Bahrain unveiled a major economic reform plan in 2021 that seeks to invest about $30 billion in strategic projects to drive post-coronavirus growth. AFP
Bahrain unveiled a major economic reform plan in 2021 that seeks to invest about $30 billion in strategic projects to drive post-coronavirus growth. AFP
Bahrain unveiled a major economic reform plan in 2021 that seeks to invest about $30 billion in strategic projects to drive post-coronavirus growth. AFP
Bahrain unveiled a major economic reform plan in 2021 that seeks to invest about $30 billion in strategic projects to drive post-coronavirus growth. AFP

Bahrain's economy grew by 4.9% last year, the highest since 2013


Alkesh Sharma
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Bahrain's economy grew by 4.9 per cent in 2022, the highest rate since 2013, underpinned by a robust performance in the country's non-oil sectors that were targeted under its economic reform plan.

The Gulf nation's growth was led by a 6.2 per cent jump in non-oil real gross domestic product, state-owned Bahrain News Agency reported on Tuesday.

It was the highest rate since 2012 and more than the 5 per cent annual target set by the economic reform plan.

The non-oil sector's contribution to the real GDP reached an all-time high at 83.1 per cent in 2022.

However, the oil economy dropped by 1.4 per cent last year due to a dip in production. It contributed 16.9 per cent to the economy last year.

The positive results are the “cumulation of many years of hard work and careful planning [by Bahrain] … to lay the foundations for a sustainable, diverse and prosperous economy”, BNA quoted Shaikh Salman bin Khalifa Al Khalifa, Bahrain’s Minister of Finance and National Economy, as saying.

“Central to these efforts has been the comprehensive economic recovery plan … which is an investment in our nation’s people, our businesses and the future of Bahrain. These results are a statement of our intent to secure a balanced budget by 2024, provide long-term fiscal sustainability and create an economy that delivers for everyone across the kingdom,” he said.

Among the non-oil economic sectors, hotels and restaurants achieved the highest growth rate of 13.9 per cent, followed by the government services sector (6.7 per cent) and property (5.5 per cent).

The manufacturing industry recorded a 4.9 per cent growth, supported by an increase in production in the Bahrain Petroleum Company refinery by 9.7 per cent, Bahrain National Gas Company by 6.5 per cent and Aluminium Bahrain by 2.5 per cent, according to the Ministry of Finance.

To strengthen its economy, Bahrain unveiled a major economic reform plan in 2021 that seeks to invest about $30 billion in strategic projects to drive post-coronavirus growth, boost employment for citizens and attract foreign direct investment.

As per the multi-year plan, the government adopted cost rationalisation measures and aims to create more than 20,000 jobs for citizens annually until 2024 and train 10,000 more through its Tamkeen programme.

The move is aimed at improving the ease of doing business in Bahrain and expected to help the country balance its budget by 2024.

Bahrain also reported a drop in deficit to GDP to -1.1 per cent, a drop in debt to GDP ratio to 100 per cent, and a primary surplus of 3.3 per cent, BNA reported.

Bahrain, the smallest in the six-member GCC bloc, has sought ways to cut spending and achieve a balanced budget.

In January, Bahrain's government announced new measures to help the country tackle growing global inflation, including financial support and the temporary suspension of certain fees.

How to play the stock market recovery in 2021?

If you are looking to build your long-term wealth in 2021 and beyond, the stock market is still the best place to do it as equities powered on despite the pandemic.

Investing in individual stocks is not for everyone and most private investors should stick to mutual funds and ETFs, but there are some thrilling opportunities for those who understand the risks.

Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank, says the 20 best-performing US and European stocks have delivered an average return year-to-date of 148 per cent, measured in local currency terms.

Online marketplace Etsy was the best performer with a return of 330.6 per cent, followed by communications software company Sinch (315.4 per cent), online supermarket HelloFresh (232.8 per cent) and fuel cells specialist NEL (191.7 per cent).

Mr Garnry says digital companies benefited from the lockdown, while green energy firms flew as efforts to combat climate change were ramped up, helped in part by the European Union’s green deal. 

Electric car company Tesla would be on the list if it had been part of the S&P 500 Index, but it only joined on December 21. “Tesla has become one of the most valuable companies in the world this year as demand for electric vehicles has grown dramatically,” Mr Garnry says.

By contrast, the 20 worst-performing European stocks fell 54 per cent on average, with European banks hit by the economic fallout from the pandemic, while cruise liners and airline stocks suffered due to travel restrictions.

As demand for energy fell, the oil and gas industry had a tough year, too.

Mr Garnry says the biggest story this year was the “absolute crunch” in so-called value stocks, companies that trade at low valuations compared to their earnings and growth potential.

He says they are “heavily tilted towards financials, miners, energy, utilities and industrials, which have all been hit hard by the Covid-19 pandemic”. “The last year saw these cheap stocks become cheaper and expensive stocks have become more expensive.” 

This has triggered excited talk about the “great value rotation” but Mr Garnry remains sceptical. “We need to see a breakout of interest rates combined with higher inflation before we join the crowd.”

Always remember that past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. Last year’s winners often turn out to be this year’s losers, and vice-versa.

Updated: March 28, 2023, 5:51 PM