Regional IMF director Masood Ahmed. Callaghan Walsh for The National
Regional IMF director Masood Ahmed. Callaghan Walsh for The National

IMF throws funding lifeline to Egypt



The IMF is ready to help Egypt plug a funding gap of up to US$12 billion (Dh44.07bn) as the country seeks to rebuild its economy, says Dr Masood Ahmed, the fund's Middle East and Central Asia regional director.

Possible financial aid for Egypt comes as the IMF says it expects other regional oil importers hit by unrest and soaring commodity prices to require external assistance, and it is making as much as $35bn available to them.

"We stand ready to help Egypt whenever they come to us," Dr Ahmed said in Dubai yesterday. "The basic objective would be to advance on their social agenda and maintain macro-stability over the next 12 to 18 months."

So far, Egypt appears the closest to tapping into the IMF funds as it says it requires between $10bn and $12bn to rebalance the economy after unrest that swept Hosni Mubarak from the presidency in February.

It has held talks with the IMF, the World Bank and other countries including the GCC about possible aid.

Samir Radwan, Egypt's finance minister, said on Tuesday the country was seeking a loan of about $4bn from the IMF.

The interim government is facing pressure to create jobs and raise wages and subsidies. But government spending power is limited after a drop in foreign investment and tourism revenues. Egypt's fiscal deficit is expected to swell from about 8 per cent to double-digits this year, said Standard & Poor's ratings agency.

Dr Ahmed said Egypt had yet to ask the IMF formally for funding.

"For us it's a two-part package as there's the financing but there's also the policies we are supporting," he said.

"We want that package to be home-grown and something the Egyptian authorities [can] develop with external stakeholders … to ensure its success."

Other cash-strapped oil importers beset by recent troubles are struggling to help their citizens cope with rising commodity prices.

Higher spending on subsidies and other fiscal incentives were offsetting the impact of recent unrest on economic growth in oil-importing nations, said Dr Ahmed.

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But the higher expenditure carried risks, he warned.

"In many countries the fiscal packages will strain budgets to the point that they will need external help to see them through the financing of costs this year without imposing a big strain on government budgets or borrowing so much from the domestic market that they crowd out the private sector," said Dr Ahmed.

No other governments had yet held talks with the IMF about financial aid, he said. In addition to the IMF, other possible sources of external funding included GCC states and long-term development funds from the World Bank, he said. The $35bn was calculated based on the size of oil importers' quotas with the IMF, he said.

"The $35bn is part of a process that meets their initial finance needs, their transitions and modernising their approaches," he said.

Regional governments have for years been urged by the IMF to do away with subsidies, which account for about 8 per cent of overall GDP in the Middle East and North Africa. Instead, it argues, more targeted social safety nets are required to help those worst off. But expecting the withdrawal of subsidies in the short-term was unrealistic, said Dr Ahmed.

"Over the coming year, increased social spending is necessary for social cohesion," he said.

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Anxiety and work stress major factors

Anxiety, work stress and social isolation are all factors in the recogised rise in mental health problems.

A study UAE Ministry of Health researchers published in the summer also cited struggles with weight and illnesses as major contributors.

Its authors analysed a dozen separate UAE studies between 2007 and 2017. Prevalence was often higher in university students, women and in people on low incomes.

One showed 28 per cent of female students at a Dubai university reported symptoms linked to depression. Another in Al Ain found 22.2 per cent of students had depressive symptoms - five times the global average.

It said the country has made strides to address mental health problems but said: “Our review highlights the overall prevalence of depressive symptoms and depression, which may long have been overlooked."

Prof Samir Al Adawi, of the department of behavioural medicine at Sultan Qaboos University in Oman, who was not involved in the study but is a recognised expert in the Gulf, said how mental health is discussed varies significantly between cultures and nationalities.

“The problem we have in the Gulf is the cross-cultural differences and how people articulate emotional distress," said Prof Al Adawi. 

“Someone will say that I have physical complaints rather than emotional complaints. This is the major problem with any discussion around depression."

Daniel Bardsley

What is Diwali?

The Hindu festival is at once a celebration of the autumn harvest and the triumph of good over evil, as outlined in the Ramayana.

According to the Sanskrit epic, penned by the sage Valmiki, Diwali marks the time that the exiled king Rama – a mortal with superhuman powers – returned home to the city of Ayodhya with his wife Sita and brother Lakshman, after vanquishing the 10-headed demon Ravana and conquering his kingdom of Lanka. The people of Ayodhya are believed to have lit thousands of earthen lamps to illuminate the city and to guide the royal family home.

In its current iteration, Diwali is celebrated with a puja to welcome the goodness of prosperity Lakshmi (an incarnation of Sita) into the home, which is decorated with diyas (oil lamps) or fairy lights and rangoli designs with coloured powder. Fireworks light up the sky in some parts of the word, and sweetmeats are made (or bought) by most households. It is customary to get new clothes stitched, and visit friends and family to exchange gifts and greetings.