown up a pro-civil rights liberal in the violently intolerant American South. Desegregation was, he believed, “something that had to be forced on us from outside”. In the same way, the United States could insist that other countries treat their citizens with dignity and respect, and occasionally impose its will by force. Kissinger’s “prioritisation of international order over universal justice” was no longer inviolate.
World events precipitated a sea change in Carter and Brzezinski’s approach. In 1979, the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan, and the human-rights advocates belatedly became dyed-in-the-wool Cold Warriors. The US sent aid to the decidedly illiberal Afghan mujaheddin (with notably disastrous results two decades further down the road), and sought to align itself with suitably anti-Soviet regimes around the world, their human-rights abuses notwithstanding.
For Sargent, it was less a matter of faulty tactics than poor timing. Carter was declaring an end in sight to the Cold War, culminating not in the mutually assured destruction of Dr Strangelove but in Brzezinski's vision of the Soviet Union being forced to adjust to a changing world. "Carter's misfortune, it would appear in retrospect, was his timing; the moment for a post-Cold War foreign policy had in the late 1970s not yet arrived." While there might have been room for some discussion of the effect of 1970s foreign policy on the decade that followed, when the contradictions of communism sharpened to the point of unsustainability, that is perhaps the subject for another book entirely. (One hopes Sargent is preparing a sequel for the Reagan-Bush years.)
Sargent's unstated goal in A Superpower Transformed is to undercut the conspiracists and fantasists insistent on the United States' ability to reset global affairs at will. The men who ran American foreign policy in the 1970s oscillated between reflections on the modesty of their reach, and grandiose desires to remake the world in America's image. Détente or human rights; realism or idealism; iron force or soft power – each was a choice about what face to turn towards the world. American foreign policy in the decade between Camelot and the Gipper took in a changed world, but struggled with a suitably robust approach to adopt.
Sargent does not pick favourites here. Each of the three foreign-policy teams comes in for its share of criticism: Kissinger and Nixon for excessive hardheadedness and fixation on Cold War dichotomies, Kissinger and Ford for their moral shortcomings, and Brzezinski and Carter for fatal slowness in grasping the limitations of a human-rights-first approach. But for each, ideals had a peculiar way of slamming headlong into brute reality. American foreign policy was less a matter of blunt domination than a recurring pattern of “frustration, adaptation, and constraint”. Has anything really changed in the past 40 years?
The book is available on Amazon.
Saul Austerlitz is a regular contributor to The Review.
thereview@thenational.ae
Dr Afridi's warning signs of digital addiction
Spending an excessive amount of time on the phone.
Neglecting personal, social, or academic responsibilities.
Losing interest in other activities or hobbies that were once enjoyed.
Having withdrawal symptoms like feeling anxious, restless, or upset when the technology is not available.
Experiencing sleep disturbances or changes in sleep patterns.
What are the guidelines?
Under 18 months: Avoid screen time altogether, except for video chatting with family.
Aged 18-24 months: If screens are introduced, it should be high-quality content watched with a caregiver to help the child understand what they are seeing.
Aged 2-5 years: Limit to one-hour per day of high-quality programming, with co-viewing whenever possible.
Aged 6-12 years: Set consistent limits on screen time to ensure it does not interfere with sleep, physical activity, or social interactions.
Teenagers: Encourage a balanced approach – screens should not replace sleep, exercise, or face-to-face socialisation.
Source: American Paediatric Association
What is a Ponzi scheme?
A fraudulent investment operation where the scammer provides fake reports and generates returns for old investors through money paid by new investors, rather than through ligitimate business activities.
Specs
Engine: 51.5kW electric motor
Range: 400km
Power: 134bhp
Torque: 175Nm
Price: From Dh98,800
Available: Now
Real estate tokenisation project
Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.
The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.
Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.
Specs
Engine: Electric motor generating 54.2kWh (Cooper SE and Aceman SE), 64.6kW (Countryman All4 SE)
Power: 218hp (Cooper and Aceman), 313hp (Countryman)
Torque: 330Nm (Cooper and Aceman), 494Nm (Countryman)
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh158,000 (Cooper), Dh168,000 (Aceman), Dh190,000 (Countryman)
Killing of Qassem Suleimani
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NO OTHER LAND
Director: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal
Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham
Rating: 3.5/5
Dates for the diary
To mark Bodytree’s 10th anniversary, the coming season will be filled with celebratory activities:
- September 21 Anyone interested in becoming a certified yoga instructor can sign up for a 250-hour course in Yoga Teacher Training with Jacquelene Sadek. It begins on September 21 and will take place over the course of six weekends.
- October 18 to 21 International yoga instructor, Yogi Nora, will be visiting Bodytree and offering classes.
- October 26 to November 4 International pilates instructor Courtney Miller will be on hand at the studio, offering classes.
- November 9 Bodytree is hosting a party to celebrate turning 10, and everyone is invited. Expect a day full of free classes on the grounds of the studio.
- December 11 Yogeswari, an advanced certified Jivamukti teacher, will be visiting the studio.
- February 2, 2018 Bodytree will host its 4th annual yoga market.
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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The schedule
December 5 - 23: Shooting competition, Al Dhafra Shooting Club
December 9 - 24: Handicrafts competition, from 4pm until 10pm, Heritage Souq
December 11 - 20: Dates competition, from 4pm
December 12 - 20: Sour milk competition
December 13: Falcon beauty competition
December 14 and 20: Saluki races
December 15: Arabian horse races, from 4pm
December 16 - 19: Falconry competition
December 18: Camel milk competition, from 7.30 - 9.30 am
December 20 and 21: Sheep beauty competition, from 10am
December 22: The best herd of 30 camels
At a glance
Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.
Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year
Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month
Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30
Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse
Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth
Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances
How to avoid crypto fraud
- Use unique usernames and passwords while enabling multi-factor authentication.
- Use an offline private key, a physical device that requires manual activation, whenever you access your wallet.
- Avoid suspicious social media ads promoting fraudulent schemes.
- Only invest in crypto projects that you fully understand.
- Critically assess whether a project’s promises or returns seem too good to be true.
- Only use reputable platforms that have a track record of strong regulatory compliance.
- Store funds in hardware wallets as opposed to online exchanges.
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Profile Idealz
Company: Idealz
Founded: January 2018
Based: Dubai
Sector: E-commerce
Size: (employees): 22
Investors: Co-founders and Venture Partners (9 per cent)
The White Lotus: Season three
Creator: Mike White
Starring: Walton Goggins, Jason Isaacs, Natasha Rothwell
Rating: 4.5/5
COMPANY PROFILE
Name: Kumulus Water
Started: 2021
Founders: Iheb Triki and Mohamed Ali Abid
Based: Tunisia
Sector: Water technology
Number of staff: 22
Investment raised: $4 million
Credits
Produced by: Colour Yellow Productions and Eros Now
Director: Mudassar Aziz
Cast: Sonakshi Sinha, Jimmy Sheirgill, Jassi Gill, Piyush Mishra, Diana Penty, Aparshakti Khurrana
Star rating: 2.5/5
PROFILE OF HALAN
Started: November 2017
Founders: Mounir Nakhla, Ahmed Mohsen and Mohamed Aboulnaga
Based: Cairo, Egypt
Sector: transport and logistics
Size: 150 employees
Investment: approximately $8 million
Investors include: Singapore’s Battery Road Digital Holdings, Egypt’s Algebra Ventures, Uber co-founder and former CTO Oscar Salazar
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Company%20profile
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Killing of Qassem Suleimani
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Living in...
This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.
Director: Romany Saad
Starring: Mirfat Amin, Boumi Fouad and Tariq Al Ibyari
Test
Director: S Sashikanth
Cast: Nayanthara, Siddharth, Meera Jasmine, R Madhavan
Star rating: 2/5
Director: Laxman Utekar
Cast: Vicky Kaushal, Akshaye Khanna, Diana Penty, Vineet Kumar Singh, Rashmika Mandanna
Rating: 1/5
BIGGEST CYBER SECURITY INCIDENTS IN RECENT TIMES
SolarWinds supply chain attack: Came to light in December 2020 but had taken root for several months, compromising major tech companies, governments and its entities
Microsoft Exchange server exploitation: March 2021; attackers used a vulnerability to steal emails
Kaseya attack: July 2021; ransomware hit perpetrated REvil, resulting in severe downtime for more than 1,000 companies
Log4j breach: December 2021; attackers exploited the Java-written code to inflitrate businesses and governments
The biog
Favourite food: Fish and seafood
Favourite hobby: Socialising with friends
Favourite quote: You only get out what you put in!
Favourite country to visit: Italy
Favourite film: Lock Stock and Two Smoking Barrels.
Family: We all have one!
Results
2.15pm: Maiden (PA) Dh40,000 1,700m; Winner: AF Arrab, Antonio Fresu (jockey), Ernst Oertel (trainer).
2.45pm: Maiden (PA) Dh40,000 1,700m; Winner: AF Mahaleel, Antonio Fresu, Ernst Oertel.
3.15pm: Sheikh Ahmed bin Rashid Al Maktoum handicap (TB) Dh200,000 2,000m; Winner: Dolmen, Richard Mullen, Satish Seemar.
3.45pm: Handicap (PA) Dh40,000 1,200m; Winner: Amang Alawda, Sandro Paiva, Bakhit Al Ketbi.
4.15pm: The Crown Prince of Sharjah Cup Prestige (PA) Dh200,000 1,200m; Winner: AF Alwajel, Tadhg O’Shea, Ernst Oertel.
4.45pm: Handicap (PA) Dh40,000 2,000m; Winner: Al Jazi, Jesus Rosales, Eric Lemartinel.