Iran's presidential candidates offer no hope for change



This week, Iran's Guardian Council has whittled down the candidates eligible to participate in the June presidential election to just eight, from 450 registered figures.

But it is still possible that one or all of the disqualified candidates will be reinstated by the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as happened before the 2005 election when reformist candidate Mustafa Moin was reinstated and ended up fifth in the race.

The most intriguing figure among those blocked from running for this election is former president Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, known by the Iranian public as a pragmatist, tycoon and heavyweight figure within the regime.

Two other reformists did not run for presidency: former president Mohammad Khatami, who is under house arrest, and Mir Hossein Mousavi, a presidential candidate in the 2009 election. Mr Khatami had instead endorsed Mr Rafsanjani, who currently leads the Expediency Council, a political arbitration body.

One of the major reasons behind the disqualification of Mr Rafsanjnai is the tension between him and the Supreme Leader. After he lost the 2005 presidential election to the current president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Mr Rafsanjani sided with Mr Khatami and Mr Mousavi during the disputed 2009 elections and then expressed support for the reformists rather than the Supreme Leader-endorsed candidate Mr Ahmadinejad.

Because of these moves, he has been at odds with the Islamic republic's rulers.

Mr Rafsanjani, 78, is one of few remaining political figures that belonged to the generation of the 1979 Islamic Revolution. He was one of the leading and founding members of the current Islamist establishment.

He also played an instrumental role in consolidating the Islamist rule during the Iran-Iraq war and pressed for Mr Khamenei's appointment as Iran's Supreme Leader after the death of Ayatollah Rouhollah Khomeini in June 1989.

If Mr Rafsanjani and Esfandiar Rahim Mashaei, the incumbent president's chief of staff, who is also the spiritual mentor and father-in-law of the president's son, are not reinstated, the candidate with the best prospects to win the reformists' votes will be Hasan Rowhani.

Mr Rowhani, who is close to Mr Rafsanjani, will most likely tap into the votes that would have otherwise gone to the two disqualified candidates. The votes of reformists and moderates were predicted to be won by Mr Rafsanjani.

Some of the eligible candidates are prominent, influential and powerful hardliners, loyal and close allies to Mr Khamenei. They have considerable political and social support to win the votes of conservative, hardliners, traditionalists, Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), and the followers of the Supreme Leader.

Currently, the conservative candidates with the best odds of winning the election are Saeed Jalili, Iran's chief nuclear negotiator, who is close to Mr Khamenei; and Mohammed Bagher Ghalibaf, a conservative with strong ties to Mr Khamenei. Mr Ghalibaf has also formed a coalition with Ali Akbar Velayati, a senior adviser to Mr Khamenei, and Gholam Ali Haddad Adel, a former parliamentary speaker.

All three political figures are comparable; their political ideologies are conservative and the victor among the three would represent the hardliners.

These traditionalists have so far taken a more aggressive position than reformists in terms of negotiating with the West on Iran's nuclear programme.

They have also been pressing for abolishing Iran's executive branch, which they argue has become a locus of opposition to their power.

And yet, there is another fundamental element to this election which has to do with the sentiments of the Iranian populace. Many young Iranians and other ordinary people with whom I have talked deeply question the legitimacy of the election.

The presidential candidates have been carefully pre-selected by the Guardian Council based on their loyalty to the Islamic revolutionary fundamentalists and particularly to the Supreme Leader. As such, they do not represent ordinary citizens' ideals or the young generation that constitutes roughly 60 per cent of the population.

The presidential race is in reality a closed competition among those who share fundamental Islamic principles, such as protecting Velayate Faghih - the rule of religious clerics, according to modern Shia theology - and Islamist political structure. Their differences lie only in relation to minor policies.

Kambiz, a 24-year old computer engineering student at Tehran University, told me: "I am not going to vote. Many of my friends will not vote too. All these candidates are the same.

"We trusted Khatami, but he was one of them and did not stand for us. Rafsanjani, Mashaei and the rest [of the conservatives] are all supporters and beneficiaries of the current corrupt and theocratic regime."

While the West, Russia, China and Arab Gulf states are closely observing the election, which is less than four weeks away, Iranian people, particularly young people like Mr Kambiz, are apathetic.

Finding no hope in the election, Iranians deem it as illegitimate, superficial and a sham that has turned into a revolving door mechanism between the inner and gilded circle of the Islamic republic.

Dr Majid Rafizadeh, an Iranian-Syrian scholar and political analyst, is the president of the International American Council on the Middle East

On Twitter: @majidrafizadeh

COMPANY%20PROFILE%20
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECompany%20name%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EAlmouneer%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarted%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%202017%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounders%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Dr%20Noha%20Khater%20and%20Rania%20Kadry%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EEgypt%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ENumber%20of%20staff%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E120%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestment%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EBootstrapped%2C%20with%20support%20from%20Insead%20and%20Egyptian%20government%2C%20seed%20round%20of%20%3Cbr%3E%243.6%20million%20led%20by%20Global%20Ventures%3Cbr%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Brief scores:

Everton 0

Leicester City 1

Vardy 58'

The specs
Engine: 77.4kW all-wheel-drive dual motor
Power: 320bhp
Torque: 605Nm
Transmission: Single-speed automatic
Price: From Dh219,000
On sale: Now
If you go...

Fly from Dubai or Abu Dhabi to Chiang Mai in Thailand, via Bangkok, before taking a five-hour bus ride across the Laos border to Huay Xai. The land border crossing at Huay Xai is a well-trodden route, meaning entry is swift, though travellers should be aware of visa requirements for both countries.

Flights from Dubai start at Dh4,000 return with Emirates, while Etihad flights from Abu Dhabi start at Dh2,000. Local buses can be booked in Chiang Mai from around Dh50

UPI facts

More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions

While you're here
Company%20Profile
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECompany%20name%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Hoopla%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EDate%20started%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EMarch%202023%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounder%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Jacqueline%20Perrottet%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Dubai%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ENumber%20of%20staff%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%2010%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestment%20stage%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EPre-seed%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestment%20required%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20%24500%2C000%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Company profile

Company name: Suraasa

Started: 2018

Founders: Rishabh Khanna, Ankit Khanna and Sahil Makker

Based: India, UAE and the UK

Industry: EdTech

Initial investment: More than $200,000 in seed funding

Top%2010%20most%20competitive%20economies
%3Cp%3E1.%20Singapore%0D%3Cbr%3E2.%20Switzerland%0D%3Cbr%3E3.%20Denmark%0D%3Cbr%3E4.%20Ireland%0D%3Cbr%3E5.%20Hong%20Kong%0D%3Cbr%3E6.%20Sweden%0D%3Cbr%3E7.%20UAE%0D%3Cbr%3E8.%20Taiwan%0D%3Cbr%3E9.%20Netherlands%0D%3Cbr%3E10.%20Norway%0D%3Cbr%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Company%20Profile
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECompany%20name%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Cargoz%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EDate%20started%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20January%202022%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounders%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Premlal%20Pullisserry%20and%20Lijo%20Antony%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Dubai%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ENumber%20of%20staff%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%2030%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestment%20stage%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Seed%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
SPECS
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EEngine%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Two-litre%20four-cylinder%20turbo%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPower%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E235hp%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETorque%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E350Nm%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ETransmission%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Nine-speed%20automatic%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EPrice%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EFrom%20Dh167%2C500%20(%2445%2C000)%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EOn%20sale%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3ENow%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
The essentials

What: Emirates Airline Festival of Literature

When: Friday until March 9

Where: All main sessions are held in the InterContinental Dubai Festival City

Price: Sessions range from free entry to Dh125 tickets, with the exception of special events.

Hot Tip: If waiting for your book to be signed looks like it will be timeconsuming, ask the festival’s bookstore if they have pre-signed copies of the book you’re looking for. They should have a bunch from some of the festival’s biggest guest authors.

Information: www.emirateslitfest.com
 

The Buckingham Murders

Starring: Kareena Kapoor Khan, Ash Tandon, Prabhleen Sandhu

Director: Hansal Mehta

Rating: 4 / 5