There are a lot more apartments available for purchase these days in Manhattan – and fewer people are buying.
Sales of previously owned condominiums and co-ops fell 20 per cent in the third quarter from a year earlier as potential buyers grew cautious amid more choices, according to a report on Tuesday from the appraiser Miller Samuel and the brokerage Douglas Elliman Real Estate. There were 5,290 resale apartments on the market at the end of September, 53 per cent more than the number available in late 2013, the lowest point for listings.
The swelling inventory is providing an opportunity to New Yorkers shut out of a market in which construction has been dominated by ultra-luxury condos aimed at the wealthiest buyers. Resales, particularly those priced at less than US$1 million, were in chronically short supply in recent years, and those that made it to the market sparked bidding wars. Now, more owners are listing apartments to profit from climbing values, and they’re finding lots of company.
“Rapidly rising prices over the years have pulled more sellers into the market hoping to cash out,” said Jonathan Miller, the president of Miller Samuel. “But buyers are more wary. There isn’t the same intensity of activity to burn through the new supply.”
Buyers agreed to pay more than the asking price in just 17 per cent of all condo and co-op deals that closed in the third quarter, down from a record 31 per cent a year earlier, according to Miller Samuel and Douglas Elliman. Consumers also are taking longer to make a decision. Previously owned properties that sold in the period spent an average of 72 days on the market, up from 67 days a year ago.
The median price of all resales in the quarter climbed 2.6 per cent to $950,000, Miller Samuel and Douglas Elliman said. That is a step down in a three-year period in which annual price growth once reached 18 per cent. Many sellers have yet to accept that they can no longer name any price, and the disconnect between their expectations and what buyers are willing to pay is contributing to the drop in overall sales, Mr Miller said.
“We’re clearly seeing a slowdown,” he said. “This era of aspirational pricing is coming to an end. Buyers get the message first.”
When Connie Lam wanted to sell her Chelsea studio, she knew that curbing her exuberance would help her sell it fast. Ms Lam, who bought the the 441-square-foot unit in 2013 for $555,000, listed it for sale in June, just one month before a planned move to California. Working with Douglas Elliman broker Rachel Altschuler, Ms Lam priced her apartment at $625,000 after seeing that another studio of the same size on her floor was already on the market for $650,000.
‘“There were people who were interested immediately,” said Ms Lam, 28, an attorney now living in Redwood City. “My goal was to get out and have a buyer who was really solid and wasn’t going to back out on me at the last second.”
The listing drew three offers, and was under contract at the asking price within two weeks. The deal closed in August, while the other apartment on her floor, on the market since May, is still without a buyer. Its price has since been cut to $635,000.
“There used to be a lot of fighting for very few apartments, but now there are plenty of choices,” said Pamela Liebman, the chief executive of the brokerage Corcoran Group, which also released a report on the Manhattan market Tuesday. “We’re experiencing a certain level of disconnect now between what buyers are willing to bid and what sellers are willing to sell for.”
Corcoran reported a 17 per cent decline in completed apartment sales, with 3,418 homes trading hands in the third quarter. Contracts fell 18 per cent to 2,589, the lowest in almost five years, indicating that sales will continue to be down. The median price was unchanged from the second quarter at $1.1m, Corcoran said.
“Prices have been going up in double digits for so many quarters now that it’s natural that the market needed to take a pause,” Ms Liebman said. “It just can’t keep going up, up, up forever.”
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