Jumeirah beach Dubai. The UAE is home to many wealthy people from overseas. Getty Images
Jumeirah beach Dubai. The UAE is home to many wealthy people from overseas. Getty Images
Jumeirah beach Dubai. The UAE is home to many wealthy people from overseas. Getty Images
Jumeirah beach Dubai. The UAE is home to many wealthy people from overseas. Getty Images

Wealthy Britons look to move to Dubai over concern about impending UK tax changes


Gillian Duncan
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Wealthy Britons are seeking to move abroad, with many choosing Dubai, ahead of anticipated tax rises UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has said will be aimed at “those with the broadest shoulders”.

Taxpayers in Britain have been told to prepare themselves for a “painful” budget at the end of October, which is expected to include rises in capital gains and inheritance taxes.

Relocation companies offering services to wealthy clients have reported a surge in inquiries.

Wealth managers have said concerns over the promised tax rises are driving the demand, with separate plans to “close the non-dom tax loophole” by subjecting assets held overseas to British inheritance tax if a non-dom has lived in the UK for more than 10 years, cited as a final straw by some.

Henley and Partners, a British firm which specialises in residence and citizenship by investment, told The Times 4,200 millionaires left the UK in the first five months of the year.

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has said that his government’s October Budget statement will be “painful”. EPA/Bloomberg
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has said that his government’s October Budget statement will be “painful”. EPA/Bloomberg

Another 5,300 are expected to go before the end of the year. Most of them are moving to Dubai, according to the company.

But Switzerland, Portugal, Italy and Cyprus are also popular destinations, it said.

A record 6,700 millionaires are expected to call the UAE their new home by the end of this year, according to a recent report from Henley and Partners.

Stuart Wakeling, a director of the company’s London office, told the newspaper: “Lots of people may be happy about the change of government but we have seen a spike of people since the election who want to hedge their bets or have a ‘plan B’.

The UK's London's financial heart the City of London. EPA
The UK's London's financial heart the City of London. EPA

“There are always a number of factors driving people to move abroad but tax is one of the big ones this year. Others are concerned with the way the UK is going with crime and terrorism. They want something safer and quieter. Some just want a change in lifestyle or better weather.”

The non-dom system, which allows wealthy people to live in the UK and avoid paying tax on their overseas income, was overhauled by the previous Conservative government in March, requiring wealthy foreigners to pay tax on overseas income and gains after living in the UK for four years, instead of the current 15 years.

Labour, which swept to power on a landslide in July, said the changes did not go far enough.

A recent survey by Oxford Economics found that 83 per cent of non-doms said they are likely to leave the UK because of the inheritance tax change.

Oxford Economics said the new rules for both foreign income and inheritance tax, which are due to start in April 2025, could result in a £900 million ($1.1 billion) a year fiscal loss for the government coffers as a “more burdensome” regime prompts a greater number of non-doms to leave the UK.

The country could lose a third of the non-dom population by 2029-2030, it said.

The number of non-doms dropped by almost half in the decade to 2022, partly the result of a 2017 change to the rules that stopped individuals using the benefit permanently. Still, those retaining the status pay almost £9 billion ($11.8 billion) in British taxes a year, according to the latest official data.

Foreign Investors for Britain (FIB) has come up with a set of policy recommendations for the government, including an Italy or Greek-style tiered-tax regime which means non-doms would pay fixed annual fees.

The tiered tax regime should be scaled based on an individual's net wealth, with different brackets and corresponding annual fees. The highest bracket, for example, could have an annual fee of up to £1 million ($1.3 million), it said.

The FIB is also calling for the government to include an inheritance tax break for the duration of the regime, covering both personal assets and those held in trusts.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Updated: September 07, 2024, 1:32 PM